Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Amazing Value Available on Tuesday

It appears as if we have a much different perspective than the oddsmakers on Tuesday. The players we’ve targeted for home run props all have incredible value, with far longer odds than we think are reasonable.

Of course, if we’re right about these players going deep, that’s going to be a good thing, making us extra excited to share our Tuesday targets.

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Best Home Run Predictions for Tuesday, May 19

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Home Run Picks for Tuesday, May 19

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the three players we’re locked in on. 

Munetaka Murakami Anytime Home Run (+290) at FanDuel Sportsbook

At the moment, only Kyle Schwarber has hit more home runs than Murakami, so it might be time we start making him a more frequent target. He’s also in the midst of a four-game hitting streak, going 6 for 15 with two home runs during that stretch. After hitting two home runs on Saturday and collecting two hits on Monday, it’s safe to say that Murakami is in a nice groove right now.

The tricky part with Murakami is that he doesn’t have a track record against any of the pitchers he’s facing. But Tuesday’s matchup against Seattle’s Bryce Miller seems like a favorable one. Miller is making just his second start of 2026, but he gave up 17 home runs in just 90.1 innings last year. Left-handed hitters did most of the damage, which should put Murakami in a good position to go deep on Tuesday.

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Yandy Diaz Anytime Home Run (+820) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While he has a rather modest seven home runs on the season, Diaz has been one of the best all-around hitters in baseball this season. He’s batting .310 and is coming off a four-hit game on Monday to extend his current hitting streak to five games. Diaz has four extra-base hits, including two home runs, during that stretch, so he’s in the zone right now.

Given the odds he’s getting to hit a home run on Tuesday, Diaz is surely worth a flier. He and the Rays are facing Kyle Bradish, who has been homer-prone in the past. While Diaz has never homered against him before, he is 8 for 19 with two extra-base hits against Bradish, so a home run on Tuesday isn’t that far-fetched.

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Ozzie Albies Anytime Home Run (+650) at FanDuel Sportsbook

If the Braves are facing a left-handed starter, Albies is likely to have a big day. Even if he’s not had a great run lately, the switch-hitting Albies is much better from the right side. He has a .513 slugging percentage against lefties, so the matchup against Miami’s Baxton Garrett is a good fit for him.

Facing Garrett, in particular, is also good news for Albies. While the sample size is small, he’s 4 for 5 with two doubles in his career against Garrett. The lefty got knocked around in his first start of the season, and since most of the home runs he’s given up in his career have come against right-handed hitters, Albies is set up for success on Tuesday.

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Jo Adell Anytime Home Run (+340) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The only starting pitcher scheduled to pitch on Tuesday who’s among the league leaders in home runs allowed is Jacob Lopez of the A’s. The southpaw owns a 5.80 ERA while also giving up 10 home runs in just 40.1 innings this year. Even worse, he’s giving up exactly two home runs in three consecutive starts.

Since nobody on the Angels has faced Lopez before, we can’t base anything on track record. Of course, nobody on the Angels hits lefties better than Adell. All six of Adell’s home runs this season have come against left-handed pitchers, giving him a .649 slugging percentage against southpaws. Even amidst some struggles of late, it’s worth betting on Adell against a left-handed starter who gives up a lot of home runs.

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