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Pick: New England Revolution to win (+110)
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In the last five games, New England Revolution have won three and drawn two games. They defeated DC United by a one-goal margin before being held to a 1-1 draw against New York City FC. They breezed past CF Montreal 4-0 at home but were held to another frustrating 1-1 draw against Columbus Crew. Last week, they edged past ten men of Sporting Kansas City to stay at the top of the Eastern Division.
FC Cincinnati have picked up a point more than their next opponents in the last five games. However, they lost their seven-game unbeaten streak two weeks ago against Western Division leaders St. Louis City SC. Apart from that, FC Cincinnati have won four out of their last five games, with the latest win coming last week against Portland Timbers.
This fixture is expected to be tough between two strong sides that are undoubtedly part of the title race this season. The circumstances and statistics favor the hosts, and they have a chance to pull three points clear of their title rivals this season.
There is not much history between the two sides, and whatever there is, it is almost completely one-sided. The two have met only six times in the MLS. New England Revolution have won four encounters, while FC Cincinnati have only won once.
To make matters worse, FC Cincinnati’s last and only win over New England Revolution came in the 2019 MLS season when the two sides met for the first time. After that, FC Cincinnati lost four successive games against their next opponents.
The only other occasion on which the visitors have stopped the hosts from taking all three points against them at the Gillette Stadium came last season when the resilience of FC Cincinnati earned them a point against New England Revolution after a 2-2 draw.
FC Cincinnati lost their seven-game unbeaten streak two weeks ago, and their next opponents could match the length of that streak with a positive result. As things stand, New England Revolution have secured four wins and two draws in their last six games in the MLS.
In the last 11 MLS games, the hosts have only lost once, and that disappointment came earlier this season when New England Revolution were thrashed 4-0 by defending champions Los Angeles FC at the BMO Stadium.
If New England Revolution dodge defeat against FC Cincinnati this weekend, this will be their longest unbeaten streak in the MLS since the 2021 season, during which they went on a ten-game unbeaten run through September and October.
Another positive for the New England Revolution ahead of this fixture is their prolific head-to-head record against FC Cincinnati. In all competitions, the five-time MLS champions have beaten FC Cincinnati five times in seven attempts, losing only once in the process.
Last year, the two teams met thrice. Two meetings were in the MLS and one in the US Open Cup. Over three games, the New England Revolution scored ten goals and conceded five. Their biggest win came in the US Open Cup when they beat FC Cincinnati 5-1.
To further attract the odds in their favor, New England Revolution boast the third-best home record in the MLS across both divisions this season. FC Cincinnati are at the top of that chart but will be away from home when they face the five-time MLS champions.
The New England Revolution have played five games at the Gillette Stadium so far. The hosts have picked up all three points in four encounters, and only one game has ended in a draw. The New England Revolution are one of nine teams who are yet to lose a home game this season.
FC Cincinnati were gaining prolific momentum before they lost their seven-game unbeaten streak in the MLS two weeks ago. The team picked up wins and kept three successive clean sheets before they were eventually walloped by newcomers St. Louis City SC.
However, the side seems to have bounced back in the most ideal manner and could be back on track after a narrow victory over Portland Timbers last weekend. It will be interesting to see whether that win helps FC Cincinnati nab another significant result this Saturday.
Sergio Santos netted his fourth goal of the season before Brandon Vazquez doubled his tally to wrap the three points up for FC Cincinnati. Santos has five goal contributions in nine games so far and will be hungry for more in the coming weeks.
While FC Cincinnati hold the best home record in the MLS this season, their away form is nowhere close to excellent. The club has registered five wins in five home games, scoring seven goals and conceding just two.
They have played four games away from home so far and won just once. Their only away win this season came against Nashville SC, a month ago. In four away games, FC Cincinnati have conceded eight goals, five of which came during their last outing against St. Louis City SC.
The defensive prowess of FC Cincinnati has been quite intimidating for opponents this season. Last season, the club kept six clean sheets throughout the entire campaign. This year, after just nine games, FC Cincinnati are only one shutout away from matching last season’s tally.
Yerson Mosquera, Matt Miazga, and Nick Hagglund have formed an almost impenetrable three-man defensive wall ahead of shot-stopper Roman Celentano. While Miazga and Hagglund have been with the club for a few seasons, Mosquera has only joined this season on loan from Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The 21-year-old has shown FC Cincinnati why they need to sign him on a permanent deal at the end of the season.
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● Teams: New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
● Location: Gillette Stadium
● Time: Saturday, April 29 at 7:30 pm ET
● How to watch: Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes
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With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]More info on Nikhil Kalro
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