After reconfiguring their top lines in the offseason, the Dallas Stars offense was expected to get off to a slow start while working on their chemistry. Thirteen games into the season, and the Stars new look offense have seemingly hit their stride as they now rank eighth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Heading into Monday, the Stars have the opportunity to build on their offensive momentum as they face off against a Pittsburgh defense who ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the matchup between the Nashville Predators and Colorado Avalanche as the Avs look to get back to .500 after a rough start to their year. Fortunately for Colorado, their offense has received a major boost in production with the return of Artturi Lehkonen, giving their front line another versatile forward who creates high-quality Shots on Goal at a rapid rate.
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After starting the year ranked near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations, the Dallas Stars revamped offense have started to click as they now rank eighth overall while averaging 3.22 Expected Goals per game. Against Pittsburgh, the Stars' offense will have the opportunity to continue their high level of play as the Penguins' defense ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.
Speaking of defense, that has been a cause for concern for Dallas as their back line has dropped down to 23rd in Expected Goals Against. Fortunately for the Stars, their goaltending has managed to mask their low level of play as Vezina Trophy contender Jake Oettinger and Casey DeSmith are averaging a combined 2.20 Goals Against per game and a .920 Save Percentage. With Dallas possessing just enough defensive production to slow down the Penguins offense, back the Stars to win in regulation.
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Since getting called up by Dallas, Logan Stankoven has managed to quickly rise up the oddsboard for the Calder Memorial Trophy after generating 12 total points in 13 games. While a majority of his offensive production revolves around his facilitating ability, Stankoven has also been successful in his efforts of pressuring opposing goalies by averaging 2.92 Shots on Goal per game. With the Stars in a position to prolong their offensive possessions, expect Stankoven to continue to generate shots toward the net.
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It’s been a roller coaster of a season so far for the Colorado Avalanche as they are currently just 7-8-0 but rank above league average in both Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their offense has been especially dominant 15 games into the year as their front line ranks top-6 in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their offense has also recently received a major boost in offensive production after Artturi Lehkonen made his return from injury.
Heading into Monday, Colorado’s offense will have the opportunity to maintain their high level of play as they face off against a Nashville defense who ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with their starting goalie Jusse Saros playing at a high level in terms of average Goals Against per game, negative regression looms large over the Predators' defense as their back line continues to struggle with lessening the quality of opposing Shots on Goal.
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Artturi Lehkonen has wasted no time in his efforts of rounding back into form since making his return from injury as he has generated four total points in three games played while averaging 1.13 Expected Goals per game. With reigning Hart Memorial Trophy winner Nathan MacKinnon, and Mikko Rantanen commanding defensive attention, expect Lehkonen to continue to generate high-quality scoring opportunities while exploiting the gaps in coverage.
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