NBA Player Props and Best Bets for November 11: Jalen Green Ready to Dominate?
The NBA is back in session on Monday, and we’ve got the best player prop picks from around the league.
The Sacramento Kings beat the Phoenix Suns in overtime behind 34 points from DeMar DeRozan, while the Boston Celtics handed the Milwaukee Bucks yet another loss, dropping them to 2-8 on the year.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors beat the Oklahoma City Thunder to draw level with them at 8-2 atop the Western Conference. This early-season showdown is already shaking up the NBA Western Conference odds for the championship title.
Without further ado, here are our best NBA player props for Monday.
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Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, November 11
Dorian Finney-Smith Over 7.5 Points (-130) at FanDuel
The veteran swingman averaged 10 points per game and went over in seven of 10 games thus far. He shot nearly identical percentages from three on the home and on the road and gets to face a New Orleans Pelicans team that posted the second-worst defensive rating in basketball.
One of the biggest culprits in the Pelicans’ defensive struggles is their three-point defense. They allowed opponents to make 38.1 percent of their attempts, the second-highest mark in the league, which should give Finney-Smith enough space to go over this line.
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Jalen Green Over 2.5 Threes (-138) at FanDuel
Green is the focal point of the Rockets’ offense, having increased his usage rate even further from where it was last year. He had a poor month shooting the three ball (27.8 percent) but still took 7.2 attempts per game and went over in six of 10 games.
The Houston Rockets are facing the Washington Wizards, who allowed their opponents to shoot 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and who don’t have a great defensive mindset. Green never hesitates to take his shots and has a strong chance to add another over to his total.
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Jose Alvarado Under 3.5 Rebounds (-113) at FanDuel
Alvarado is 6-foot-nothing on a great day and isn’t an explosive leaper. He grabbed five boards in his last game but went under in seven of 10 games and split the over/under once he received a minutes increase in the fifth game of the season.
The Brooklyn Nets are not a great rebounding team, but they have athletic players who are more than capable of swallowing up loose balls. Alvarado is also on the court to defend and shoot threes, not to crash the glass, which is why we like him to go under this line.
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James Harden Under 21.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
Harden averaged 21.2 points per game and is down to 18.6 in the month of November. He went under in three of five games this month and only shot 36.1 percent from the field and 29.6 percent from three for the year as a whole.
The OKC Thunder allowed teams to score 102.9 points per game, which is by far the fewest in the NBA. They're also without Chet Holmgren, which means they’ll have even more switchable guards (all of whom are excellent defenders) to throw at Haren who might shine as a playmaker but should struggle to score the ball.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 1.5 Threes (-122) at FanDuel
An NBA MVP candidate last year, Gilgeous-Alexander appeared to be more comfortable shooting threes at the start of the year, though recent games suggest that was just an aberration. He did not make multiple threes in his last four games and took 10 total attempts during that stretch.
The 26-year-old is only shooting 26.4 percent from three for the season and is not known as a long-range sniper. The Los Angeles Clippers have also done a solid job limiting their opponents from beyond the arc, holding them to an average of 34.6 percent.
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