In case you haven’t noticed, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been playing like a legend in June. He’s getting on base a ton and has begun hitting home runs at a historic pace. While we know the young star struggles with consistency, we plan on riding his hot bat when placing home run props today.
We’ll share why we love PCA’s chances to go deep tonight, along with two other home run predictions from today’s slate of games.
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| Best Home Run Predictions Today | FanDuel Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong Anytime Home Run | +470 | Chicago Cubs 54% |
| Brandon Lowe Anytime Home Run | +240 | Pittsburgh Pirates 65% |
| Corbin Carroll Anytime Home Run | +370 | Arizona Diamondbacks 54% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the three players we’re locked in on.
The young Cubs star has been the best hitter in baseball in June, posting a .406 BA, 1.341 OPS, and eight home runs. His power numbers have been off the charts, but he’s also seeing the ball better than anyone we’ve been watching. That always makes him a solid home run prop bet, regardless of who is on the mound.
The Blue Jays will be sending Patrick Corbin (2-3, 4.57 ERA, 1.48 WHIP) out to start against the Cubs. The 36-year-old has been a back-end starter since 2021, and he’s on pace for another disappointing season in 2026. While he is a ground-ball pitcher who doesn’t give up many home runs, PCA’s incredible hot streak gives us confidence he’ll take Corbin deep today.
The last time Corbin visited Wrigley Field, he only lasted four innings, allowing three runs and a home run.
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The Pirates have gotten everything they could have hoped for when adding Brandon Lowe. The Former Tays star leads the team with 18 home runs and 49 RBIs. While he is struggling to get on base in June, that hasn’t stopped him from adding four more home runs to his total. With the date against a bad pitcher in Coors Field tonight, there is plenty of reason to believe Lowe will add another long ball.
Lowe will be up against Tomoyuki Sugana (7-4, 4.54 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) on the mound tonight. The righty has improved in his second season in the MLB, but the 36-year-old hasn’t delivered a quality start since May 22. His last two outings were especially bad, allowing nine earned runs and two home runs over ten innings.
Lowe faced Sugano three times last year and posted two hits, including a home run.
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After a slow start to the season, Corbin Carroll’s power has come back in a big way. He has already gone deep six times in June, despite seeing his batting average begin to tank. The right fielder has been especially great when at home, where he owns a .996 OPS with eight home runs.
One big reason we like Carroll tonight is Minnesota starter, Taj Bradley (5-3, 4.14 ERA, 1.34 WHIP). While he was excellent at keeping the ball in the park over his first three seasons, that’s changed since he arrived in Minnesota. He has already surrendered 11, putting him on pace to set a new career-high.
Bradley’s struggles have been getting worse in June, allowing five home runs over his previous two starts (11 innings). It seems the 25-year-old is shaken, giving us even more reason to bet against him tonight.
Carroll has faced Bradley six times and posted three hits, including two home runs.
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