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I have chosen to go an unconventional route today and will only be doing pitcher prop bets. I am recommending going with a safe bet for our first prop of the day. Kyle Wright is one of the game’s best and the 2022 MLB Wins leader. However, I expect him to throw two earned runs or more in this game. Bet on the over.
Kyle Wright worked his way to a 21-5 record this year. He is the only pitcher with over 20 wins and also put up a 3.21 ERA, 174 strikeouts, and 1.16 WHIP. However, many of Wright’s wins came because of strong run support.
Wright will give up two or more runs today because of the Phillies’ offense. The Phillies boast a bevy of strong offensive players and know how to score. Wright may get the win, but he will give up a couple of runs in the process. Bet on the over.
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We have another safe bet for our second prop of the day. Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw will allow over 3.5 hits today. This is not a dig on Kershaw; he is still one of the best hurlers in the league. The numbers simply support betting on the over.
Clayton Kershaw started 22 games this year and finished with a 12-3 record, 2.28 ERA, 137 strikeouts, and 0.94 WHIP. However, if you zoom in, you will see that he allowed 96 hits this year. If you do the math (or use a calculator), that would average out to 4.36 hits a game. In addition, Kershaw gave up eight hits in two starts against the Padres this year.
The numbers are pointing towards the over, so I will recommend betting on it.
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Our third prop bet of the day is a slightly riskier bet than the first two, but it is not too risky. Zack Wheeler will throw six or more strikeouts today. Bet on the over.
Zach Wheeler had an excellent regular season for the Phillies. The Georgia native racked up a 12-7 record, 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts, and 1.04 WHIP.
Wheeler’s 163 strikeouts will not catch anyone’s eye, but they are enough to display that Wheeler knows to make opposing hitters swing and miss. The 32-year-old averaged 6.27 strikeouts a game this year. More importantly, Wheeler gave the Braves fits at the plate. In three starts, he threw 25 K’s (8.33 K’s a game). The veteran was averaging over one strikeout an inning, which is why he will throw over 5.5 strikeouts today. Bet on the over.
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Yu Darvish may be in the twilight years of his career, but he is still throwing very deep into games. The Japanese hurler threw 194⅔ innings in 30 starts this season and will throw deep into today’s game. Bet on the over.
Darvish battled with the Dodgers four times this year and averaged 6.25 inning a start. 6.25 innings is a little less than 19 outs. I expect Darvish to pitch about that length today, which is why I am recommending the over.
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Our final prop bet of the day is the riskiest one. Bet on Kyle Wright to allow two or more walks today.
As I mentioned above, Kyle Wright is a great pitcher. However, he does have control issues sometimes. The 27-year-old gave up ten walks in his final five regular season starts. You may look at that stat and still want to bet on the under, but I will add this. Wright faced the Phillies three times this year and gave up seven combined walks. So I have to use Wright’s past performances to guide me to the conclusion that he will walk two Phillies today. Bet on the over.
Prop betting is an awesome way to make money from your favorite sports. It allows you to bet on any outcome during the event itself using props. Props are wagers which are not directly related to the final outcome of a game or match.
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There are a few places you can bet on MLB prop bets. I would recommend betting on Draftkings, but you can also use FanDuel or Caesars Sportbook to name a few places.
When it comes to sports betting, it always helps not to overthink. You have to do your research, but you should also listen to your gut.
If you are really not sure what bet to make, that is where we come in. At WSN, we can provide the most up-to-date information in the world of MLB prop bets. Rely on us, and let us help you with your betting choices.
Everyone has go-to prop bets, but the most popular ones appear to be hits for batter props and strikeouts for pitcher props. You do not usually need to do a deep dive to come across your decision for these two props.
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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]
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