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The Boston Red Sox offense has been stagnant lately. They beat the Royals 6-2 in the series opener, but four of these runs came on a walk-off grand slam. The Blue Jays dominated them over the weekend and showed no fight at the plate. The walk-off bomb may light a fire under the offense, but we’re not so confident.
Boston will face Brady Singer on Tuesday night. Singer hasn’t been great this season, but his last three starts have been strong. In his past 19 innings, he has allowed just 12 hits with four runs and no homers. We like the over for his strikeouts prop on Tuesday night, which is set at 3.5, as we expect him to be around five.
Singer has gone over this total in four straight games. This includes a ten-strikeout performance against the Twins on July 28. The prop is slightly juiced at -150, but his hit rate makes this bet worth playing. Additionally, the Red Sox have fallen apart since the end of the All-Star break.
In the first half of the season, Boston batted .264 as a team with a .333 OBP. Since the team started the second half, they’ve batted .255 with a .311 OBP. This is one of the primary reasons they’ve fallen five games out of the final Wild Card position. Take the over on Singer’s low strikeout total Friday night.
Framber Valdez is a big-game pitcher and one of the best arms in the rotation for the Astros. He has pitched in monumental matchups for the Astros over the years, and he will be in one on Tuesday night against the Orioles. Baltimore has a fantastic offense, but we like Valdez to be on the mound most of the night.
Valdez’s out-recorded prop is set at 17.5, and we’re leaning towards the over in this spot. Valdez is coming off a game that should bring him a ton of confidence. He threw a complete game no-hitter against the Guardians on August 1 that featured seven strikeouts and one walk.
Cleveland doesn’t have the best offense in the world, but they’ve been reputable since the end of the All-Star break, batting .249 as a team with a .310 OBP.
Valdez is 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. He has elite strikeout ability, fanning 141 batters in 135 innings. The pitcher knows how to maneuver the best lineups in the game, and we expect him to be on the mound for at least six innings tonight. This span on the bump would cash his outs recorded prop on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Adolis Garcia has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season. His power and RBI ability have been elite and propelled the Rangers to multiple wins. Garcia is batting .266 with 29 homers and 89 RBI. He is sixth in baseball in homers and second in RBI. He is also 14th in OPS with a .876.
Garcia’s hits + runs + RBI prop is set at 1.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook, and we like the over in this game. He is coming off a night where he hit this bet against the A’s, recording a double with a run.
He has hit this bet in all seven games this month. There was even a game where he went hitless against the Marlins and still managed to record two runs.
Garcia will have a tough matchup against JP Sears of the Athletics. Sears is 2-8, which has nothing to do with how he has pitched. This record has everything to do with a lack of run support, as he has recorded a 4.07 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP.
In 11.1 innings against the Rangers this season, he has allowed 10 hits with six earned runs, including two homers. I expect the Rangers to get to Sears in this spot, and one of the hitters leading the charge with be Garcia. The batter also is crushing lefties this season, batting .280 with a .392 OBP compared to .262 and a .327 OBP off righties.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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