New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Predictions and Picks: Yankees Look to End Three-Game Losing Streak

Written by: Max Heering
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • The New York Yankees have lost eight of their last nine games.
  • The Boston Red Sox have lost four of their last six games.
  • The Yankees are 6-5 against the Red Sox this season.

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds

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Yankees Vs Red Sex 8 13 2022

Moneyline Analysis

The New York Yankees will face the Boston Red Sox in the second game of a three-game series. The Yankees are the second-best team in the American League and fourth-best in the MLB, but they have been struggling lately. They lost 3-2 in ten innings last night for their third loss in a row and eighth loss in nine games. This Yankees team is still one of the best in the league; they are just going through a slump.

On the other side, the Red Sox are having a disappointing season but have won their last two games. They now sit at 56-58 and are four games out of the third Wild Card spot. I do not expect them to make the Playoffs this season (especially with the emergence of the new-look Baltimore Orioles), but if they start stringing together wins now, they can swipe a Wild Card spot.

According to DraftKings, the Yankees have the moneyline edge at -145. Even though they are going through their toughest stretch of the season right now, they are still expected to pull out a victory. I would go with the safe bet and pick the Yankees on the moneyline. Their hitting has been struggling mightily lately (they are only averaging two runs per game over their last three), but they are bringing an impressive pitcher to the mound in Frankie Montas. Montas was traded to the Yankees at the Trade Deadline and had a poor first start for New York, giving up six earned runs in three innings,  but I expect him to turn it around this game. He will be the main reason the Yankees win and end their three-game skid.

The Red Sox will put Kutter Crawford on the mound. The 26-year-old from Okeechobee, Florida, started the season as a reliever but was promoted to starter. He has a 3-4 record with a 4.30 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. He is a decent pitcher but not nearly as dominant as Frankie Montas.

If you combine Frankie Montas’ superior pitching with the bats of Aaron Judge, DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Rizzo, you can see why the Yankees will win the game.

Over/Under Analysis

The over/under for this matchup is placed at nine runs. I see the Yankees winning 6-4, so I would pick the over.

The over is the better bet for a couple of reasons. The main reason is the Yankees and Red Sox both have great lineups and are both averaging well over four runs a game. I am also confident this game will go above nine runs because of the Red Sox’ pitching. Kutter Crawford is not the Red Sox best starter, but Boston also do not have a great bullpen. In fact, they have one of the worst. The Red Sox’ relievers have an average ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.32. I would not be surprised if they give up a few runs to the Yankees’ heavy hitters.

The Yankees and Red Sox also know how to hit home runs, propelling them to above nine runs. In conclusion, pick the over.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks

New York Yankees beat Boston Red Sox 6-4

Yankees cover the spread, Over 9 runs.

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Injury Report

Team Player POS Status
Yankees Matt Carpenter RF 10-Day IL
Yankees Josh Breaux C Day-to-Day
Yankees Everson Periera CF Day-to-Day
Yankees Jake Bauers 1B Day-to-Day
Yankees Giancarlo Stanton DH 10-Day IL
Yankees Oswaldo Peraza SS Day-to-Day
Yankees Harrison Bader CF 10-Day IL
Yankees Matt Bowman RP Day-to-Day
Yankees Luis Gil P Day-to-Day
Yankees Brendan Beck  SP Day-to-Day
Red Sox Michael Wacha SP 10-Day IL
Red Sox Tanner Houck RP 15-Day IL
Red Sox Tyler Danish RP 15-Day IL
Red Sox Trevor Story 2B 10-Day IL
Red Sox Chris Sale SP 15-Day IL
Red Sox Matt Strahm RP 15-Day IL
Red Sox Brayan Bello SP 15-Day IL
Red Sox Rob Refsnyder RF 10-Day IL
Red Sox Brandon Walter SP Day-to-Day
Red Sox Jeremy Wu-Yelland SP Day-to-Day
Red Sox Noah Song SP Day-to-Day
Red Sox Dan Alta villa RP Day-to-Day

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Predictions

I will always recommend watching a Yankees-Red Sox game. These two teams have such a historical and intense rivalry, so something interesting is always bound to happen. This game is no exception to that rule. These teams seem to trade off wins when they play each other, and the pitching duel tonight will present for an interesting situation.

Frankie Montas is a great pitcher and a great pickup for the Yankees, but this only his second start for them. I expect him to pitch well, but there is a chance he does not find his bearings and gives the Red Sox a chance to win the game. On the other side, Kutter Crawford has proven to be a mediocre starter. He has had some impressive starts, but he has also had a few tough ones. It is very difficult to say how he will pitch tonight, but I do not expect it to be a dominant outing. 

Regardless of the pitching duel, the bats will be out tonight. The Yankees are still without Giancarlo Stanton, but they have all the other sluggers, and the Red Sox will bring most of their big boys out tonight, so there should be at least a few runs.

Bet on the Yankees’ moneyline, Yankees to cover the spread, and on the over.

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How To Watch Yankees vs Red Sox

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Information
What New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Where Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
When Saturday, August 13, 7:15 PM EST
How to Watch MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, FOX
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Max Heering

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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court.
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