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It won’t be the biggest or best fight of the year, but Jake Paul v Tommy Fury could be the most entertaining boxing match in 2023. The pair have been at each other’s throats for months, and a previous showdown was postponed and rescheduled for February. Fury was the man that forced that late adjustment after he suffered an injury setback in training. But reports suggest he has a clean bill of health and is ready and able. But will he defeat Paul when the pair finally come to blows? You can have your say at the leading online bookie that offers betting odds on the fight-winner market, specials, and promotions.
Paul v Fury will be fought at a packed Diriyah Arena, Saudi Arabia, on Sunday, with the bout screened live to a global audience on pay-per-view TV. If you can’t make it to the stadium - and let’s face it, few will be able to - you can keep pace with the action on television and live streaming apps. The leading online sports betting apps offer odds on Paul and Fury, but where does the smart money go? Both men are unbeaten and know victory on Sunday in Saudi Arabia will achieve two things. It’ll send the winner up through the global rankings and settle an old score that has been burning for some time.
Our sports betting experts have reviewed the odds the leading bookie offers and found Caesars Sportsbook to be the best. As regular readers of our boxing previews already know, we are a big fan of Caesars’ boxing coverage as they offer members competitive odds and more ways to gamble on the result than you’ll find at the competition. They even give all new players a welcome bonus free bet. Your share is waiting - simply click any link on this page or site to the Caesars Sportsbook app and register an account to claim your free bet.
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The table above displays the betting odds available on the winner of this fight at Caesars Sportsbook. They have Jake Paul as their pre-bout betting favorite, and that will come as a surprise to many fight fans. Paul and Fury are two unbeaten fighters, but there can be no denying Tommy has campaigned at a higher level. He’s what supporters call a “proper” boxer in the lead-up to this fight: a dig at Jake's past opponents, a collection of past-their-prime stars of the UFC.
With this market, it’s simple to understand, and you’ll know exactly where you stand. It’s the ideal gamble for less experienced bettors with no complicated terms or stakes. It’s one stake and one bet. If you have your money on Fury, for example, and they win, your betting balance will be boosted by the profits from that bet. But if it’s a draw or Paul is the winner, the bookie will keep your stake.
There are other markets available in this contest, of course, and traders working at Caesars Sportsbook have done everything possible to give the best coverage. The aim here was to offer a market that appeals to all bettors, and that’s a smart move, as there will be several non-boxing fans taking an interest in this bout. Paul’s army of followers gained from YouTube and social media will make up most of the ‘buys’ for this fight.
Before looking at this fight, I had expected a competitive market but was shocked to see Jake Paul as the betting favourite. In terms of skill and experience, he really shouldn’t be anywhere near the head of the market for this bout. He is a novice who hasn’t proven much in his previous outings. Yes, Paul is improving at an impressive rate, and if he was to win this, his critics must take him seriously. But we can’t do that yet. It’s far too early in the career of Jake to be backing him at short odds against a strong opponent.
Why are traders supporting the less experienced fighter here? Well, it’s not about boxing ability, that’s for sure. To understand how betting works and bookies create their odds is to understand why they have taken this stance. The top betting apps had a similar problem when Conor McGregor fought Floyd Mayweather Jr. Anyone with a basic understanding of boxing knew Money would wipe the floor with Notorious. Still, the Irishman was so famous that traders couldn’t afford to take any risks. No matter the price, money keeps coming for Jake and will continue to do so.
The betting for this fight makes sense to a gambling insider, but it won’t matter much to boxing fans. Those in the know understand where Fury is from, his background, and his hard-fought experience in the game. He appeared on the reality TV show Love Island and lost the respect of some fight fans for that, but he’s an ambitious boy. A close relative to world heavyweight champion Tyson Fury, Tommy has been around the fight game his entire life, and it’ll show when the pair come to blows.
We’re backing Fury, but that’s not to say we don’t think Paul will find success on the night. He’s a hard-hitting fighter happy to box at the range or up close, relying on a wrestling background to hold his own in the danger zone.
Paul’s keys to success will be his strength and punch power. He has those advantages over Fury but won’t get the chance to make them count. We expect Fury to use his boxing skills to make his opponent miss and hit him hard. Back Fury to win on points.
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Diriyah Arena, Saudi Arabia
Sunday, 22:00 GMT
Live on BT Sport
Former professional boxer at the world-famous TRAD TKO Gym in London, I am now a full-time freelance content writer, pundit, and podcast contributor working with some of the biggest names in the sports betting industry. I love boxing, football's most successful team Glasgow Rangers, and horse racing. Email: [email protected]More info on Frank Monkhouse
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