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2024 MLS Cup Winner Outrights: Odds, Prediction, and Best Picks

Written by: Angelo Zarra
Updated October 11, 2024
8 min read

The 29th edition of Major League Soccer is well underway, with the 2024 season ending in October 19. This season has provided several surprising outcomes to the spectators. However, as predicted by many, Inter Miami are leading the charge in the Supporters’ Shield table registering 71 points through 33 matches played, capturing the trophy for the first time in their history. 

The MLS Cup holders, Columbus Crew, start to their title defense has got of to a shaky start but now currently sit in second place in the East with 60 points through 32 matches, four points ahead of their instate bitter rivals, FC Cincinnati. 

The 2023 Supporters’ Shield winners, FC Cincinnati, are off to where they left off last year, securing points. Cincinnati currently occupies the third-place spot and will finish in that position as they can’t move up or down the table with one regular season match left. It should be a thrilling playoff season with the class of clubs out of the east that could make a deep playoff run. 

Los Angeles FC the once high-flying high-octane club in MLS is gaining momentum as the campaign is progressing. Currently sitting in second place in the west, The Black and Gold Falcons Defensive side of their game has rapidly improved overall this year.

2024 Major League Soccer Cup Winner Outrights Odds

Odds from bet365 sportsbook. Click the odds below to place your bets and claim a bonus: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $200 in Bonus Bets.

TeamOdds
Inter Miami FC+150
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LA Galaxy +350
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Columbus Crew+800
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Los Angeles FC +800
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Real Salt Lake+1600
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Seattle Sounders+1600
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FC Cincinnati +2000
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Houston Dynamo +3300
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New York City FC+4000
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Orlando City SC +5000
BET HERE

Inter Miami captured the Supporters’ Shield for the first time in franchise history, finishing as the regular season champions as the the top side in MLS. Below them, there has been a lot of movement due to the recent outcomes. The Columbus Crew have leapfrogged multiple teams and are now among the top five competitors to win the prestigious Cup this season.

Meanwhile, the Vancouver Whitecaps and New York Red Bulls have dropped a few places and out of the top 10 after their subpar performances in campaign latterly. Meanwhile, in the west, the Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo have entered the conversation as MLS Cup hopefuls cracking into the top 10 thanks to their solid form in recent weeks. Jordan Morris and Albert Rusnak are heating up at the right time leading the Sounders up the table, making them a threat to go deep in another MLS playoff drive.

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MLS Cup 2024 – Analysis

Inter Miami are still battling to maintain the top spot in the Eastern Conference as they still possess the best odds to claim the MLS Cup. The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner Messi suffered an injury at the  2024 Copa America. While missing their world talent, Inter Miami have only suffered three defeats in their last 11 competitive matches, though one of those defeats was a huge blow as Inter Miami suffered a 3-2 setback in the Leagues Cup, eliminating the club and any hope of a repeat. 

Meanwhile, LA Galaxy are looking for redemption this season, and a resurgence could be on the cards after the five-time MLS Cup winners finished 13th in the Western Conference last season after winning just eight out of 34 league games. After 33 rounds, the club is in first place in the Western Conference with 64 points.

Greg Vanney’s men have significantly improved in year two under his tenure. In 2023 the Galaxy to finished the campaign with eight victories, this campaign they have already collected seven with still half a season to complete. A certain Los Galácticos player is making waves in MLS this season is the young talented defender Julian Aude. His stock keeps on rapidly rising each passing week showcasing his skills. His effect has also helped out the backline on this squad conceding an average of 1.9 goals against in 2023 versus the 1.45 average the club is advertising so far in 2024.

New York City based clubs have shown signs of improvement compared to last season, However, Real Salt Lake could become a genuine title contenders out of this Group. Their last MLS Cup glory came in 2009, and now they are relying on Cristian Arango, one the league's top goal-getters in MLS with 17 markers after 29 contests to become title contenders again.

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MLS Cup 2024 – Prediction

After scoring 73 goals in 33 matches, Inter Miami have already shown how prolific their attack is. Scoring almost three goals per match, the front three of Messi, Suarez, and Taylor will be hard to stop for any defense in the league. In midfield, Sergio Busquets has been robust and controls the tempo of the game well.

The back four of Jordi Alba, Tomas Aviles, Nicolas Freire, and DeAndre Yedlin looks staunch. Inter Miami are strong in all three departments. Drake Callender has kept five clean sheets in the 31 appearances. 

With the conclusion of the MLS campaign coming to a near end, the true contenders have identified themselves as MLS Cup contenders. The resurging LA Galaxy will look to finish as the top team in the west this year, and their rivals, Los Angeles FC, will have their eye on the MLS Cup after losing in last year's finals.

The defending champions, Columbus Crew, and last season’s Shield winners, FC Cincinnati, are also expected to be in the race. New York City FC were staring at a sluggish 2024, but in recent weeks they have redeemed themselves and back in the playoff picture flirting with a top five position in the table. New York Red Bulls have shown signs of improvement this year and have punched their ticket to the playoffs.

Based on the current form and squad analysis, it is safe to say that Inter Miami are one of the strongest clubs, if not the strongest, this season. They have the firepower to win the MLS Cup 2024.

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My Pick - Real Salt Lake (+1600) at bet365

They might not be the trendy team like Inter Miami or Los Angeles FC but Real Salt Lake are making noise in MLS and has what it takes to lift the MLS Cup at the end of the year. What makes an MLS club a true contender is their away form in a home-dominant league. RSL have only been defeated once in nine road games, making them a threat to grab a result in any situation. It also helps they possess one of the most lethal strikers in the competition with Cristian Arango currently amassing 17 goals, six behind the Golden-boot leader. Its worth a shot to sprinkle on RSL at +600, if they continue this form the number will shrink and get lower odds.

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MLS Cup History

Which Team Is the Current Major League Soccer Title Holders?

Columbus Crew are the current Major League Soccer title holders after beating LAFC in last season’s MLS Cup final.

Which Club Has Won the Most Major League Soccer Titles?

Los Angeles Galaxy are the most successful Major League Soccer team with five titles. They’re followed by DC United, who have won it four times.

Last 10 Major League Soccer Title Winners

TeamYear
Columbus Crew2023
Los Angeles FC2022
New York City FC2021
Columbus Crew2020
Seattle Sounders2019
Atlanta United2018
Toronto FC2017
Seattle Sounders2016
Portland Timbers2015
Los Angeles Galaxy2014

MLS Cup Winner FAQ

How Many Teams Have Won the Major League Soccer Title?

Was Major League Soccer Called Something Else Before?

What Happens if You Win the Major League Soccer Title?

When Is the Major League Soccer Winner Announced?

How Can I Watch Major League Soccer on TV?

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Angelo Zarra WSN Contributor

Angelo Zarra

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
Liga MX
Betting Picks
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid. In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Accounting and Payroll
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: PowerPlay Casino
Experience: 15 years
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