Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect No Early Runs to be Scored in a AL Central Divisional Matchup

With Michael Wacha set to take the mound, expect the Cleveland Guardians to continue to underwhelm on offense as the Kansas City Royals pitcher excels at avoiding contact. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Angels and Chicago White Sox, fading a pair of lineups who struggle with making contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, May 4

Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the best US sportsbooks. Sign up today and use BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS and you'll be eligible for the following welcome offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

If you are in a state where BetMGM Sportsbook is not yet legal, we recommend trying Kalshi, one of the best prediction markets in the US. Sign up using Kalshi promo code WSN to get a $10 bonus after making 100 contracts.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals - Tanner Bibee vs. Michael Wacha (7:40 PM, EST)

With the Cleveland Guardians ranking below league average in most offensive metrics, expect Michael Wacha to get off to a hot start and exit the first inning without conceding a Run.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After failing to play at a competitive level last year, the Cleveland Guardians struggles on offense have carried over into this season, ranking below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Even with their lineup severely underwhelming on offense, the Guardians have still been able to win at a high rate, possessing a one game lead for first in the AL Central. Despite their early lead, the team's lingering scoring drought continues to be a point of concern for their updated AL Central odds.

In a divisional matchup against the Kansas City Royals, expect the Guardians to continue to struggle with making contact, battling it out against Michael Wacha who is averaging an ERA of 3.13 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. With the Guardians incapable of stringing together their Hits, they will be unable to advance their runners, leaving them stranded on base.

On the other end, positive regression looms large over Tanner Bibee as he faces off against an offense who also resides in the bottom half of the board in the same previously mentioned metrics. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Royals gaps in the outfield with their coveraging, surrounding Bibee with a group who ranks ninth in Defensive Efficiency.

Join BetMGM Sportsbook Today

Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels - Davis Martin vs. Jose Soriano (9:38 PM, EST)

Jose Soriano has a great opportunity to strengthen his case for the AL Cy Young award by taking advantage of the Chicago White Sox underwhelming offense. Following his dominant start to the season, sportsbooks have taken notice, causing a significant shift in the AL Cy Young award odds as he climbs toward the top of the leaderboard.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jose Soriano’s odds to win the AL Cy Young award have grown, averaging an ERA of 0.84, a WHIP of 0.938, and a FIP of 2.89. Soriano’s success on the mound stems from his Whiff Rate, generating less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per inning.

Heading into Monday night,  expect Soriano to build on his momentum by attacking a Chicago White Sox lineup who ranks in the bottom ten in Hit Rate and in OPS. With the White Sox struggling to make contact, Soriano will be able to continue to generate Whiffs at a high rate and make quick work of the top of their order.

In an attempt to match Soriano’s production, the White Sox are expected to give Davis Martin the start who is currently averaging an ERA of 1.95 and a FIP of 2.88. Even when supported by a lackluster defense, Martin possesses more than enough arm talent to neutralize the Los Angeles Angels bats, exploiting a lineup who ranks below league average in Contact Rate.

Get Your BetMGM Bonus Code

Best YRFI Bets Today

• Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros - Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Steven Okert - Expect the Los Angeles Dodgers star studded offense to open up the scoring early against Houston as they face off against Steven Okert who is currently averaging an ERA of 4.50, a FIP of 5.01, and less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

• Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees - Shane Baz vs. Cam Schlittler - With Shane Baz averaging an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500, the New York Yankees will have a great opportunity to round back into form by making contact at a more consistent rate, increasing their chances of scoring a Run in the first inning.

Make Your Bet at BetMGM