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AFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2026: Texans Are Favored Over the 13-Win Jaguars

Updated: July 13, 2026, 09:25 AM ET
7 min read

The AFC South has evolved from a historically overlooked division into an explosive showcase of young quarterback talent, making the upcoming 2026-27 season one of the most unpredictable races in football.

With C.J. Stroud leading a potent Houston Texans squad, Anthony Richardson's dynamic upside anchoring the Indianapolis Colts, the Jacksonville Jaguars coming off a strong playoff campaign, and a retooling Tennessee Titans squad looking to play spoiler, the division is completely up for grabs.

This surge in talent across all four rosters means divisional matchups will carry massive playoff implications from Week 1 onward. As training camps get underway, sharp bettors are actively analyzing how this internal chaos will impact the broader landscape - closely monitoring line movements in the AFC Championship odds and searching for longshot value in the updated Super Bowl odds market.

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AFC South Odds

The table below offers a comparison of the latest AFC South odds, available at some of the best US betting sites on the market today.

TeamDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM
Houston Texans+110+135+120
Jacksonville Jaguars+245+190+210
Indianapolis Colts+380+370+400
Tennessee Titans+800+850+850
Odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Check our curated selection of the best NFL betting sites and grab some of the latest NFL promos and bonuses.

AFC South Winner - My Pick

Houston Texans (+135) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Entering the 2026 NFL season, the Houston Texans are the betting favorites to win the AFC South, currently sitting with plus odds (around +110 to +135) at most major sportsbooks. While the Jacksonville Jaguars captured the division crown last year, oddsmakers are heavily backing Houston's elite defense and championship culture cultivated by head coach DeMeco Ryans.

The Texans' defense is anchored by premier pass rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, providing a high floor that most divisional rivals simply cannot match. Furthermore, the front office made significant offseason investments to overhaul the offensive line, aiming to provide better protection for franchise quarterback C.J. Stroud and establish a more consistent running game. If Stroud can recapture his rookie-year magic behind a fortified line, the Texans possess the highest ceiling in the division, making them the most logical pick to reclaim the AFC South title.

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AFC South Winner Odds

Current AFC South Standings

The 2025-26 NFL regular season featured a highly competitive race in the AFC South. The Jacksonville Jaguars ultimately claimed the division crown with an impressive 13-4 record, while the Houston Texans secured a Wild Card berth close behind them.

Here are the final AFC South standings from the 2025 season:

RankTeamW-L-TWin PCTPFPA
1Jacksonville Jaguars13-4.765474336
2Houston Texans12-5.706404295
3Indianapolis Colts8-9.471466412
4Tennessee Titans3-14.176284478

AFC South Winner History

Over the last decade, the AFC South has been defined by extreme volatility and parity, making it one of the most difficult divisions in football to predict. Unlike other divisions dominated by a single dynasty, the South has featured a rotating cast of champions. The Houston Texans have claimed the most division crowns during this stretch, but both the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars have enjoyed multi-year surges to the top of the standings.

Below are the last ten teams to win the AFC South.

YearWinnerPlayoff Results
2016Houston TexansLost Divisional Round
2017Jacksonville JaguarsLost AFC Championship
2018Houston TexansLost Wild Card Round
2019Houston TexansLost Divisional Round
2020Tennessee TitansLost Wild Card Round
2021Tennessee TitansLost Divisional Round
2022Jacksonville JaguarsLost Divisional Round
2023Houston TexansLost Divisional Round
2024Houston TexansLost Divisional Round
2025Jacksonville JaguarsLost Wild Card Round

How to Bet on the AFC South

Betting on the AFC South is a fairly simple task for bettors of all backgrounds, but learning where to find and place these bets can take time. If you find yourself stuck, we have you covered. 

Here is an easy step-by-step guide to help you get started:

  1. Choose the sportsbook you want to wager with

  2. Select “Football” or “NFL” from the betting catalog, usually found on the top or side menu

  3. Click on the tab for “Futures”

  4. Read through the options for the “Division Winner” section

  5. Scroll down until you find the AFC South

  6. Select the team you think will win

  7. Navigate to your betslip to enter how much you want to wager

  8. Hit submit, and you are all set!

All division futures bets will be paid out once the season ends and a champion is officially crowned. 

How to Read AFC South Odds

NFL futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number following the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign before the number usually indicates an underdog, which is common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, you bet $100 on the Texans at +110 to win the AFC South. If they win the division, you will win $110. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

Where to Bet on the AFC South

Are you ready to start betting on the AFC South but unsure where to start? We have you covered. Here are our three favorite platforms for wagering on NFL futures:

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  • FanDuel is another great choice as it provides an exceptionally easy-to-use mobile platform that makes navigating between futures markets a breeze. Their prop selections, daily promotions, and rewards are top-tier, ensuring you get maximum value out of your winning wagers. Use our link to sign up with FanDuel promo code and claim your sign-up bonus: Bet $5, Get up to $1,000 in Bet Resets.

  • BetMGM delivers an elite NFL betting experience backed by the luxury and expertise of a classic Las Vegas brand. Their sleek platform allows you to effortlessly search for games, place complex futures wagers, and track your slips. Even better, BetMGM offers the ability to live stream most NFL games directly from their app, allowing you to watch the action unfold on the go. Use our exclusive BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS to unlock your welcome package: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.

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Visit our Responsible Gambling Center for more details.

AFC South Division FAQ

What team is favored to win the AFC South?

Who won the AFC South last year?

When is the AFC South winner decided?

Which team has won the AFC South the most?

Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Email: michael.savio@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 3 years
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