WNBA Player Props and Best Bets: Our Top Six Plays for Game One of the WNBA Finals

Phoenix has had a little more rest than Vegas heading into Game One of the WNBA Finals, but everyone has had a couple of days off, so fatigue is unlikely to be an issue. With only a few games left, you don’t want to miss out on the opportunity to bet on great WNBA Player Props.

Can the Phoenix defense keep A’ja Wilson from taking control? Will Alyssa Thomas record a triple-double in Game One? How many three-pointers will Satou Sabally hit? We’ll discuss these questions and more in our top five list for Game One of the WNBA Finals.

Best WNBA Prop Bets for Friday, October 3

The odds for today’s WNBA props can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook and Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up now, place a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook, and receive $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins.

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Here are some of our favorite prop bets from tonight’s games.

Phoenix Mercury Player Props

Satou Sabally, OVER 1.5 Made Threes (-140) at Fanatics

Teams have been making 36.7% of three-point attempts vs. the Aces during the postseason. Phoenix will want Sabally to test the Aces' perimeter defense early and often since they don’t have someone who can match up with her.

In seven postseason games, she has made at least two threes in five of them and made 2+ in three of four games vs. the Aces during the regular season.

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Alyssa Thomas, OVER 35.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-122) at FanDuel

This is a big number and one that will require her to do well in all three categories. In four regular-season games against the Aces, she went UNDER this TOTAL in each one.  But since the elimination game vs. New York in the first round, Thomas has taken her game to another level.

Including that game, Thomas has gone OVER this TOTAL in four of five games. Vegas has been stingy regarding assists in the playoffs, but rank in the lower half of the playoff field in scoring and rebounding.  

It may go down to the final minutes of the game, but I’m backing the OVER here.

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Kahleah Copper, UNDER 16.5 Points (-130) at Fanatics

Copper has averaged 15 points per game during the playoffs, but she has gone OVER this TOTAL just twice (both against Minnesota). In four games vs. the Aces, she averaged 11.8 points per game. 

Had she done better in the regular season against Vegas, this would be a tough call—but she didn’t. Take the UNDER.

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Las Vegas Aces Player Props

A’ja Wilson, UNDER 40.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-118) at FanDuel

Wilson is absolutely capable of going OVER this TOTAL, as high as it is. She did so in Games 4 and 5 against Indiana and in Game 3 against Seattle. In four games vs. the Mercury in the regular season, Wilson averaged 25 points,  15.7 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game.

But the Mercury will focus on taking Wilson out of the game as much as possible and keep her just UNDER this mark.

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Jackie Young, OVER 15.5 Points (-140) at Fanatics

Young averaged 16.5 points per game during the regular season, but only 14.8 per game in four contests vs. the Mercury. But in the postseason, she has stepped up her game, averaging 20.5 points per game. 

With Phoenix probably focusing on Wilson, she should see additional scoring opportunities.

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Jewell Loyd, UNDER 8.5 Points (-125) at Fanatics

Loyd just hasn’t blended in with the offense with Vegas quite like she did in Seattle. She averaged 11.2 points during the regular season and 7.3 points per game during the postseason. She finished UNDER this TOTAL in five of her last six games in the playoffs.

She may see additional opportunities depending on how well Phoenix defends Wilson, but if the regular season and postseason to date are any indication, probably not. Take the UNDER.

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