Monterrey vs San Luis Prediction, Betting Lines & Picks

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  • San Luis are quickly crumbling and losing steam
  • Monterrey’s defense should have no real problems at home this Saturday
  • If Striker Nico Ibañez continues to go quiet, who else will help San Luis’ attacking efforts?

Monterrey vs San Luis Odds Comparison

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Monterrey vs San Luis Predictions and Picks

It’s tempting to consider the draw here. Monterrey, for all of their roster power and depth, have a tendency in recent months (and perhaps even the last couple of years) with missing clear opportunities in front of the net.

Even with the anomaly of their 6-1 win earlier this season over Juarez, Monterrey still only have 15 goals in 11 games — which should be much higher for a team of their caliber. That said, their defense has been impeccable. Led by Sebastian Vegas in the backline, no team has allowed fewer goals this season than Monterrey.

As for San Luis, there’s just no way of putting full faith into a squad that have only collected two points in their last five Liga MX games. A better team could get the draw here, but considering San Luis’ defensive woes, this Saturday could potentially showcase another one-sided loss for them. That’ll be a fantastic opportunity for Monterrey to flex their muscle once again.

Pick:

Monterrey for the win this weekend () .

How to Watch Monterrey vs San Luis

Monterrey vs San Luis Information
What Monterrey vs San Luis
Where Estadio BBVA (Monterrey, Mexico)
When Saturday, April 3rd at 11:00pm ET
How to Watch FS1

Monterrey are a curious team.

Packed with a superstar squad that should be acting like the Bayern Munich or PSG of Mexico, they’ve instead struggled when it comes to consistently good performances. Whether it be due to poor management, questionable finishing, or tactics, Los Rayados always seem to stumble against elite teams that have them figured out.

Winless in their last two games before the international break, Monterrey suffered a 1-0 defeat by 1st place Cruz Azul and a 1-1 draw with current title-holders Leon. Holding these and other matches to low-scoring affairs usually aren’t too difficult, instead, what seems to trouble them are the growing list of clear and simple chances that are squandered.

That said, Monterrey do tend to quickly turn things around against weaker opposition, and in the last few weeks, there seems to be no team imploding faster than San Luis.

Little By Little, San Luis Are Falling Apart

It doesn’t take too much work to find an example of San Luis’ latest frustrations. In their previous Liga MX match, a 1-0 loss to Pumas in late March, manager Leonel Rocco and striker Felipe Gallegos were both shown reds for accosting a referee.

Without their coach, and with a five-game winless streak in tow, there seems to be no real hope for a potential revival for the group of players that are quickly losing their playoff relevance. What’s even more worrisome is that at time of writing (before the start of Week 13), their two recent losses were against teams in the bottom nine spots in the league table.


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Monterrey’s Defensive Numbers Have Been Spectacular

It really has been mesmerizing to see how well Monterrey have done when it comes to shutting down the opposition. With only seven goals allowed in total — and only three allowed at home — Los Rayados have been nothing short of stunning as they’ve stifled attacking efforts.

And this isn’t anything new either.

If we’re looking back to last summer and the previous 2020 Apertura tournament, Monterrey are currently the Liga MX team with the third-best xGA (expected goals against) tally, with only Pachuca and Tigres slightly ahead of them.

And if Monterrey continue to take charge with Vegas thriving as one of the most impressive center-backs in the league, there might not be very many chances for San Luis.

Who Will Step Up In The Final Third For San Luis?

It’s a legitimate worry for the visiting squad.

San Luis only have two goals in their last four games, and with striker Nico Ibañez suddenly going quiet since March, there seem to be no solutions or a backup plan for San Luis’ frontline.

And similar to Monterrey’s defensive momentum, this is nothing new for San Luis’ attacking problems. When looking back at the attacking numbers from the 2020 Apertura and this season so far, San Luis have the second-worst xG (expected goals) tally in Liga MX.

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Cesar Hernandez

Expert on Soccer

Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]