Commanders vs. Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks: McCarthy Returns, Commanders Look to Snap 7-Game Loss Streak

• The Commanders and Vikings are both tied for the worst record against the spread (4-8)

• J.J. McCarthy went under his passing line this weekend in five of six career starts

• Terry McLaurin easily beat this receiving props in his return from an injury last weekend

The Washington Commanders will visit the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday for an NFL Week 14 matchup between NFC opponents.

The Commanders’ season of despair nearly took a turn for the better last weekend as they took the 10-2 Denver Broncos to the final play of overtime, though they came up just short. On the bright side, their terrible defense looked a lot better, and Marcus Mariota was effective under center.

On the other side, the Vikings are expected to welcome second-year QB J.J. McCarthy back to action after he missed their last game with a concussion. The Vikings have a terrifying defense but are relatively toothless on offense, largely because of poor quarterback play.

Here are my top Commanders vs. Vikings parlay picks, including player prop bets and NFL picks against the spread.

Commanders vs. Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks

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J.J. McCarthy Under 189.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

It’s okay to be honest and admit that McCarthy seems like a terrible pick by the Vikings. The second-year pro has six touchdowns and 10 interceptions in six games, and he went under this passing line in five of those six while averaging just 154.8 passing yards per game.

The Commanders’ secondary has been abysmal for the majority of the season, so it should come as no surprise that they allowed 254.9 yards per game (31st). That said, they seemed much more connected with Dan Quinn calling the plays, and McCarthy post-concussion is far from an intimidating opponent. 

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Terry McLaurin Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

McLaurin returned from his injury last weekend to catch seven passes on 14 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown. He also had a 30-yard touchdown reception in overtime nullified by a penalty, but his numbers could’ve been even better—all while playing the number-one defense in the NFL and the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, Pat Surtain II.

The Vikings have a terrific defense of their own, but this is realistically only three or four receptions for the dependable McLaurin. Mariota has shown more of an inclination than Jayden Daniels to target the same receivers over and over again, and the Commanders’ offense has been effective, despite all of their injuries and changes.

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Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115) at bet365 Sportsbook 

The Commanders have struggled to defend outside runs all year. That, combined with McCarthy’s general lack of productivity, means that pounding the rock seems like an obvious way for the Vikings to attack their opponent’s defense, thereby creating more chances for Jones.

Jones only scored one touchdown this entire season, but the odds value are a reflection of his likelihood of breaking past the pylons. The Commanders also rank 28th in scoring defense, having allowed 26.9 points per game, and surrendered 27 last week despite looking much improved.

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Commanders +2 (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

I don’t have much respect for the job that McCarthy has done, and I don’t see a world in which he has lots of potential that’s waiting to be unlocked. He has a terrific head coach and defensive coordinator, a brilliant defense, and ample talent around him, but that hasn’t prevented the Vikings from going 4-8 one year after they finished 13-4.

The Commanders are in the middle of an unexpectedly poor season themselves, but their offense has been productive through it all, and their defense looks more sound under Quinn’s leadership. This feels like an opportune spot for them to snap their seven-game losing streak if Mariota keeps the turnovers low and continues to move the ball down the field.

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