Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Sluggers Face Off to Kick Off Rivalry Weekend

Today’s slate of games kicks off a rivalry weekend in the MLB. We’ll see some of the top sluggers in the league facing off, giving us some great anytime home run bets. Below, we’ll share the three we love for tonight and why. 

The odds we use for our home run bets are taken from Caesars Sportsbook. Sign up at Caesars today with our promo code WSNDYW and claim a “Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boost Tokens” offer.

Home Run Picks for Friday, May 16

Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+170) at Caesars Sportsbook

After cooling off a bit to start May, Aaron Judge is once again on fire. He has three home runs over his last five games, and has raised his average back to a league-best .412. He also leads the league in home runs with 15, nine of which came at home.

Judge will face Mets’ starter Tylor Megill (3-3, 3.10 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) to start tonight’s game. He was arguably the best pitcher in baseball through April, but he owns a 7.25 ERA across two starts this month. The righty is struggling badly to control his pitchers, allowing 11 hits and five walks over just 9 ⅔ innings (1.71 WHIP). 

Expect to see Megill serve us some meatballs tonight, which a red-hot Judge will take advantage of.

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CJ Abrams Anytime Home Run (+400) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Nationals' shortstop only has six home runs in 2025, but he has seen the ball as anyone in baseball. He has a .940 OPS this month and registered his first home run of May on Tuesday. We like his chances to keep his hot bat going tonight against a Baltimore pitcher he owns a .364 average against.

 Kyle Gibson (0-2, 13.11 ERA, 2.49 WHIP) will be on the mound for Baltimore. The 37-year-old was placed on the IL after a brutal season debut where he allowed five home runs over 3 ⅔ innings. He returned on May 4, but has posted a 9.00 ERA over two ugly starts. 

Once Gibson exits this game early, he’ll turn things over to a bullpen that hasn’t been playing well over the last week.

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Bo Bichette Anytime Home Run (+500) at Caesars Sportsbook

We have had some concerns over the regression of Bo Bichette last season, but the 27-year-old is back to playing like a star. He has been on fire lately, with a 1.039 OPS over the previous week, thanks partly to going deep twice. Bichette has been a far better hitter at home this season, which is yet another we love this bet.

On the mound tonight, Bichette and the Jays will face Jack Flaherty (1-5, 4.61 ERA, 1.24 WHIP). The 29-year-old is badly broken, delivering just one quality start this season. His last start was his worst, allowing the Texas Rangers to hit four home runs over three innings. It was the second time he’s given up multiple home runs over his previous three starts. 

We don’t believe Flaherty can fix things this season, and we expect him to deliver another ugly start tonight.

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