Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the Red Sox Against Sean Burke

With Sean Burke on the mound, the Boston Red Sox will fall hard back down to reality, battling it out against an arm who excels at keeping runners out of scoring position. Shortly before their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees with both pitchers facing off against a pair of lineups who struggle with making contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, August 5

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Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox - Sean Burke vs. Sonny Gray (7:10 PM, EST)

Expect the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox to struggle to get on base with two productive arms locked into a pitchers duel.

Under 0.5 Run (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a slow start to the season, the Boston Red Sox odds of winning the AL East have steadily grown, sitting just five games back for first in the division standings. Even during their six game win streak, the Red Sox have failed to play at a high level on offense, ranking near dead last in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Despite these glaring offensive struggles, their AL East odds remain surprisingly competitive.

Unfortunately for the Red Sox, their inconsistencies on offense will be on full display against the Chicago White Sox Sean Burke, facing off against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 3.04, a WHIP of 1.102, and a FIP of 3.29. Especially with Burke’s back end excelling in coverage, surrounding him with a defense who ranks in the top-12 in Defensive Efficiency.

In an attempt to match Burke’s production, Sonny Gray is projected to take the mound for the Red Sox, a dominant arm who is averaging an ERA of 2.93 while giving up less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. With the White Sox also struggling to make contact, Gray will be able to continue to create Whiffs at a consistent rate and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees - Andre Pallante vs. Will Warren (7:05 PM, EST)

Positive regression looms large over Will Warren in his matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals, battling it out against a lineup who grades out poorly on offense.

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent start to the year for the New York Yankees Will Warren, entering the second half of the season with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.362. Even during his slump, Warren has still been able to generate Strikeouts at a high rate, averaging more than one K per inning.

In a favorable matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals, Warren will have a great opportunity to round back into form by ambushing a lineup who resides in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate and in OPS. Warren’s outfield will also narrow the width of the Cardinals gaps in the outfield, fielding a group who ranks above league average in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, Andre Pallante has been a steady source of production in the Cardinals rotation, averaging an ERA of 3.72 and a FIP of 3.75. With the Yankees stumbling down the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage, Pallente will be able to take advantage of their struggles at the plate by generating Strikeouts at a higher rate and keep a clean sheet.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds - Jacob Lopez vs. Rhett Lowder - Expect the Athletics and Cincinnati Reds to open up the scoring in the first inning, facing off against a pair of arms who are averaging an ERA higher than 4.00 while giving up more than one Hit Against per inning.

• Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs - Eric Lauer vs. Shota Imanaga - Against the reigning World Series champions, the Chicago Cubs will be able to get on base at a high rate by attacking Eric Lauer who is averaging a FIP of 5.87. Despite these pitching vulnerabilities, the Dodgers still remain heavily favored in the latest World Series odds.

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