Michigan vs. Washington Picks, Predictions and Odds: A National Championship Rematch

• The Michigan Wolverines beat the Washington Huskies in last year’s National Championship

• Michigan is currently undefeated in Big Ten play and ranked 10th overall in the AP top-25

• Washington’s quarterback Will Rogers has yet to throw an interception so far this season

Since the Michigan Wolverines beat the Washington Huskies in last year’s National Championship, the reigning champs have yet to look like their former selves as their offensive production has fallen off a cliff. As for the Huskies, it’s been a rocky start to their season since joining the NCAAF Big Ten as they are fresh off of a demoralizing loss to Rutgers after thoroughly outpacing the Scarlet Knights in Total Yards and Yards per Play.

Michigan vs. Washington Odds

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Michigan vs. Washington My Pick

• My Pick: Over 41.5 (-105) at FanDuel

While both programs have seemingly taken a step back since their run to the National Championship, there should be plenty of scoring opportunities in their rematch as both offenses possess a key advantage over the other's defense. Washington’s Will Rogers should face minimal resistance in his efforts of stringing together another efficient pass attack while the Wolverines' ground game gets the benefit of running wild against a weak Huskies front seven.

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Michigan vs. Washington Predictions

Michigan Preview

Even though the Michigan Wolverines are 4-1 and undefeated in Big Ten play, it’s been anything but pretty as the reigning national champions look like a shell of their former selves. Especially on offense as Michigan has yet to field a quarterback who can generate consistent pass production. In five games played, the Wolverines pass attack currently ranks 93rd in Pass Success Rate, 67th in Pass Explosiveness, and 106th in Pass PPA.

Their lackluster metrics have led to both Davis Warren and Alex Orji getting starting reps, yet neither quarterback has yet to elevate the offense. That has forced Michigan to revert to a heavier dose of the run, finding much more success on the ground than they have through the air. While their ground game does not exactly mirror last year’s elite marks, the Wolverines still churn out production as they currently rank 33rd in Rush Success Rate and 43rd in Rush PPA.

Against Washington, Michigan will have the opportunity to continue to find success on the ground as the Huskies front seven has struggled to contain opposing rush production in the trenches. Entering Saturday’s contest against the Wolverines, Washington’s defense ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate, Explosiveness, and PPA. Also by abusing the run, Michigan gets to neutralize the negative variance that comes from Orji’s arm which helps sustain drives down the field.

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Washington Preview

While Washington has struggled as a whole after two bad losses to Washington State and Rutgers, their offense has managed to still play at a high level after the departure of star quarterback Michael Penix Jr and head coach Kalen DeBoer. Will Rogers has had no issue with getting integrated in the Huskies offense, starting his first five games of the season throwing for 1,354 yards, 10 touchdowns, and zero interceptions.

With Rogers' production under center, the Huskies pass attack ranks 8th overall in Pass Success Rate and 21st in Pass PPA. Connecting on the deep ball at a consistent rate has still been an issue as the Huskies rank 92th in Pass Play Explosiveness. Luckily for Rogers, he will have the opportunity to air out the ball as he faces off against a regressing Wolverines secondary that ranks well below league average in Def Pass Success Rate, Explosiveness, and PPA.

Especially if Michigan’s star cornerback Will Johnson is unable to give it a go, leaving the Wolverines void of his elite production in their secondary. With their struggles in coverage, Rogers should have no issue with consistently moving the ball down the field through the air. Especially if their ground game can break through the Wolverines' front seven as the Huskies rank equally as well in Rush Success Rate and PPA. On top of taking the over, also consider making a wager on the Huskies to cover the spread at no higher than -2.5.

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How to Watch Michigan vs. Washington

• When: Saturday, October 5 at 7:30 PM ET

• Where: Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington

• Watch: NBC

Michigan vs. Washington Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Michigan vs. Washington Injuries

Michigan Injuries

• DB Will Johnson - Questionable

• TE Colston Loveland - Questionable

• LB Micah Pollard - Questionable

• RB Jordan Marshall - Questionable

• WR Tyler Morris - Questionable

• QB Jack Tuttle - Questionable

Washington Injuries

• TE Quentin Moore - Out

• DB Darren Barkins - Out

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