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Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Stars Defense to Round Back Into Form

Contributors
Published November 27, 2024
5 min read

After conceding six goals in a loss to the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game out, the Dallas Stars defense have the opportunity to round back into form as they face off against the lowly Chicago Blackhawks offense. Heading into Wednesday, the Blackhawks front line ranks dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.

Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Colorado Avalanche as their high powered offense faces off against a regressing Vegas Golden Knights defense. The Golden Knights back line continues to dip down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations as they allow opposing offenses to fire off high quality Shots on Goal towards their net at an alarming rate.

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Best NHL Prop Bets Today 2024 11 27 Logan Stankoven

Dallas Stars vs. Chicago Blackhawks - Prop Bets (8:30 PM, EST)

Chicago Blackhawks Team Total Under 2.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a prolonged cold stretch of play, the Dallas Stars defense have managed to creep into the top half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.96 Expected Goals Against per game. Unfortunately for Dallas, their momentum was halted after the Carolina Hurricanes skated circles around them in a 6-4 win on Monday night. Still, take that result with a grain of salt as the Hurricanes front line leads the league in Expected Goals For with an average of over four Expected Goals per game.

Against the Blackhawks, the Stars defense will have the opportunity to round back into form as they get the benefit of defending against an offense who ranks dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Other than Tyler Bertuzzi, no one on the Blackhawks averages over 0.30 Expected Goals per game. With no threat of their coverage being stretched out by Chicago’s anemic offense, expect the Stars to neutralize the Blackhawks offensive production and cash the under on this prop.

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Logan Stankoven Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Not only does Chicago underwhelm in their efforts of generating Shots on Goal, but their defense struggles to defend against them as they rank 26th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That bodes well for the Stars Calder Memorial Trophy contender Logan Stankoven who excels at sending the puck towards the net as he averages three Shots on Goal per game. With an uptick in shot attempts and prolonged possessions, Stankoven will have more opportunities to turn his shots into Shots on Goal.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Colorado Avalanche Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Vegas Golden Knights defense continuing to regress, their back line will be prone to another underwhelming performance as they get the unfortunate task of having to defend against the high powered Colorado Avalanche offense. Hart Memorial Trophy contender Nathan MacKinnon and company have had no issue with sustaining a high level of play 22 games into their season as they enter the contest ranked fifth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Not only have the Golden Knights back line struggled with smothering opposing shot attempts, but their goaltending has been equally as underwhelming as their starting goalie Adin Hill is averaging 2.99 Goals Against per game while generating a lowly Save Percentage of .887. With multiple Avs forwards averaging over 0.30 Expected Goals per game, expect the Golden Knights defense to be stretched out thin while MacKinnon exposes the gaps in coverage in his bursts through the middle.

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Artturi Lehkonen Anytime Goalscorer (+210) at Caesars Sportsbook

As for who will do the scoring for the Avs offense, Artturi Lehkonen has continued to pressure opposing goalies at a consistent rate since making his return from injury. In his 10 appearances, Lehkonen is averaging an astonishing 0.60 Expected Goals per game. By playing in the same line as MacKinnon, expect Lehkonen to continue to create high quality scoring opportunities while the Golden Knights defense shades their coverage towards the star center.

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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NHL
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
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Experience: 6 years
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