Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Daulton Varsho Has Found His Power Stroke
The Blue Jays have been able to boost their record back over the .500 mark over the last couple of weeks. Their success is partly due to Daulton Varsho, who has found his power stroke in May. His hot bat is helping the team account for the loss of home runs by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Below, we’ll share why we like Varsho to go deep against tonight and two other home run prop bets we are locking in.
The odds we use for our home run bets are taken from Caesars Sportsbook. If you’d like to try Caesars, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boost Tokens” offer.
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Home Run Picks for Saturday, May 24
Gavin Sheets Anytime Home Run (+800) at Caesars Sportsbook
Our first home run prop is a long shot, but we are locking it in with confidence. The lefty has been on a tear for the Padres over the last week, leading to three home runs. The first baseman has been especially sharp when on the road, where he owns a .321 average and .902 OPS. With Atlanta starter Grant Holmes (2-3, 4.01 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) surrendering eight home runs over his last eight games, we see a confident Sheets going deep again tonight.
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Daulton Varsho Anytime Home Run (+320) at Caesars Sportsbook
One reason for the Blue Jays' success over the last two weeks has been Daulton Varsho. The 28-year-old found his power stroke in May, posting six home runs and 17 RBIs. While his ability to hit for average remains a concern, he has raised his average from .194 to .215 since May 10.
Varsho will be set up for success with Shane Bax (3-3, 5.33 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) on the mound for Tampa. The 25-year-old has lost his way in May, with a 9.61 ERA across four starts. His slump includes a start against the Blue Jays a couple of weeks ago, and he gave up one of Varsho’s two home runs.
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Cody Bellinger Anytime Home Run (+450) at Caesars Sportsbook
No one has been better than Cody Bellinger over the last week. The Yankee outfielder owns a .435 average with three home runs during that span. The hot streak has him looking like the star he was with the Dodgers, and we like his chances to stay hot tonight.
Colorado starter Kyle Freeland (0-6, 5.68 ERA, 1.60 WHIP) doesn’t give up many home runs, but he has struggled badly against Bellinger. The former All-Star owns a .344 average and .594 slugging percentage against the starter over 21 at-bats.
Even if Freeland can contain Bellinger, he’ll be turning things over to one of the worst bullpens in baseball. That means the slugger will have some great chances to go deep again tonight.
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