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The 7-5 New York Jets remain in the playoff hunt with QB Mike White under center
The 9-3 Buffalo Bills sit atop the AFC East after winning their last three games
Watch Jets vs Bills live on Sunday, December 11, 2022, at 1:00 PM ET on CBS
POINT SPREAD: Buffalo Bills +9.5 (-110) at Caesars
POINTS TOTAL: Under 43.5 (-106) at FanDuel
SPECIAL: BILLS TOTAL TDs: Over 3.5 (+135) at WynnBet
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Sports gamblers, get ready for this exciting NFL Week 14 AFC East battle between the first-place 9-3 Buffalo Bills and the third-place 7-5 New York Jets, a divisional showdown between a Jets team still trying to figure out who’s under center with popular second-year QB Mike White starting for now against the Bills top-2 offense led by QB Josh Allen whose legs are now dangerous, too.
Fortunately for New York’s QB White and his air attack including rookie WR Garrett Wilson, the Bills are softer against the pass (ranked 17th) than they are against the run (5th) but given that Buffalo has covered the spread in four of their last five games against AFC opponents, not to mention this being a home game and them being superior, we like the Bills to cover in Week 14.
In two of the New York Jets' five losses they would not have covered this spread and those defeats were against the Ravens and the Bengals, so versus these Bills whose #2 offense tops the league in third down conversions and whose #10 defense has the third most interceptions in the league, expect the Jets to do what they typically do against AFC East opponents – lose.
According to the oddsmakers, eight of the Buffalo Bills' last 10 games have gone under the total points line so keep that in mind if you are looking to make a points total bet, this wager with a relatively low estimate from the sportsbooks, a sign perhaps that they have doubts in the Jets 18th ranked offense that has a new leader in QB White, a bolt of necessary adrenaline for them.
Figure out if you think this will be an offensive or defensive matchup because that will help you decide on this points total bet since these offenses have scored a combined average total of 48.4 this season which is plenty over this bet to sway gamblers, compared with these defenses that have allowed 36 total points a game, well under what the oddsmakers are predicting here.
Other factors to consider – the game is in New York in December and Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park is uncovered, so winter weather could play a role in whether this game includes a lot of scoring, so check for local weather conditions before placing a bet as well as the injury reports since in Week 14 every player is banged up and some might be questionable to play.
Here’s a fun bet for fans of the Bills and scoring, the goal being to guess whether Buffalo QB Josh Allen’s offense will post two touchdowns or less in this game, a likely outcome given they are playing the fourth-ranked defense in the league who should keep the scoring in check, with a $100 wager on this Special paying out $165 to winners plus the original investment.
According to the record books, the Buffalo Bills average 3.09 TDs per game this season and that means it will take a special effort from New York Jets DC Jeff Ulbrich’s bunch including DT Quinnen Williams on the line and rookie CB Sauce Gardner in the secondary, this defense the 4th most dangerous in the NFL allowing opponents an average of just 307 total yards per game.
This week, three of the Bills players are listed as questionable to play – OT Dion Dawkins (ankle), TE Quintin Morris (illness), and DT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) – so those will be the coach's decisions that may affect the outcome of this game, though as long as QB Allen and WRs Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis with TE Dawon Knox are healthy, this club is dangerous.
What: New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills
Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY
When: Sunday, December 11, 2022, at 1:00 PM ET
Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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