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America have a slight advantage here. They’ve got the better roster and nearly triple the amount of points as Atlas so far this season. So, when not only looking at the odds but also looking at predictions from FiveThirtyEight, why do some seem to give the one-win Atlas a fighting chance?
There’s noticeable progress for Atlas in recent weeks, and although the easy and safe answer might be selecting America for three points, Atlas should make this a tight battle.
Don’t overlook Atlas, they’ll give their visitors some trouble.
The tie for Atlas vs America
Atlas vs Club America Information | |
What | Atlas vs Club America |
Where | Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara, Mexico) |
When | Saturday, February 20th at 10:00 PM ET |
How to Watch | Univision, TUDN |
Why not America for the win? That’s the obvious question that many might be asking themselves as they’re reading this.
There’s an obvious sense of prestige for the most successful Liga MX team of all time, and up against Atlas (who haven’t won a league title since the 1950s), one wouldn’t be blamed for immediately glancing over David and selecting Goliath.
But there is something interesting there about Liga MX’s David. Atlas are a work in progress that should still aim for a stalemate that is within reach. It probably won’t be in the most exciting or entertaining fashion, but it seems to have worked so far in 2021 for the team that could develop into a playoff contender.
As mentioned earlier, Atlas aren’t exactly playing the most exciting soccer out there, but they are improving game-by-game. After earning a 0-0 draw with Pumas and 1-1 draw with Santos Laguna, Atlas recently collected their first victory of the year with a narrow 1-0 win over Pachuca.
Again, this isn’t brilliant or high-flying stuff, but it has been a quiet improvement under the leadership of manager Diego Cocca. Although he probably should have guided his roster towards scoring more goals in their last two games, the good news is that they’ve actually been defensively solid for most of the season.
And at home, they’ll have a slight boost when recognizing the drawbacks that America have suffered when needing to travel for matches.
Here’s a statistic: In their last eight games in all competitions outside of the Estadio Azteca, America have zero wins.
Granted, some of these have been up against formidable opponents, but Las Aguilas have had no excuses in their failure to get away wins over sides like Juarez and a weakened Atlanta United in the Concacaf Champions League.
It’s early in the tenure of new manager Santiago Solari, but he too seems to already be scratching his head when it comes to solving this issue. While optimists will point to America’s four wins so far this season, pessimists will recognize that none of those arrived in their away games.
There is much left to be desired for the team that only has one win so far this season, but on paper, things are getting better.
Cocca has not only claimed five points in his last three games but also has a handful of players that are beginning to show promising signs. With figures like Milton Caraglio, Jesus Angulo, Igancio Malcorra, Renato Ibarra, and Aldo Rocha all in the mix, Cocca has all of the right pieces to build an intriguing squad that could steal points away from tough opposition.
Angulo and Malcorra, especially, were a joy to watch as they helped guide Atlas to their latest win over Pachuca. Given a couple more starters continuing to build upon their momentum, and a couple of youngsters finding their form, Atlas should be able to go toe-to-toe with America this weekend.
And with at least a point in hand, they could potentially continue their climb up the league table.
Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]
More info on Cesar Hernandez
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