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Hart Memorial Trophy Odds, Predictions, Best Bets 2025: Expect a Tight Race Until the Very End

  • Leon Draisaitl is listed as the betting favorite to win the Hart Memorial Trophy

  • Connor McDavid is averaging over one point per game since returning from suspension

  • Connor Hellebuyck leads all qualified goalies in average Goals Against per game

After serving his three game suspension, Connor McDavid has quickly picked up from where he left off as the future hall of famer is averaging over one point per game in his last four contests. McDavid can ill afford to lift his foot off the pedal as his teammate and current betting favorite for the Hart Memorial Trophy Leon Draisaitl still leads him in total points and in +/-.

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Hart Memorial Trophy Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Even though Nathan MacKinnon leads the league in total points, Leon Draisaitl is still listed as the betting favorite for the MVP award as his play has been more impactful on both sides of the ice.

Leon Draisaitl at FanDuel

With McDavid having to miss another stretch of games for the second time this season, that has given Leon Draisaitl the opportunity to pad his lead over him in total points. Draisaitl was able to add to his total during his suspension by scoring two goals and generating three assists. Even when McDavid made his return to the ice, Draisaitl was able to match his scoring pace by also generating five points in four games.

Draisaitl will need to continue to be aggressive in his efforts of generating points as McDavid still averages more Expected Goals and assists per game. Should McDavid leap over him in total points, then Draisaitl’s claim for the award diminishes. Luckily for Draisaitl, his surrounding cast puts him in a favorable position to sustain his high rate of points as the Oilers offense ranks third overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

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Connor Hellebuyck at BetMGM

Not only is Connor Hellebuyck the heavy betting favorite to win the Vezina Trophy, but the Winnipeg Jets goalie is also in serious consideration for the Hart Memorial Trophy as he currently leads all qualified goalies in average Goals Against per game and in Goalie Wins. Even when his back line was going through a harsh slump, Hellebuyck was able to keep them competitive with his own high level of play.

Better yet for Hellebuyck, his back line has started to round back into form as the Jets defense currently ranks sixth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With better coverage in front of him, Hellebuyck is in a great position to sustain his high marks in net and strengthen his claim for the award. If you bet on Draisaitl earlier in the year at a favorable number, consider hedging some of your bet on Hellebuyck.

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Nathan MacKinnon at FanDuel

After winning the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023-2024, the Avs star center is in contention to win his second straight award as Nathan MacKinnon currently leads the league in total points. With his surrounding cast excelling at creating high quality scoring opportunities as their high mark in Expected Goals indicates, MacKinnon has been able to generate assists with ease as he averages over one assist per game.

Unfortunately for MacKinnon, his production has not been enough for the Colorado Avalanche to win at a high rate as they are currently not in the top three in the Central division standings. This hurts his claim for the award while Draisaitl and McDavid get a bump from the Oilers success. Unless the Avs start to win at a more consistent rate, then pass on MacKinnon at his short odds to win the award.

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Quinn Hughes at FanDuel

Just when Quinn Hughes was starting to build some momentum for the Hart Memorial Trophy, the Vancouver Canucks defenseman suffered an injury and is listed as day-to-day on their injury report. While the severity of his injury has not been reported, it was already announced that he did not travel with the team for Thursday’s contest against the San Jose Sharks.

His claim for the award was already in question as Hughes is ranked 15th in total points while the Canucks are currently out of the playoff picture. The defenseman is also very inefficient with his shot selection as he averages 0.13 Expected Goals on 2.91 Shots on Goal per game. Even at his inflated odds, avoid making a wager on Hughes to win the Hart Memorial Trophy.

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Who Will Win the Hart Memorial Trophy - My Pick 

Connor McDavid at FanDuel

When Connor McDavid is on the ice, he routinely shows why he is the best player in the league by using his elite speed and puck handling to blitz through opposing back lines to either set up a high quality Shot on Goal or dish out an assist. The problem for McDavid is that he has had trouble staying on the ice as he has had to miss some time on two separate occasions due to an injury and suspension.

When on the sideline, his teammate Leon Draisaitl has the opportunity to pad his lead in total points which hurts McDavid’s chances of winning his fourth Hart Memorial Trophy. Fortunately for McDavid, he is still projected to leap over his teammate in total points as he averages more Expected Goals and assists per game. Bet on McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy now before he moves back up the oddsboard.

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Who Won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023/24?

Nathan MacKinnon won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023-2024.

Hart Memorial Trophy History

Originally called the Hart Trophy before being renamed to the Hart Memorial Trophy in 1960, the MVP award has been given to plenty of legendary names over the years. Most notably to Wayne Gretzky who won the award a league high nine times throughout the 1980’s, including a unanimous win in 1981-1982. Connor McDavid has been the only other player to win the prestigious award by a unanimous vote since Gretzky, sweeping the poll in 2020-2021.

Past Hart Memorial Trophy Winners

SeasonPlayer
2023-2024Nathan MacKinnon
2022-2023Connor McDavid
2021-2022Auston Matthews
2020-2021Connor McDavid
2019-2020Leon Draisaitl

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy winner market, it’s important to acquire as many online sportsbooks as you can get that are available to you. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each sportsbook. When betting on Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy, his odds can be found as low as +500 at FanDuel and as high as +575 at Caesars. That is a difference of $75 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another benefit of acquiring multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect multiple signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NHL season. BetMGM Sportsbook for example is giving new users up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

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How to Read Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Before making a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. Should you bet Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy at his current odds of +575, then a $100 wager would profit you $575 if he wins the award. Should you wait to see if he pulls ahead as a sizable favorite and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.

Hart Memorial Trophy FAQ

Who is the Favorite to Win the Hart Memorial Trophy?

Who Has the Most Hart Memorial Trophy Titles?

Who Was the Last Player to Repeat as a Hart Memorial Trophy Winner? 

Who Was the Last Hart Memorial Trophy Winner to Also Win the Stanley Cup in the Same Year?

Can You Bet on the Hart Memorial Trophy Winner During the Season? 

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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