Image for Mike Lukas Mike Lukas - November 22, 2022

AFC South Division Winner Predictions, Best Picks, Odds

  • The AFC South is ranked by sportsbooks as the worst division in the NFL in 2022
  • The oddsmakers think that the Colts and Titans will win around nine or ten games
  • The Jaguars (o/u 6.5 wins) and the Texans (o/u 4.5 wins) are expected to struggle

The AFC South is ranked the worst division in the NFL, and that is despite all the work its four football franchises – Indianapolis Colts, Tennessee Titans, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Houston Texans – did during the offseason to improve their leadership and upgrade their rosters.

The oddsmakers think that the Colts and Titans will win around nine or ten games (o/u 9.5), but they are less optimistic about the Jaguars (6.5) and the Texans (4.5), but fans of those teams won’t care a bit because every team starts out the regular season with the same 0-0 record.

Gamblers new to the world of sports betting will do well by shopping around for your favorite wagers and the best odds available, so here we look at the predictions, odds, and picks for who will be kings of the AFC South this year in order to help you make smarter bets with your kitty.

AFC South Division Winner  Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings

Tennessee Titans-1200
Jacksonville Jaguars +1200
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans+50000

AFC South Division Winner Predictions and Picks

With a healthy RB Derrick Henry back on the regular season roster, expect the Titans to take over the AFC South in 2022.

 Tennessee Titans (-1200)

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Afc South Division Winner

Favorites to Win

Indianapolis Colts

Things look hopeful these days in Indy thanks to the Colts front office having solved the franchise’s QB problem by getting veteran Matt Ryan to join up and bring some of his experience and skill to a team that was always accused of needing such a leader.

The Colts are coached by Frank Reich who has been to the Super Bowl Mountain and back with the Philadelphia Eagles as the OC, an offensive-minded game planner who will no doubt figure out ways to connect Ryan with WRs Michael Pittman, Parris Campbell, and rookie Alec Pierce.

Indianapolis’s defense was ranked 16th last season, so it will be up to DC Gus Bradley to unlock the potential of the players on his side of the ball including third-round selection SS Nick Cross who is expected to start in Week 1, a team that is now the favorite to win this struggling division.

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Tennessee Titans

There are a few excellent reasons that many Titans fans feel optimistic this season, the first being a healthy RB Derrick Henry, the former league rushing leader who had to sit out the end of last season due to an injury that kept him sidelined until the postseason.

Another reason for Tennessee optimism involves all the young depth on both sides of the ball that the Titan’s front office added via the NFL Draft including first-round selection WR Treylon Burks who lit up the SEC as an Arkansas Razorback and who is expected to start on day one.

HC Mike Vrabel is a charismatic leader who played in the NFL and has three Super Bowl rings he can wear, so expect last year’s Coach of the Year to continue his three-season playoff run for his Titans and motivate the younger players to step up and play alongside the grizzled vets.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Last season was just as painful for the fans of the Jaguars as it was for the coaches and players who had to endure one of the least effective head coaches to enter the league, so this year is all about new HC Doug Pederson establishing a new team philosophy.

More importantly is the development of young QB Trevor Lawrence, a star in the making whose rookie season became a hiccup due to the lack of leading his team suffered, and now he will also be better protected by a line anchored by rookie C Luke Fortner, a Kentucky OL standout.

The Jaguars defense was ranked 20th last season and it will have to do better if this team expects to post divisional wins, and that job belongs to DC Mike Caldwell who will be molding lots of young talent, including rookie LBs Travon Walker and Devin Lloyd, into NFL pros.

No Chance to Win

Houston Texans

Texans fans might need to take a deep breath as the Deshaun Watson fiasco fades out of their orbit, and now what remains is a rebuilding franchise that still has questions under center between Davis Mills, Kyle Allen, and veteran backup Jeff Driskel.

There are a few rookie bright spots for HC Lovie Smith to work with this season including first-round pick LG Kenyon Green and fourth-round RB Dameon Pierce, two new pros expected to step up and start on day one, same with rookies CB Derek Stingley and FS Jalen Pitre.

The defense will fall under HC Smith’s jurisdiction while OC Pep Hamilton will game plan the offense, a team that oddsmakers feel have almost no chance to win the division or make the playoffs, though fans might still have faith that NFL parity will rule the day and help their Texans.

Which AFC South Team Has Won the Most Divisional Titles?

AFC South Divisional Titles Total
Indianapolis Colts 9
Houston Texans 6
Tennessee Titans 4
Jacksonville Jaguars 1

The AFC South wasn’t born until 2002 when the NFL realigned itself and formed from two former AFC Central teams (Titans and Jaguars), an AFC East team (Colts), and an expansion team (Texans), a ragtag group of franchises that, as a division, have struggled to win big.

As for divisional wins, Indianapolis has the lead with nine, their last two AFC South first places finish being in 2013 and 2014 when HC Chuck Pagano was in charge, with the Houston Texans next in line having won a half a dozen divisional titles, their last ones in 2018 and 2019.

The Tennessee Titans have ruled the AFC South roost four times and the Jacksonville Jaguars only once, a division that oddsmakers have ranked last this year so even their best teams might find it difficult to compete with some of the other divisions during the upcoming 2022 season.

Which AFC South Team Has Won the Most Super Bowls?

AFC Super Bowl Wins Total
Indianapolis Colts 2
Tennessee Titans 0
Houston Texans 0
Jacksonville Jaguars 0

Out of the four teams in the AFC South, only the Indianapolis Colts have hoisted the Lombardi Trophy after a Super Bowl win, their two Big Game victories happening first after winning Super Bowl V over the Cowboys in 1970 and then Super Bowl XLI in 2006 over the Chicago Bears.

The Tennessee Titans have been to the dance only once, back in 1999 when they faced the Rams in Super Bowl XXXIV, a game they lost by a touchdown, 16-23, though they also won two AFL Championships back in 1960 and 1961 when QB George Blanda was the AFL MVP.

Neither the Houston Texans nor the Jacksonville Jaguars have played in the Super Bowl so neither has won an AFC Championship, all part of an AFC East division that hasn’t housed a Super Bowl winner since the 2006 season when the Colts Peyton Manning played under center.

How to Watch 2022/23 NFL Regular Season

What 2022/23 NFL Regular Season
Where USA + International
When Thu, Sept 8 thru Sunday, Feb 12, 2023
How to watch CBS/ESPN/Fox/NBC/NFLN

Image for Mike Lukas


Mike Lukas

1151 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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