Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Picking Out Tuesday’s Vulnerable Pitchers

Tuesday is one of those days when picking home run targets is more about pitchers than hitters. Of course, we have targeted some bona fide power hitters. More importantly, we’ve targeted hitters who are facing pitchers who are either inexperienced or have been prone to giving up home runs this season, adding to our confidence in today’s picks.

For more daily MLB coverage, check our selection of the Best NRFI Bets Today.

Best Home Run Predictions for Tuesday, June 23

Odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for a FanDuel account and claim your bonus: Get $350 in Bonus Bets – Guaranteed when you bet $5 every day for 7 days. Read more about this offer in our FanDuel Promo Code overview.

If you are in a state where FanDuel is not yet legal, we recommend trying Kalshi, one of the best prediction markets in the US. Sign up using Kalshi promo code WSN to get a $10 bonus after making 100 contracts.

Home Run Picks for Tuesday, June 23

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the players we’re locked in on. 

Kyle Schwarber Anytime Home Run (+158) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Granted, the odds for Schearber aren’t particularly lucrative these days. But he’s the best home run hitter in the game right now, and he’s facing one of the worst pitchers at preventing home runs in Zack Littell. That combination feels like a safe bet, so we have to take a chance on it.

Schwarber is up to 29 home runs on the season, including four in his last six games. Meanwhile, Littell has allowed 20 home runs in just 71 innings of work this season. That’s the second-most home runs allowed in the majors in 2026. While Schwarber has only three career at-bats against Littell, one of those at-bats ended in a home run, so another one on Tuesday isn’t far-fetched.

Bet $5 Daily at FanDuel, Get $350 in Bonus Bets

Willson Contreras Anytime Home Run (+285) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Contreras and the Red Sox had an unusually low-scoring game at Coors Field on Monday. But that’s unlikely to be the case for a second straight game. With 16 home runs on the season, Contreras is Boston’s best option to take advantage of the thin air in Colorado.

The Red Sox will get their first look at rookie Sean Sullivan. In his first two big league starts, the lefty has posted a 10.29 ERA. Oddly enough, both starts came on the road, so he’s yet to deal with Coors Field, meaning things could get even worse for him. Contreras is slugging .605 against lefties with five home runs in just 61 at-bats, so he’s poised to take advantage of a vulnerable lefty.

Score $50 in Bonus Bets Every Day for 7 Days at FanDuel

Sal Stewart Anytime Home Run (+370) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Stewart is another hitter hoping to take advantage of a young pitcher on Tuesday. Milwaukee’s Brandon Sproat has posted a 5.94 ERA across 14 outings this season. He’s also allowed 13 home runs, with hitters from both sides of the plate doing damage against him. 

To his credit, Sproat held Stewart to an 0-for-3 when he faced him late last season. However, Stewart is a much better hitter this season. He’s proven that he can handle hard-throwing righties, hitting nine of his 14 home runs against right-handed pitchers. Stewart has eight hits in his last eight games, and half of them are extra-base hits, putting him in a nice groove to face a vulnerable pitcher like Sproat.

Bet $5 at FanDuel and Lock In Your $350 Bonus

Shea Langeliers Anytime Home Run (+320) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Robbie Ray doesn’t typically qualify as a vulnerable pitcher, but the reigning Cy Young winner has had some issues this season, most notably when facing right-handed power hitters. The southpaw has allowed 14 home runs this season, 13 of which have been hit by right-handed hitters. That makes Langeliers the perfect player on the A’s to target for a home run prop.

Langeliers already has 19 home runs this season, putting him on pace to top last year’s career-high of 31. He’s feasted on lefties all year, batting .338 with a .675 slugging percentage against southpaws like Ray. In fact, he’s 2 for 4 with a home run in his brief career against Ray, putting him in an advantageous position on Tuesday.

Bet $5 Daily at FanDuel, Get $350 in Bonus Bets