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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Picks, Predictions and Odds: Expect a Lack of Scoring Opportunities for the Sooners Offense

Contributors
Published November 22, 2024
5 min read
  • Alabama is listed as one of the betting favorites to win the SEC Conference Championship

  • Alabama’s defense ranks top-35 in Def Success Rate, Havoc, Explosiveness, and Finishing Drives

  • Oklahoma’s offense is near dead last in Pass Success Rate and PPA

While Alabama is technically not in full control of their own destiny, they still have a great opportunity to secure a berth for the SEC Conference Championship should they win their last two remaining games on their schedule. That starts with a road matchup against the Oklahoma Sooners, getting the opportunity to face off against an offense who has struggled to consistently move the ball down the field since Jackson Arnold took over as their starting quarterback.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma Odds

Odds for the Alabama vs. Oklahoma Saturday's matchup are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets on this matchup and claim $150 in bonus bets at FanDuel.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama -13.5 (-114) -580 Over 46.5 (-115)
Oklahoma +13.5 (-106) +420 Under 46.5 (-105)
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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Predictions

Alabama vs. Oklahoma My Pick

Jackson Arnold has struggled in his efforts of stretching out opposing coverage with his arm this season, relying on a heavy amount of conservative throws for minimal success as their near dead last marks in Pass Success Rate and Pass PPA indicates. Against an Alabama defense who excels at limiting opposing offensive production when in the middle of the field, expect a lack of scoring opportunities for the Sooners offense.

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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Predictions

Alabama Preview

Even though Alabama still needs Missouri to beat either Mississippi State or Arkansas, the Crimson Tide have a great opportunity to play in the SEC Conference Championship. An almost unfathomable feat after suffering two losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee, yet chaos to the rest of the field have helped keep them in contention. They still need to win out in order to make the conference championship, starting with a matchup against the Oklahoma Sooners as a two score betting favorite.

Heading into Saturday, the Crimson Tide’s defense will have the opportunity to neutralize Oklahoma’s offense as the Sooners have struggled to generate offensive production when in the middle of the field. Especially in regard to their pass attack as Jackson Arnold has failed in his efforts of stretching out opposing coverage, entering the contest ranked 121st in both Pass Success Rate and Pass PPA.

Against Alabama, Arnold will continue to struggle with generating pass production as the Tide’s secondary ranks 3rd overall in Def Pass Success Rate, 17th in Def Pass PPA, and 29th in Def Pass Explosiveness. The Sooners ground game will also struggle to command defensive attention to the middle of the box as the Tides front seven have been as equally as dominant, entering the contest ranked 29th in Def Rush Success Rate. With no clear path for success, expect a lack of trips to the red zone for the Sooners.

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Oklahoma Preview

It’s been a rough transition to the SEC for the 5-5 Oklahoma Sooners as their offense continues to severely underwhelm against higher quality defenses. Since Jackson Arnold took over as their starting quarterback, opposing defenses have had the opportunity to stack the box at a heavier rate to shut down the Sooners ground game as he has been unable to burn them by throwing over the top of their coverage.

Not only will the Sooners offense struggle to get into scoring position, but they may find themselves with less opportunities to do so as their defense will be hard pressed to get the Crimson Tide’s offense off the field. While their front seven has thrived in their efforts of stopping the run by ranking top-10 in Def Rush Success Rate, PPA, and Explosiveness, their secondary has struggled mightily as they rank below league average in the same previously mentioned metrics.

That spells potential disaster against the Crimson Tide’s Jalen Milroe as he can burn the Sooners linebacking unit with his legs when they anchor in coverage while also being capable of picking apart their gaps in coverage should they crash down. This will allow Alabama’s offense to sustain drives down the field, draining the clock while simultaneously lessening the number of Oklahoma’s offensive possessions. With fewer opportunities to put up points on the board, bet the under on Oklahoma’s team total.

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Alabama vs. Oklahoma How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, November 23rd

  • Where: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma

  • Where to Watch: ABC

Alabama vs. Oklahoma Best Promos and Sportsbooks

Check out the best promos and sportsbooks available in the U.S for the SEC conference matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Oklahoma Sooners.

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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Injuries

Alabama Injuries

  • S Keon Sabb - Out

  • WR Cole Adams - Out

  • LB Quandarrius Robinson - Out

Oklahoma Injuries

  • WR Deion Burks - Questionable

  • RB Gavin Sawchuk - Questionable

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
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Experience: 6 years
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