NFL MVP Odds, Candidates, Best Bets: Can Josh Allen Secure the MVP Under Joe Brady?

Updated: August 17, 2026, 08:40 AM ET
8 min read

Every NFL season begins and ends with the ultimate goal of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy, and while fans and bettors eagerly track the latest Super Bowl odds to see which teams are primed for a deep playoff run, the race for individual hardware is equally compelling.

As training camps open across the league and the debate over the most prestigious award heats up, early frontrunners and intriguing dark horses are already shaping the betting landscape. Let’s dive into the latest NFL MVP odds to see which elite playmakers are positioned to lead the pack this upcoming season.

The best candidates and latest odds for this exciting race are listed below.

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NFL MVP Odds

The following odds have been taken from some of the best US online sportsbooks available today.

PlayerDraftKings OddsFanDuel OddsBetMGM Odds
Josh Allen+550+600+650
Lamar Jackson+800+850+850
Joe Burrow+850+900+900
Patrick Mahomes+1000+1300+1200
Justin Herbert+1000+1100+1000
Drake Maye+1100+850+1100
Dak Prescott+1300+1400+1400
Caleb Williams+1300+1500+1600
Matthew Stafford+1400+900+1200
Jordan Love+1800+2200+2200
Odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Check out our selection of the best NFL betting sites and snag the latest NFL promo codes and bonuses along the way.

NFL MVP Winner - My Pick

Josh Allen (+650) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Josh Allen enters the season as the consensus +600 betting favorite with a narrative perfectly tailored for voter appeal. After narrowly missing out to Matthew Stafford in the 2025 race, Allen’s candidacy is bolstered by the "overdue" factor and a strategic coaching shift, as he enters his first full year under head coach Joe Brady, whose system saw Allen produce 39 total touchdowns last season despite playing through a lingering foot injury. Historically, quarterbacks who undergo corrective surgery to regain their mobility, as Allen is doing this offseason, often see a statistical "bounce-back" year that aligns with MVP-caliber output.

With the Buffalo Bills opening a state-of-the-art New Highmark Stadium this year, the stage is set for a high-visibility, statistical masterpiece where Allen’s dual-threat dominance (evidenced by his 14 rushing touchdowns in 2025) makes him the highest-ceiling asset in the AFC, providing immense value before the market adjusts to Buffalo’s favorable schedule.

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Nfl Mvp Predictions

NFL MVP Winner History (Since 2000)

SeasonPlayerPositionTeam
2025Matthew StaffordQBLos Angeles Rams
2024Josh AllenQBBuffalo Bills
2023Lamar Jackson (2)QBBaltimore Ravens
2022Patrick Mahomes (2)QBKansas City Chiefs
2021Aaron Rodgers (4)QBGreen Bay Packers
2020Aaron Rodgers (3)QBGreen Bay Packers
2019Lamar JacksonQBBaltimore Ravens
2018Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs
2017Tom Brady (3)QBNew England Patriots
2016Matt RyanQBAtlanta Falcons
2015Cam NewtonQBCarolina Panthers
2014Aaron Rodgers (2)QBGreen Bay Packers
2013Peyton Manning (5)QBDenver Broncos
2012Adrian PetersonRBMinnesota Vikings
2011Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2010Tom Brady (2)QBNew England Patriots
2009Peyton Manning (4)QBIndianapolis Colts
2008Peyton Manning (3)QBIndianapolis Colts
2007Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2006LaDainian TomlinsonRBSan Diego Chargers
2005Shaun AlexanderRBSeattle Seahawks
2004Peyton Manning (2)QBIndianapolis Colts
2003Peyton Manning/Steve McNairQB/QBIndianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans
2002Rich GannonQBOakland Raiders
2001Kurt Warner (2)QBSt. Louis Rams
2000Marshall FaulkRBSt. Louis Rams

How to Bet on the NFL MVP

The NFL is the most popular sports league in America for bettors, and the MVP is one of the most popular futures bets available.

Customers can turn to MVP and futures markets as a way to make long-term wagers instead of betting one game at a time. Bets on the NFL MVP winner can be placed at any time as long as the market is open and can be a way to manipulate value, for example, if the player of choice is coming off a poor week, or one of their top competitors just had a standout game.

NFL MVP odds are not available in every state, so check your sportsbook and state regulations to find out if your state is eligible. Online sportsbooks may have different odds for every MVP candidate, so it’s also important to cross-reference odds across multiple sportsbooks to find the best price. 

How to Read NFL MVP Odds

Reading NFL MVP odds is the same as reading any other betting odds. Any value that is preceded by a + means that a bettor must wager $100 to win the listed amount—for example, a $100 bet on +1100 odds will result in a $1,100 profit if that bet hits. Positive odds are almost always assigned to the underdog, with the only exception being if there are no negative odds values on the board.

Conversely, odds values led by a - translate to the bettor needing to risk the listed amount to profit $100. That means that -250 odds will require a $250 bet to win $100.

All outcomes (players) in futures markets usually have positive odds until late in the season, when one or a few players separate themselves from the field.

Where to Bet on NFL MVP Winner

Locking in a season-long futures bet requires finding a platform that offers competitive pricing, deep market variety, and the flexibility to adjust your strategy as the grueling football calendar unfolds. If you are preparing to back an elite quarterback in the race for the league's top individual honor, here are three premier sportsbooks to consider:

  • DraftKings Sportsbook: Setting the industry standard for NFL futures depth, DraftKings delivers an exceptional array of weekly odds updates and early payout options for MVP bettors. To dive deeper into the platform's layout, daily odds boosts, and unique betting features, take a look at our complete DraftKings Sportsbook review before signing up for an account and claiming your bonus offer: Spend $5 Get $200 In Bonus Bets (Paid Within 21 days).

  • FanDuel Sportsbook: Featuring a wildly popular, user-friendly interface and highly responsive real-time shifts in award market pricing, FanDuel remains a dominant force for NFL futures. If you are ready to place a wager on a top-tier signal-caller, you can claim a massive welcome bonus: Get $350 in Bonus Bets When You Bet $5 for 7 Days by signing up for a new account and checking the current FanDuel promo code.

  • BetMGM Sportsbook: A staple for professional and casual bettors alike, BetMGM consistently offers enticing odds boosts on major award favorites and seamlessly integrates every wager with their top-tier rewards system. First-time users can maximize their initial MVP prediction by entering an active BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS during the registration process. BetMGM currently offers the following bonus for new users: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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NFL MVP FAQ

Who won the 2025 NFL MVP?

How many NFL MVPs won the Super Bowl in the same season?

Which positions have won the most NFL MVP awards?

What is the difference between NFL MVP and Offensive/Defensive Player of the Year?

Which player won the most NFL MVP trophies?

Who won the first NFL MVP?

Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: grant.mitchell@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
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Experience: 4 years
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