Dolphins vs. Commanders Same-Game Parlay Picks: Will Dan Quinn’s Coaching Changes Stop Tua Co.?

• The Commanders allowed the highest net yards per attempt since the 1981 Baltimore Colts

• Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in interceptions with 13

• Both teams are 3-7 and will have their bye week after Sunday’s game

The Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins are taking part in the NFL’s maiden voyage to Spain, and I’ve assembled my favorite prop and parlay picks for the Week 11 matchup.

The Dolphins shocked the Buffalo Bills as underdogs last week in one of our biggest successes with our NFL picks against the spread. The Commanders, meanwhile, are looking to right their ship after historically underperforming on defense.

Although neither one of these teams is in the upper echelon of Super Bowl odds and predictions—at least this season—the 2.5-point spread suggests this will be a competitive affair.

Here are my favorite Dolphins vs. Commanders player props and parlay picks for NFL Week 11.

Dolphins vs. Commanders Same Game Parlay Picks

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Tua Tagovailoa Under 0.5 Interceptions (+120) at bet365 Sportsbook

Tagovailoa leads the NFL in interceptions with 13, impressively besting the 12 posted by Geno Smith. He threw at least one interception in seven of 10 games and tossed a pair last weekend, even though the Dolphins shocked the Buffalo Bills, 30-13.

The Commanders have five interceptions all year, three of them coming from Mike Sainristil. Their top two corners, Trey Amos and Marshon Lattimore, are out with season-ending injuries, which means that Sainristil could move outside, and practice squad players could see lots of snaps on the field. That doesn’t inspire much confidence in their ability to force turnovers. 

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Chris Rodriguez Jr. Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

There appeared to be an intent to feed Rodriguez Jr. last weekend, but a shoulder injury knocked him out of the game prematurely. He finished with just six carries for 16 yards one week after he took 12 attempts for 65 yards and a touchdown.

The Dolphins are only 28th in yards allowed per rush attempt (4.9) and allowed one rushing touchdown per game. With Rodriguez Jr. poised to handle the lead-back responsibilities, and considering he scored in three of his last four games, he should maintain the trust of his coaches and get his opportunities against a weak defense.

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Marcus Mariota Under 1.5 Touchdowns (-140) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Only looking at games that Mariota started, he split the over/under with one passing touchdown in two, and two TDs in the others. The Dolphins are also 21st in passing touchdowns allowed per game (1.7) and have a plethora of players in their secondary who are on injured reserve.

The Commanders’ offense has been fine with Mariota under center, despite how bad their defense has been. Despite that, I think the Commanders will try to establish control of the game by pounding the rock on the ground, especially taking into account the international stage disrupting their usual rhythm.

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De’Von Achane Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Achane can be an electrifying receiving threat out of the backfield. He caught 51 and 39 yards worth of receptions the last two weeks, although he only went over this time one other time this season, back in Week 2 against the Patriots. Still, he’s getting arguably the best individual matchup that exists in the NFL.

The Commanders allowed 36.3 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs and have a noticeable lack of speed in the middle of the field, especially when Jordan Magee and Tyler Owens aren’t on the field. Achane is one mismatch or blown assignment away from creating an explosive play against this defense.

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