The Rays have been forced to play in the Yankees' Spring Training stadium this season after a hurricane destroyed their stadium. While no one is happy about it, Brandon Lowe is enjoying the change. The veteran is on pace to have one of the best seasons of his career, and we love his chances to add another home run tonight.
Below, we’ll share why we are backing Lowe to go deep, along with two other home run props we love.
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The Rays' second baseman is on pace to hit his highest home run total since 2021. Four of his 15 long balls have come in June, and we think he will add to that total tonight.
One reason we love this bet is Brandon Lowe’s play at home this season. His OPS is almost a whole point higher than on the road, and 11 of his 15 home runs have come while in Tampa. It seems he has been benefiting from the team's forced move into a Spring Training stadium, which will help boost his stats all season.
Lowe will be facing Tigers’ starter Jack Flaherty (5-7, 4.03 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) to start tonight’s game. The 29-year-old has been both electric and erratic this season, and is coming off a start where he allowed seven runs over 4 ⅔ innings. He surrendered three home runs in the loss.
Lowe has faced Flaherty twice and taken him deep once.
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The young Tigers’ star has broken out in 2025, showing fans why the team has been so high on him. His 15 home runs are the second-highest total on the team, and his .840 OPS leads all starters.
We like Greene over the Tigers’ other power hitters due to his play on the road. His average is far higher, and nine of his home runs have come when away from the Motor City. Combine that with the fact that 14 of his long balls have come against righties, and we love his chances to go deep tonight.
Greene will be up against Shane Baz (6-3, 4.54 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) on the mound. The Rays’ starter broke out in 2024 but has regressed badly this season. While his ERA has been dropping in June, his walk totals show his problems are far from fixed. With a 5.36 ERA at home this season, we expect Greene will see plenty of chances to send one deep.
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The Blue Jays no longer have a reliable power bat in their lineup, but Bo Bichette has filled that role over the last week. He has done it twice during that span as he continues to heat up at the plate. While his power has dropped off since hitting 29 in 2021, he is showing that his ability to hit home runs hasn’t gone away.
Another big reason we like this bet is White Sox starter Davis Martin (2-7, 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP). The righty hasn’t been bad for this terrible team, but he has struggled to keep the ball in the park. He has allowed six home runs over his previous four starts, even as he’s faced some slumping lineups.
Bichette has an RBI single in his only career at-bat against Martin.
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