AFC South Predictions & Odds - NFL Division Winner 2020/21

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AFC South Division Winner 2020 Odds

TeamOdds
Indianapolis Colts+110
Tennessee Titans+180
Houston Texans+350
Jacksonville Jaguars+2000

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook, updated on June 15.

AFC South Win Totals 2020 Odds

TeamOverUnder
Indianapolis Colts9 (-110)9 (-110)
Tennessee Titans8.5 (-130)8.5 (+107)
Houston Texans7.5 (-106)7.5 (-115)
Jacksonville Jaguars4.5 (-125)4.5 (-103)

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook, updated on June 15.

Indianapolis Colts (+110)

2019 W-L

Record

Head CoachStarting QBOffensive

Playmaker

Defensive

Playmaker

7-9Frank ReichPhilip RiversWR TY HiltonDE Justin Houston

Key offseason acquisitions

Philip Rivers, QB; DeForest Buckner, DT; Trey Burton, TE; Anthony Castonzo, OT; Le’Raven Clark, OL; Xavier Rhodes, CB

After losing their franchise quarterback Andrew Luck to retirement just before the start of the season, the Indianapolis Colts scrambled to a 7-9 finish and in third place of the AFC South, missing the playoffs for the fourth time in five seasons.

The biggest offseason move for the Colts was acquiring quarterback Philip Rivers, whose time in Los Angeles had run its course, and if his receivers in Indy can stay healthy (they couldn’t in 2019) he is expected to take over where Luck left off.

The Colts’ front office addressed the team’s need at the receiver by drafting USC’s Michael Pittman at the top of the second round, plus they snagged a potential future starting quarterback in Jacob Eason, who will most likely sit and learn from Rivers, a veteran who is hoping to find a team he can win with in his 17th NFL season.

Tennessee Titans (+180)

2019 W-L

Record

Head CoachStarting QBOffensive

Playmaker

Defensive

Playmaker

9-7Mike VrabelRyan TannehillRB Derrick HenryLB Harold Landry

Key offseason acquisitions

Vic Beasley, Edge; Kamalei Correa, LB (Re-signed to a one-year deal); Derrick Henry, RB (franchise tag); Johnathan Joseph, CB; Dennis Kelly, OT; Ty Sambrailo, OL; Ryan Tannehill, QB (Agreed to a four-year, $118 million contract)

In head coach Mike Vrabel’s second season in charge, the Tennessee Titans posted another 9-7 win-loss record, but this time it was good enough to place second in the AFC South and snag a Wild Card Playoff spot, which the team took all the way to the AFC Championship game where they lost to the eventual Super Bowl-winning Kansas City Chiefs, 24-35.

The Titans’ passing defense was ranked 23rd overall in completion percentage last year, so the big need this offseason was with secondary help, but they also had to prioritize keeping Tannehill on the roster for the foreseeable future, which they did.

On draft day, Tennessee scored offensive tackle, Isaiah Wilson, with the 29th overall pick and then selected LSU cornerback Kristian Fulton in the second round, both projected as backups initially but with the potential to work their way into starting roles.

Houston Texans (+350)

2019 W-L

Record

Head CoachStarting QBOffensive

Playmaker

Defensive

Playmaker

10-6Bill O’BrienDeshaun WatsonRB David JohnsonDE JJ Watt

Key offseason acquisitions

Randall Cobb, WR; Brandin Cooks, WR; Ka’imi Fairbairn, K (Re-signed, four-year, $17.65 million); Darren Fells, TE (Re-signed, two-year, $7 million); Phillip Gaines, CB; Vernon Hargreaves III, CB; Timmy Jernigan, DT; David Johnson, RB; AJ McCarron, QB (Re-signed one-year, $4 million) Eric Murray, S; Brent Qvale, T; Bradley Roby, CB; Jaylen Watkins, DB

Key offseason loss: DeAndre Hopkins, WR

The Houston Texans had a fun 2019 that ended with a first-place finish in the AFC South and a postseason run that took them to the Divisional Playoffs, where they lost the eventual Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs.

During an active offseason, the Texans traded playmaking receiver DeAndre Hopkins and a draft pick to the Arizona Cardinals for running back David Johnson and two draft picks, and now Hopkins’ speedy (but aging) shoes will hopefully be filled by a combination of Cobb and Cooks.

The Texans did not have a first-round pick in the draft (they gave that up while getting left tackle Laremy Tunsil) and in the second round they beefed up their defensive line depth with nose tackle Ross Blacklock from TCU, but now the oddsmakers have Houston as the third-best shot at winning their division.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2000)

2019 W-L

Record

Head CoachStarting QBOffensive

Playmaker

Defensive

Playmaker

6-10Doug MarroneGardner MinshewWR Dede WestbrookDE Yannick Ngakoue

Key offseason acquisitions

Tyler Eifert, TE; Mike Glennon, QB; Rodney Gunter, DL; Rashaan Melvin, CB; Yannick Ngakoue, Edge (franchise tag); Joe Schobert, LB; Tyler Shatley, C/G (Re-signing, one-year, $1.51 million); Chris Thompson, RB; Al Woods, DT

For the second season in a row, the Jacksonville Jaguars ended up in last place of the AFC South, and despite that and their 6-10 final record in 2020, head coach Doug Marrone was kept around for the 2020 season.

Quarterback is a big issue with the Jaguars, but they seem content with the 23-year old Minshew, who in his rookie season in 2019 started for 12 games and posted a 91.2 passer rating and a 21-6 touchdown to interception ratio.

It was obvious by their draft selections that the Jacksonville front office was focused on the defense, selecting cornerback C.J. Henderson and linebacker K’Lavon Chaisson with their first two picks, both expected to be starters during the 2020 season.

Where to Bet on AFC South Division Winner

Which Team has Won the Most Divisional Titles?

TeamDivision Titles
Indianapolis Colts15
Houston Texans6
Tennessee Titans5
Jacksonville Jaguars3

Which AFC South Team Has Won the Most Super Bowls?

TeamSuper Bowls
Indianapolis Colts2
Tennessee Titans0
Houston Texans0
Jacksonville Jaguars0

That honor also goes to the Indianapolis Colts, who have won three AFC championships, which they have turned into two Super Bowl wins: V in 1970 and XLI in 2006.

Next in line are the Tennessee Titans, who have won one AFC championship in 1999, which they could not turn into a Super Bowl XXXIV win against the St. Louis Rams, who won that game 23-16.

Next alphabetically are the Houston Texans, who have won zero conference championships and zero Super Bowls after appearing in the playoffs five times.

Finally come the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have also never won an AFC championship or been to a Super Bowl despite their seven total playoff appearances.

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