Bo Bichette isn’t a name we often look for when making home run predictions, but we are locking in on him today. The former Toronto star has had a hard time settling in with the Mets, but his bat is heating up in a big way in June. While he isn’t known as a power hitter, his recent play has us believing he’ll go deep against Aaron Nola and the Phillies today.
We’ll share why we like him to add another home run to his growing total today, along with two other home run prop bets we love.
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| Best Home Run Predictions Today | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton Anytime Home Run | +250 | Minnesota Twins 52% |
| Bo Bichette Anytime Home Run | +590 | New York Mets 47% |
| Miguel Vargas Anytime Home Run | +285 | Chicago White Sox 41% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the three players we’re locked in on.
The Twins are off to a rough start in 2026, but that’s not Buxton’s fault. The 32-year-old is batting .275 and has hit the third-most home runs in baseball (23). He’s currently having his best month, with a .340 average, six home runs, and a 1.149 OPS halfway through June. We believe the stage is set for him to add to that total tonight.
Buxton and Minnesota will be up against Rangers’ starter Jack Leiter (3-6, 4.97 ERA, 1.41 WHIP). The struggling young righty seemed to be settling in last month, but he’s been hammered in his first two starts of June. He’s lasted a combined 9 ⅔ innings, allowing 11 runs (10 earned) and three home runs.
Buxton has faced Leiter just twice before, delivering a home run and a double.
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We’re digging deep on this one to find a familiar name that offers some incredible value. While Mets fans have been disappointed by the young star’s early play, things have been turning around in a big way this month. He’s batting .362 with a .999 OPS this month, and has launched three home runs over the last week alone.
The price for this bet is due to Bichette not being a true power hitter. He tallied a career-high 29 home runs in 2021, but his numbers have steadily been decreasing ever since. While that makes Bichette a risky bet most days, we believe the pitching matchup will help keep his bat hot today.
The Phillies will be sending Aaron Nola (3-4, 5.86 ERA, 1.47 WHIP) out to the mound to start against the Mets. The former All-Star is having a brutal 2026 campaign, posting an ERA over 5.30 in three consecutive months. While home runs haven’t been the reason for his struggles, Nola has allowed 13 over 70 ⅔ innings this season. That includes two that came over 4 ⅔ innings in his last start.
Bichette has faced the veteran ten times and has delivered four hits, including a double and one home run.
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We have had an absolute blast following the White Sox's improbable rise to the top of the AL Central in 2026.
One reason for the team’s success is Miguel Vargas, who has stepped up to replace the power production of an injured Munetaka Murakami. The third baseman is third on the team with 16 home runs while driving in the most RBIs (44). While he hasn’t gone deep since June 1, his .940 OPS in June suggests that will soon change.
Another reason to back Vargas is Yankees starter Ryan Weathers (2-5, 4.36 ERA, 1.17 WHIP). As impressive as his WHIP is, home runs remain a major problem for the lefty. He’s given up 15 on the season, and seven over his last three starts (17 innings).
Vargas has been crushing southpaws this season, which is bad news for Weathers. He’s batting .338 with a 1.162 OPS and seven home runs over 71 at-bats.
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