Cruz Azul vs Chivas Prediction, Betting Lines & Picks

Written by: Cesar Hernandez
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
Cruz Azul Vs Chivas
  • More than any other team in the league, Chivas seem to find themselves in a wealth of draws
  • Despite their impressive winning streak, Cruz Azul has had to rely on their star goalkeeper in net
  • It’s now or never for a Chivas side that has much bigger ambitions

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Cruz Azul vs Chivas Predictions and Picks

Can Cruz Azul make it 12 consecutive Liga MX wins in a row? Will Chivas unexpectedly end the incredible run?

Heading into the weekend, Chivas probably have a surprisingly decent chance. Most of their key figures have now had plenty of time to rest after taking part in Olympic qualifying matches, and with the clock ticking on a potential spot in the playoffs, it’s now or never for Los Rojiblancos.

Which isn’t to say that Cruz Azul will go down easy. Although they’ve had numerous narrow wins since February, the Mexico City side remains the team to beat in Liga MX with their place on top of the league table. That said, Chivas themselves have also racked up plenty of close results.

Despite the fact that Chivas don’t have enough firepower to push towards a win, they should still have a fighting chance at keeping this level.

Pick:

Tie

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How to Watch Cruz Azul vs Chivas

Cruz Azul vs Chivas Information
What Cruz Azul vs Chivas
Where Estadio Azteca (Mexico City, Mexico)
When Saturday, April 10th at 8:00pm ET
How to Watch Univision, TUDN

It’s only a matter of time before Cruz Azul slips up.

It’s part of their identity. Well-known as a “bad luck” club that shoots themselves in the foot when everything is going right, Cruz Azul have proven — time and time again in recent years — to stumble when it looks like everything is going their way.

And when we’re looking at some of their latest results, they do seem to be edging closer and closer towards snapping their winning streak. Of their last six victories, five of them were gained through a 1-0 scoreline.

This isn’t to belittle what Cruz Azul have accomplished, more so, it’s an observation of the margins at which they are gaining their success.

With manager Juan Reynoso leading the charge and silencing his doubters, Cruz Azul’s starters and depth players are worthy of an immense amount of praise for what they have done. That said, as mentioned earlier, they’ve played with fire far too many times and they could soon get burned by any eager club in Liga MX — and especially by one with a point to prove.

Regardless Of Their Lack Of Wins, Chivas Have Remained Competitive Through Countless Draws

It’s perhaps a lazy point to make, but it’s an obvious one: Chivas know how to get draws. That’s probably from the perspective of an optimist, but if you’re asking a more realistic pessimist: Chivas play well but fail to capitalize on chances that should be giving them wins.

A look at some of their latest run of games does plenty to highlight this. With five draws in their last seven games — and three in just their last four — Chivas have done an excellent job of remaining competitive while also unfortunately struggling with finishing.

It was apparent in their last two draws. Following 1-1 results against Santos and Mazatlan, the stats line showcased the fact that Chivas outshot their opponents. They aren’t playing poorly and do create chances, and looking ahead to this weekend, they should be able to test Cruz Azul’s net.

One Of Cruz Azul’s Top Performer Sits In Between The Sticks

A player that hasn’t been discussed enough for Cruz Azul is Jesus “Chuy” Corona. Regularly seen as an aging captain that should eventually (and perhaps quickly) give his gloves to those next in line, the 40-year-old has continued to be a wall in net.

According to WyScout’s “Prevented Goals” statistic, in the last two Liga MX seasons, Corona is only second to Santos’ Carlos Acevedo when it comes to denying goalscoring opportunities. When looking at saves in total during that time period, Corona is third in the league.

While it’s easy to point to Cruz Azul’s long list of attacking players, recent results also point to the significance that Corona has had for the club. Without him, the current winning streak might not have lasted very long…

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Crunch Time For Chivas

There’s too much pressure for a club as historic and massive as Chivas. As arguably the most popular team in North America, there are no excuses for not sneaking into a playoff-worthy spot within the top 12.

And it’s not as if they don’t have the right pieces of the puzzle either.

Manager Victor Manuel Vucetich, who is on the hot seat, is one of the most experienced and respected coaches in the Mexican soccer landscape. In his roster, he has a wealth of talent that should be carrying the team to more than just 13 points in 12 games.

There is no room left for mistakes, and in their chase for a playoff spot, a tie will be the minimum expectation on Saturday.

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Image for Cesar Hernandez

Cesar Hernandez

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
LIGA MX
Betting Picks
Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
11 years
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