Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Betting Against Bailey Ober

Betting on opponents to hit home runs against Bailey Ober has been one of the safest plays in June. The veteran has completely fallen apart, allowing ten deep balls over four starts this month. We’re going to be betting against him again today and locking in two other home run props.

We’ll be taking odds from Caesars Sportsbook for all three of our home run bets. If you’d like to sign up and give Caesars a try, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Double Your Winnings” offer.

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Home Run Picks for Saturday, June 28

Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+125) at Caesars Sportsbook

The two-time AL MVP has cooled off in June, but it hasn’t prevented him from launching seven home runs. We know the slugger’s brief slump won’t last much longer, and we think he starts turning things around today.

We are backing Judge tonight due to JP Sears (5-7, 5.44 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) being on the mound for the A’s. He’s been awful after turning some heads in April, and his struggles to limit home runs are one reason why. The 29-year-old has given up 2+ home runs in four of his last seven starts. Given that Judge is one of the greatest power hitters in history, we expect him to capitalize on Sears' struggles.

Judge has faced eight times and owns a .375 average with two home runs. 

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Riley Greene Anytime Home Run (+350) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Tigers outfielder has been red hot over the last week, posting a .500 average with two home runs. While he continues to struggle against lefties, he has been incredible against righties. He’s hit 16 of his 17 home runs against right-handed pitchers, which he will be facing to start this game.

Greene will be facing Bailey Ober (4-5, 4.90 ERA, 1.37 WHIP) to start today’s game. The veteran was incredible in April and May, but he’s fallen apart in June. He’s 0-4 with an 8.51 ERA across four starts this month. He’s been unable to miss bats, allowing ten home runs over 24 ⅓ innings.

Greene hasn’t been great against Ober in the past, but he’ll be seeing a very different version tonight.

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Junior Caminero Anytime Home Run (+320) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Rays have been a surprise contender in the AL East this season, and Junior Caminero is a big reason why. He ranks in the top ten of the league with 20 home runs, seven of which have come in June. While he owns a .165 average on the road, he has still managed to hit seven home runs.

We are trusting Caminero on the road due to Orioles' starter Zach Eflin (6-4, 5.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP). He’s been getting worse as the season goes, and has allowed five home runs over his last eight innings pitched. He’s allowed 13 over his last seven starts (38 innings), and will most certainly add to that fast-rising total tonight.

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