Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect Adin Hill to Thrive Against the Wild

Even with Kirill Kaprizov back on the ice, the Minnesota Wild front will still struggle to generate offensive production as they face off against a Vegas defense who ranks near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Before their puck drop, we back the Toronto Maple Leafs offense to light up the scoreboard for the second straight game as the Ottawa Senators back line have continued to severely underwhelm in coverage.

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Minnesota Wild vs. Vegas Golden Knights - Prop Bets (11:00 PM, EST)

Minnesota Wild Team Total Under 2.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While Kirill Kaprizov is a star player in his own right, the Minnesota forward has not been able to elevate the Wild offense as a whole as their front line still ranks 27th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. A major reason for their struggles stems from their lack of playmakers as only Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, and Joel Eriksson Ek average over 0.30 Expected Goals per game.

Their lack of offensive production will be on full display against the Vegas Golden Knights as they face off against a back line who resides near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.83 Expected Goals Against per game. Especially with Minnesota’s offense lacking the versatility needed to stretch out the Golden Knights coverage, allowing their back line to make minimal shifts across the ice which helps lessen the quality and the width of the Wilds shooting lanes.

Not only have the Golden Knights back line managed to hit their stride right before the playoffs, but their improved coverage also makes it easier for Adin Hill to sustain his high marks in net. The Golden Knights starting goalie rivaled Connor Hellebuyck for the Vezina Trophy award for a majority of the year as Hill finished the season ranked sixth in average Goals Against per game while generating a Save Percentage of .906. If the Wild team total drops down to a flat two, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Jack Eichel Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of versatility, the Vegas Golden Knights have excelled at stretching out opposing back lines this season as they possess seven players who average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game with four of them averaging over 0.30. Their spread out attack has helped open up wider shooting lanes for Jack Eichel to exploit, increasing his chances of turning his shot attempts into Shots on Goal. For some more exposure, also sprinkle a wager on Eichel to score a goal (+175) at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Total Over 3.5 (+110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It was a dominant performance from the Toronto Maple Leafs offense in the first game of their series against Ottawa as they won the contest 6-2 after scoring two goals in each period. A much needed performance for an offense who limped into the playoffs after an underwhelming end to their year. Once considered one of the better offenses in the league, the Maple Leafs prolonged cold stretch of play knocked them down to as low as 11th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Fortunately for Toronto, their offense will have the opportunity to build on their momentum by relentlessly attacking the Senators gaps in coverage. Defending their net has been a struggle for the Sens as their back line ranks 18th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their lack of coverage leaves their goaltending exposed to a high amount of Shots on Goal, forcing their goalies to consistently shift across the crease which increases the likelihood of a gap opening up behind them for Toronto to exploit.

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Auston Matthews Anytime Goalscorer (+120) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Auston Matthews has excelled at pressuring the net this season as the former Hart Memorial Trophy winner averages 0.61 Expected Goals per game. Mitch Marner being able to command defensive attention away from him has helped open up wider gaps in coverage for Matthews to exploit, increasing his chances of sustaining his high level of play. Against a back line who struggles to stay in front of the puck, expect Matthews to continue to pressure the net at a high rate and score a goal on Tue

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