wsn-newsletter Subscribe to WSN.

Best NCAAF Week 3 Picks & Bets: Can Florida Bounce Back?

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published September 12, 2024
5 min read
  • Florida is a four-point underdog at home to Texas A&M

  • Oregon is 0-2 ATS and is laying 16.5 against Oregon State 

There is a good chance an SEC Conference team will be represented in the National Championship, but it won’t be Florida. Miami blew out the Gators in Week 1 of the regular season. They responded with a vengeance against Samford, but this wasn’t a challenge. 

However, they will be challenged against Texas A&M on Saturday, who enters with a 1-1 record. The Gators are a four-point dog at home, and this is a viable betting option, considering The Swamp is a tough place to play. 

The other bet we’re looking at is the Civil War between Oregon and Oregon State. The Ducks have survived their first two games against mediocre opponents and are now a 16.5-point favorite. 

We’re placing these wagers on bet365 Sportsbook. As a special offer, bet365 gives new users a $1,000 safety net bet or $200 in bonus bets. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim this offer.

Best NCAAF Sportsbooks

How We Rate
Affiliate Disclaimer
21+
Best NCAAF Week 3 Picks and Bets

Texas A&M vs. Florida Odds on bet365

  • Date: Saturday, September 14

  • Time: 3:30 EST

  • Moneyline: Texas A&M (-190) | Florida (+160)

  • Spread: Texas A&M -4 (-110) | Florida +4 (-110)

  • Total: Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110)

Pick: Florida +4 (-110) at bet365

Get $1,000 Safety Net Bet at bet365

Billy Napier’s seat is getting hot at Florida. The Gators have been the punching bag of the SEC under his leadership, and they will have a difficult season in 2024. Florida has the most challenging schedule in the country, and it becomes challenging in the second half. 

Their winnable games were in September, and are currently 1-1. The Gators started the season by getting smoked at home by Miami. The Hurricanes players were telling Florida’s recruits that they run Florida and they should come to Miami. 

Graham Mertz was injured in the opener, which gave DJ Lagway time under center. He started against Samford in Week 2 and has been solid in his time leading the Gators. 

The quarterback is 21-31 for 487 yards and three touchdowns on the season. He has one interception, but he has managed games well thus far. 

Lagway is competing with Mertz to start against Texas A&M. We believe the Gators will cover the spread on Saturday, no matter what quarterback starts. The Gators don’t have a great team, but neither does Texas A&M. 

The Aggies are receiving too much love in the betting markets, considering they lost to a bad Notre Dame team at home. Their quarterback, Conner Weigman, isn’t a player we want to bet on because of his 38.8 QBR, which is 98th in the country. 

He didn’t play well against Notre Dame and wasn’t overly dominant against McNeese State. We anticipate Florida’s crowd giving Weigman and company some trouble. Additionally, Lagway has a much higher ceiling than Weigman, so look for Florida’s offense to take some chances with their season on the line. 

Oregon vs. Oregon State Odds on bet365

  • Date: Saturday, September 14

  • Time: 3:30 PM EST

  • Moneyline: Oregon (-800) | Oregon State (+550)

  • Spread: Oregon -16.5 (-110) | Oregon State +16.5 (-110)

  • Total: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)

Pick: Oregon State +16.5 (-110) at bet365

Claim $200 in Bonus Bets at bet365

The Oregon Ducks have been on upset alert for two straight weeks. Oregon lost their quarterback from last season, Bo Nix, to the Broncos, and it has caused them to slide in the national rankings. 

Oregon still has a talented team, but they’re off to a slow start in 2024. The Ducks are 2-0, but they haven’t come close to covering a single spread this season. 

The team beat Idaho by ten and Boise State by three points. At this rate, Oregon will get upset and be left out of the College Football Playoff. 

Oregon's biggest problem has been its quarterback, Dillon Gabriel. Gabriel’s box score in two games doesn’t show how poor Oregon’s offense has looked in 2024. 

The quarterback has thrown for 623 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions in two games. However, his 53.5 QBR ranks him 66th in the country. 

The Ducks' defense has made big stops throughout the season, but it’s hard to expect what they will do after their two games.

We know that Oregon State will bring its A-game in this rivalry game. The Beavers are off to a 2-0 start and are coming off a 21-0 shutout against San Diego State. 

Oregon State has an elite run game, which will be why they cover the spread. Last week, they carried the ball 51 times for 231 yards with two touchdowns. 

If the Beavers can gain momentum early in this game, they could win outright. Take the points with Oregon State and sprinkle the moneyline if you believe they can run the football.

tip_r

Responsible Gambling

If you or someone you know needs support or wants to speak with a professional about responsible gambling, seek out the correct resources. Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to get help, or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. WSN is an advocate for safe gambling practices. Visit our Responsible Gambling Center for more details.

Tanner Kern

Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NCAAF
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: Fanatics Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace
Experience: 4 years
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
Co2neutral

We support responsible gambling. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. If you need help, call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is managed by Gentoo Media. Unless declared otherwise, all of the visible content on this site, such as texts and images, including the brand name and logo, belongs to Innovation Labs Limited (a Gentoo Media company) - Company Registration Number C44130, VAT ID: MT18874732, @GIG Beach Triq id-Dragunara, St. Julians, STJ3148, Malta.

Advertising Disclosure: WSN.com contains links to partner websites. When a visitor to our website clicks on one of these links and makes a purchase at a partner site, World Sports Network is paid a commission.

Copyright © 2024