Celtics vs Heat Game 7 Odds: Will History Be Made?

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published May 30, 2023
6 min read
  • Derrick White sent the Celtics to a Game 7 with a buzzer-beater tip-in
  • Boston blew a double-digit lead in the final four minutes of Game 6, but prevailed 
  • Jimmy Butler was 5 of 21 from the field in Game 6

The Boston Celtics are one win away from history on Monday night. If the Celtics can beat the Heat at home, they’ll be the first team in NBA history to overcome a 3-0 deficit. Boston seems like a team of destiny following their Game 6 victory, which occurred because of a Derrick White’s tip-in buzzer beater. White released the ball from his fingertips with 0.1 seconds remaining on the clock, and it saved the Celtics season. Boston has every advantage at home, but most of the money is coming in on Miami in Game 7. Let’s break down the matchup and best bets for Monday’s winner take all Eastern Conference Final. 

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Celtics vs Heat Odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Team

Moneyline

Spread

Total 

Heat

+245

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+7.5 (-110)

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Over 203.5 (-110)

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Celtics

-300

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-7.5 (-110)

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Under 203.5 (-110)

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Celtics vs Heat Predictions

Celtics vs Heat Preview

The Celtics are 48 minutes away from history, and they have every opportunity to make it happen on Monday. Boston has all the momentum in the series, following three straight wins, two of which coming on the road. After Game 6, Jayson Tatum said, “I’ve never been so excited to go back to Boston in my life.” This is definitely the feeling amongst the entire roster as there is a ton of excitement in the City of Champions. Boston is no stranger to 3-0 comebacks…just look at the 2004 Boston Red Sox. There are rumors going around that the team has been watching the “Four Days in October” 30 for 30 for extra motivation so they can get the job done. 

It’s important to remember, Boston should’ve never been in this position. They’re clearly the better team, and have been outplayed by a roster of undrafted players. The Celtics had a ten point lead with four minutes left in Game 6, and blew it, but still got lucky. However, if the Heat would have made a couple more shots in crunch time, they likely are representing the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals. 

The key for both teams will be the stars’ ability to score the basketball. Jimmy Butler was 5 of 21 in Game 6, while Tatum struggled to score in the fourth quarter. He had a dominant first half, but went extremely quiet down the stretch. Players like Marcus Smart have been massive for Boston, but these efforts will only go so far. If Tatum plays like he is capable, Boston will win and likely cover in Game 7. However, this is a big IF based on what we’ve seen from Tatum in crunch time. 

Boston Celtics Preview

The Celtics need to learn how to put teams away. Boston has been in multiple spots to win games in the Eastern Conference Final, and they’ve handed wins to Miami. In Game 1, the Celtics had a 93% chance to win the matchup, but blew a double-digit lead in the second half and lost. The same thing occurred in Game 2, as Boston shot under 30% from the three point line and lost by a narrow margin. They were only blown out once in Game 3.
Jaylen Brown’s production has been skyrocketing over the past couple of games, which has relieved Tatum. Tatum has been good in this series, but greatness has been hard to find. Even though Brown has been playing like a secondary star, the Celtics will live and die with Tatum in Game 7. It took the whole team to come back in three games, but it takes a star to finish the job. Tatum was amazing in Game 7 against the 76ers last round, so expect another strong outing from the forward. 

Miami Heat Preview

Butler took responsibility for Miami’s loss in Game 6. He could barely get the ball in the hoop and the same goes for Bam Adebayo. Neither star came to play until the final minutes, but it wasn’t enough to win. Butler is a player who doesn’t typically have consecutive bad nights. Although, Boston’s defense has been relentless and they’re playing a more physical brand of basketball. The Heat have also seen their bench overperform.

Every chance Miami has taken has been due to the Celtics not playing great basketball. When the Heat had the chance to finish in Game 6, they couldn’t and it will be a moment they look back on after falling in Game 7. Over 80% of the bets are on Miami at +7.5, but sharp money is on the side of the Celtics. 

Celtics vs Heat Pick

The Boston Celtics are better than the Miami Heat. It has taken Boston a long time to prove this in the series. However, Game 7 is an opportunity for the Celtics to advance to the Finals and become the first team to overcome a 3-0 deficit. We should see a great battle between Tatum and Butler, but the Celtics will find a way in Game 7. With sharp money being on Boston, it’s best to lay the points with the Celtics. 

PICK: Celtics -7.5

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How to Watch Celtics vs Heat

  • Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
  • Game Time & Date: MAY 29 @ 8:30 p.m ET
  • Channel: TNT
  • Streaming: TNT App
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Image for Tanner Kern

Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NCAAF
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: Fanatics Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace
Experience:
4 years
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