Colts vs. Jaguars Same Game Parlay Picks: Jonathan Taylor in a Position to Thrive

• Jonathan Taylor’s odds to win the MVP award have steadily declined

• The Jacksonville Jaguars are currently in first place in the AFC South

• The Jaguars front seven ranks below league average in Run Defense Win Rate

After a hot start to the year, Jonathan Taylor has seen his odds to win NFL MVP award steadily decline as the Indianapolis Colts are in the midst of a cold stretch of play. Luckily for the Colts star running back, he will have a great opportunity to put together a dominant performance in a divisional matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars as he faces off against a defense who struggles to stop the run.

Colts vs. Jaguars Same Game Parlay Picks

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Jonathan Taylor Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jonathan Taylor has built a case for being one of the top contenders for the MVP award as the Indianapolis Colts running back leads the league in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. His offensive line has helped him consistently reach the second of the defense by opening up high quality running lanes in the trenches as the Colts front five ranks top-10 in Run Block PFF Grade.

In a AFC South divisional matchup against Jacksonville, expect Taylor to strengthen his claim for the award as he faces off against a Jaguars front seven who resides near the bottom of the board in Run Defense Line Yards. For some more exposure, escalator bet Taylor’s rushing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-255) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in scoring position, Taylor has been the focal point of the Colts offense as he currently leads the team in Red Zone Carries while converting over 20% of his Rush Attempts into touchdowns. With Daniel Jones dealing with an injury, expect the Colts to continue to lean on Taylor to help limit the amount of negative variance in the shortened field while he gashes a front seven who struggles to stop the run

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Daniel Jones Under 234.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of Jones, it has been a turbulent past few weeks of play for the Colts quarterback as his mobility has been severely limited while dealing with a leg injury. By not being able to extend plays with his legs to help keep their drives alive, the Colts offense have started to sputter and are falling down the board in Off DVOA.

Unfortunately for Jones, his struggles in the pocket are poised to persist against the Jaguars as he faces off against a front seven who excels at creating pressure as their top-10 mark in Pass Rush Set Grade indicates. With Jones forced to get the ball out of his hands quicker than anticipated, the quality of his throws will harshly decline which lowers his chances of completing a pass.

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Trevor Lawrence Over 20.5 Pass Completions (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Like Jones, Trevor Lawrence has also struggled to find his footing as of late as the Jaguars quarterback currently ranks below league average in Quarterback EPA per play. His inability to stretch the field has played a major role in his low level of play as Lawrence also ranks near the bottom of the board in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In Sunday’s contest against the Colts, expect Lawrence to round back into competitive form as he faces off against a front seven who ranks 31st in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the Colts struggling to get a push off the line, Lawrence will be able to go through his progressions while his pass catchers have more time in the open field to create a passing lane for him to throw to.

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