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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction: Bama’s Stock Continues To Rise

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published February 28, 2024
10 min read

On Wednesday night, Alabama will travel to Oxford to face Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide have been on a tear for the past month, and they’re looking to stay hot on the road.

If Alabama can figure out its defensive flaws, they have a realistic chance of a March Madness run. They have struggled against top teams but have a lot of potential with their roster.

Ole Miss doesn’t have a roster to compete with Alabama if the Crimson Tide play their best. The Rebels are 0-6 against AP Top 25 teams.

However, Ole Miss has an impressive 14-2 home record this season. The two home losses came at the hands of #20 South Carolina and #16 Auburn.

The game should be very competitive, considering Alabama is on the road. Here, we will break down everything you need to know to bet on Alabama vs. Ole Miss.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Betting Odds for Wednesday, Feb. 28th

Alabama is a 6.5-point favorite against Ole Miss on Wednesday. Alabama is just 4-4 as visitors this season, and Oxford will be hostile. Seeing how the Crimson Tide handle playing their rival as visitors will be interesting. 

Alabama has won seven of their last nine matchups, including a 2-2 record on the road over this stretch. Ole Miss has the record advantage in their home gym, but they must play perfectly to beat Alabama. 

Teams Spread Moneyline Total 
Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 (-115) -255 Over 167.5 (-110)
Ole Miss Rebels +6.5 (-105) +205 Under 167.5 (-110)

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel and get $150 in bonus bets if you wager $5 on your first bet and win.

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Prediction

Both teams have struggled on defense, which is apparent by the 167.5-point total. We expect the better offense to give their team an advantage on Wednesday. 

Alabama is the best scoring team in America, averaging just over 91 points per game, while the Rebels rank 138th in total offense with just 75.1 points per game. 

Another area where Alabama can separate itself is with its efficiency on the field and charity strikes. Alabama shoots 80% from the line and 48.3% from the field.

Despite this, Alabama’s defense isn’t good, and it’s our biggest fear on the road. They allow just shy of 80 points per game, which ranks them 338th in the country. 

Alabama’s top scorer, Mark Sears, leads the Tide in many categories. Sears has been the focal point of Alabama’s offense all season and is always the player taking the big shots. 

Sears averages 20.4 points, 4.1 assists, and 4.3 rebounds per game. He scored over 20 points in 13 of his last 15 games. Alabama will need Sears to bring his A-game against another conference rival. 

It should improve their tournament seeding if the Crimson Tide can secure their fifth road win of the season. 

While Ole Miss seems to play better week after week, they’ve yet to show they belong in the AP Top 25. The Rebels are just 6-8 in the SEC, despite their 19-8 overall record. 

Ole Miss doesn’t have the best defense, but they’re tough in the paint. The Rebels average six blocks per game, ranking 5th in the country. 

The X-factor for the Rebels is Matthew Murrell. This 6’4” guard out of Memphis, Tennessee, poses massive problems for opposing defenses. 

Murrell averages 17.1 points, 2.6 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game. Murrell had an extremely slow outing in the Rebels matchup against South Carolina a week ago. He scored just 10 points and one rebound. 

Ole Miss has been knocking on the AP Top 25 door for quite some time, and a win against Alabama could set them up nicely to sneak on the list. 

The ESPN matchup predictor has Alabama’s chance to win at 83.6%. While the Crimson Tide has proven slightly superior over the Rebels, this predictor scale seems too lopsided. 

Place your bets at FanDuel Sportsbook and claim $150 in bonus bets.

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Betting Pick

Both of these teams have the chance to make a run in March. However, they each have flaws, which should be displayed on Wednesday. 

The fast-paced offense that Alabama presents daily has been the difference maker in their close matchups. 

Ole Miss is just 6-8 in the SEC, while Alabama is 11-3. History tends to repeat itself. Alabama wins conference games, and they will do it with authority. 

The offensive stats are highly lopsided for Alabama, and neither team seems to have a defense. The Crimson Tides’ 91.1 points per game should be why they cover 6.5 points on the road. 

How to Watch Alabama vs. Ole Miss

  • When: Wednesday, Feb. 28th @  9:00 PM ET

  • Where: The Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, Mississippi

  • TV: ESPN2

  • Streaming: ESPN+

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AUTHOR

Tanner Kern

345 Articles

Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.

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