Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Take a Chance on Some Surprising Targets

Monday isn’t going to be a conventional day when it comes to making home run props. Granted, we’ve got one familiar name on our list, but the rest of our targets will surprise you. That being said, we’ve crunched the numbers to find surprising targets that hold great value if you bet on them to go deep on Monday.

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Best Home Run Props Picks for Monday, May 4

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Home Run Picks for Monday, May 4

Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+210) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Admittedly, Judge isn’t a surprising player to target for a home run prop, but he’s too obvious a choice on Monday to ignore. The guy already has 13 home runs on the season, including four in his last seven games. He also has four multi-hit games in his last six games, so overall, Judge is swinging a hot bat right now, making more home runs likely.

Likewise, Judge has great career numbers against Shane Baz, going 4 for 10 with two home runs against Baltimore’s starter. Baz is also a homer-prone pitcher despite allowing just three this season. He gave up 26 home runs last season, and facing a red-hot Judge will make him vulnerable to the long ball.

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Vinnie Pasquantino Anytime Home Run (+490) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Royals have to be disappointed with Pasquantino hitting just .188 on the season. He has just four home runs, which is also below what he’s capable of producing. But Pasquantino’s raw power is unquestionable, and with five hits in his last three games, it looks like he might finally be coming around this season.

Monday’s pitching matchup against Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee should also play in Pasquantino’s favor. Pasquantino is 9 for 15 (.600) with a home run in his career against Bibee. That’s an incredible track record and not that small of a sample size, which is why it’s worth taking a chance on Pasquantino on Monday.

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Mark Vientos Anytime Home Run (+590) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Coming off a two-homer game on Sunday, Vientos is a good player to target on the off chance he keeps it going. Beyond yesterday, Vientos is 4 for 12 with four extra-base hits in the last three games he’s started. His power is finally starting to show up, which makes Vientos a threat to go deep in any given game.

On Monday, Vientos and the Mets begin a series at Coors Field, which also makes him a good home run target. The caveat is that Vientos is 0 for 3 in his career against Tomoyuki Sugano, who starts for the Rockies. Sugano gave up 33 home runs last year and has already yielded five long balls this season, so he’s a homer-prone pitcher facing a power hitter who could be heating up.

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Otto Lopez Anytime Home Run (+820) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Lopez has just three home runs this season, so he’s far from an obvious option. But he’s also hitting .341 on the season and already 7 for 14 in the first three games of Miami’s series against the Phillies. In the midst of a six-game hitting streak overall, Lopez is swinging a good bat, so hitting a home run isn’t out of the question.

Monday’s matchup against Aaron Nola also gives Lopez a chance to go deep. He’s 4 for 6 with two doubles in his career against Nola, who’s been terrible this season. Nola owns a 6.03 ERA and has allowed six home runs in just 31.1 innings. Even if Lopez isn’t a pure power hitter, he has a chance to hit a home run against Nola.

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