Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Riding With Riley on Friday

The Detroit Tigers are having a brutal start to the season, but we are locked in on one of their stars today. Riley Greene’s power numbers are down in 2026, but he’s continued to put up impressive offensive numbers. The star hit 36 home runs last season, giving us reason to believe his slow start won’t last for long.

Below, we’ll share why we like Greene to go deep tonight, along with some of our other favorite home run predictions.

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Best Home Run Predictions for Friday, June 19

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Home Run Picks for Friday, June 19

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the three players we’re locked in on. 

Riley Greene Anytime Home Run (+470) at FanDuel Sportsbook

This is our favorite home run prop bet of the day, and it isn’t even close.

Riley Greene is off to another great season for the Tigers, despite only hitting eight home runs. He failed to go deep in May, but he’s already done so four times this month. That gives us confidence that we’ll see the same version of Greene, who hit 36 last year, will soon return.

Another reason we love Greene’s chances to go deep is his stats at home this season. He’s hit half of his home runs at home, where his average is almost 35 points higher than on the road. His last two long balls came in during the team’s last home stand, and we think he adds to that as he returns to Detroit tonight.

We also love that Erick Fedde (2-5, 4.50 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) will be on the mound for the White Sox. While he’s been improving in June, the veteran allowed eight home runs over five starts (20 innings) in May. Given his past struggles to keep the ball in the park, we don’t believe his recent improvement will last long.

Fedde has also been awful on the road in 2026, going 1-4 with a 6.18 ERA.

Over nine career at-bats, Greene has five hits and a home run against the White Sox starter.

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Bryan Reynolds Anytime Home Run (+290) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Pirates outfielder has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last two weeks. Against the A’s earlier this week, the switch-hitter went 7-13 with two home runs and five RBIS over three games. We believe his bat will stay hot tonight as he heads to hitter-friendly Coors Field.

Reynolds will be facing a struggling Colorado starter in Kyle Freeland (1-1, 7.98 ERA, 1.70 WHIP). The veteran southpaw is having the worst season of his career in 2026 and isn’t showing signs of turning things around. In his last start, Freeland allowed the A’s to score six runs on ten hits and one home run over 5 ⅔ innings. He has not posted a quality start since April 7.

Freeland’s slump is good news for Reynolds, who has been crushing left-handed pitching all season. He’s batting .322 with a .997 OPS over 90 at-bats, giving us plenty of confidence to back him against a struggling Freeland tonight.

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Corbin Carroll Anytime Home Run (+470) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Carroll’s average has begun to decline after a hot start to June, the outfielder continues to crush the ball when he makes contact. He leads Arizona with 13 home runs, and he has thrived when playing at Chase Field. He’s batting .293 with eight home runs over 133 at-bats at home this season, and we think that trend continues against the Twins.

Minnesota will be sending rookie Connor Prielipp (2-4, 5.26 ERA, 1.35 WHIP) to start tonight. The lefty has been wildly inconsistent as he struggles to miss bats at the MLB level. While he’s only allowed five home runs, he’ll be facing a very different challenge against Carroll tonight.

We’re willing to look past Prielipp’s low home run total thanks to Carroll’s stats against southpaws. He’s batting .389 with a 1.112 OPS over 90 at-bats, which will be bad news for the rookie starter.

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