Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC Prediction: Union Eyes Third Conference Finals Berth

• Supporters’ Shield winners, Philadelphia, won their opening best-of-3 series, dismantling Chicago in a sweep

• NYCFC were taken to all three games in their first-round matchup against Charlotte FC 

On Sunday evening, NYCFC will travel to Subaru Park to face the Philadelphia Union in the MLS conference semifinal. These two adversaries met twice this season, and on both occasions, each side toppled the other on their home pitch. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC Betting Odds for Sunday, November 23

The books have pegged the home club as favourites within the 90-minute frame. Philadelphia are listed at -114 to win while NYCFC are priced at +265. If both teams are level going into extra time the draw is penned in at +280.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC Odds

The following odds are taken from BetRivers sportsbook. Claim your bonus at BetRivers: $100 Bonus Bet.

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Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC Betting Prediction

Philadelphia Union Preview

Bradley Carnell’s men were a sturdy force throughout the 2025 regular season, topping the overall table for the second time in club history. Taking on the eighth-seeded Chicago Fire, the Union made quick work of their first-round opponent, outscoring them five to two. Philadelphia dominated the series without their star midfielder, Quinn Sullivan. 

Sullivan was a key starter for his side in 2025, scoring two goals and recording seven assists across 28 league appearances. Though it’s a massive missing piece, the Union still boasts quality throughout its lineup, including Tai Baribo. The 27-year-old striker amassed 18 goals, setting a career high. Against the Fire in game two, Baribo was the star of the show, scoring a pair of goals.

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New York City FC Preview

Pascal Jansen’s troops were the only club in the first round of the postseason to move on into the next phase as the lower seed. NYCFC's upset of Charlotte FC in the series has instilled newfound confidence in this group. Playing again on the road won’t be a huge detriment for The Boys in Blue, as they have only suffered six setbacks in 17 away trips throughout the MLS campaign. 

Though NYCFC is a threat to the Union, during the international window, the club  received devastating news: their star striker, Alonso Martinez, suffered a knee injury. He suffered his injury while representing his home nation, Costa Rica, during the World Cup Qualifiers. Another member of the starting-11 who went down with an injury in their decisive game three tilt was midfielder Andrés Perea, who contributed five goal contributions this season.

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Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC - My Pick

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC pick: Philadelphia Union moneyline 3-way (-114) at BetRivers

The playoffs are becoming a war of attrition after a gruelling MLS campaign, with Philadelphia the healthier side of two going into this weekend's contests. The Union made Subaru Park a fortress that could not be breached, recording 12 home wins while allowing only 15 total goals. Head-to-head, the Union don’t have a spectacular record at home against NYCFC, with eight wins in 14 meetings across all competitions. That said, we feel that with Philadelphia’s lethal home form in 2025 and taking on a side missing key influential players, the signs point towards backing the hosts.

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How to Watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC

• When: November 23, 7.30 p.m. ET

• Where: Subaru Park

• TV: MLS Season Pass, Apple TV