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Image for Grant Mitchell Grant Mitchell - Updated November 29, 2023

NFL MVP Odds, Candidates, Best Bets: Hurts Takes Commanding Lead, Dak Joins Top Five

The NFL MVP is given to the most outstanding player in a league of genetic anomalies and athletic freaks. It is one of the toughest awards to win and almost always correlates to team success.

Quarterbacks have dominated the MVP in recent years because of the importance of the position. That is not to say that a non-quarterback can’t also win, but it will take a record-breaking season and countless highlight moments to mount a true challenge.

Here is a comprehensive overview of the odds to win 2023 NFL MVP heading into the year, and who the top candidates are. Take a look at our top-rated NFL betting sites to make sure you're wagering with the best in the business.


Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Start using Draftking and get $150 in Bonus Bets once you make your first real money wager of $5.

Jalen HurtsQBPhiladelphia Eagles+115
Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs+350
Lamar JacksonQBBaltimore Ravens+400
Tua TagovailoaQBMiami Dolphins+900
Dak PrescottQBDallas Cowboys+1000
Christian McCaffreyRBSan Francisco 49ers+1500
Brock PurdyQBSan Francisco 49ers+1700
C.J. StroudQBHouston Texans+1800
Trevor LawrenceQBJacksonville Jaguars+3000
Josh AllenQBBuffalo Bills+4500
Tyreek HillWRMiami Dolphins+4500
Jared GoffQBDetroit Lions+5000
Russell WilsonQBDenver Broncos+10000
Joshua DobbsQBMinnesota Vikings+15000
Myles GarrettLECleveland Browns+15000
Micah ParsonsEDGEDallas Cowboys+15000
Justin HerbertQBLos Angeles Chargers+20000
T.J. WattLOLBPittsburgh Steelers+20000
A.J. BrownWRPhiladelphia Eagles+30000
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDetroit Lions+30000

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Nfl Mvp Predictions

Favorite to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 13

Jalen Hurts, QB (+115) - Philadelphia Eagles

Unless the Eagles find themselves in a similar position to the one they did a few years ago when Carson Wentz was a shoo-in for the MVP before he suffered a season-ending knee injury, Hurts should win the award. He’s the heart and soul of the best team in the league and has led impressive wins over the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills in three straight weeks.

The past couple of weeks have brought his passing average down to 245.2 per game, but he has 29 total touchdowns to 10 interceptions and is playing at an elite level despite being hampered by a knee injury. He and the Eagles still have a couple of tough games to go, but they should lock up the one seed in the NFC.

Patrick Mahomes, QB (+350) - Kansas City Chiefs

Mahomes moved from third to second in odds following last week’s 31-17 win over the Raiders. The reigning MVP went 27-34 for 298 yards and two touchdowns, improving his team record to 8-3, the joint-second-best in the AFC. 

Mahomes’ season numbers are impressive (265.2 passing yards per game, 21 touchdowns, nine interceptions), but they're well below his personal standard and nowhere near what he managed during his two MVP years. His low quality of receivers also limits him from racking up gaudier numbers like the NFL public is used to seeing from him.

Lamar Jackson, QB (+400) - Baltimore Ravens

Lamar averages 290.2 total yards per game, more than Hurts and Mahomes, and has 18 total touchdowns to five interceptions on the year. His Ravens hold the best record in the AFC at 9-3, and his ability to run the offense seemingly without fault or flaw has helped them rank sixth in points per game.

Like Mahomes, Lamar isn’t playing at the level he did when he was the unanimous MVP in 2019. That said, he looks comfortable and is operating the offense at an extremely high level, which is why the Ravens are one of the most feared teams in the league.

2023 NFL MVP

Our Pick: Jalen Hurts (+115) at DraftKings

Hurts has been our MVP for a few weeks, and the quality of wins along with his late-game heroics have kept him right atop our board of favorites. He’s prone to lulls like he had in the first half of the Bills game, but he’s proving himself to be clutch at the end of games and is as devastating a dual threat as there is in the league.

Long Shot Pick: C.J. Stroud (+1800) at DraftKings

Stroud and the Texans missed out on a golden opportunity to take the AFC South lead from the Jaguars last Sunday when a 58-yard game-tying field goal doinked off the crossbar at the end of regulation. It now seems as if the Texans, currently the eighth seed, will have to make the playoffs as a Wild Card if they want to get in, but Stroud’s numbers (296.9 yards per game, 22 total touchdowns, five interceptions) are truly elite.

NFL MVP by Year

1957Jim BrownFBCleveland Browns
1958Jim BrownFBCleveland Browns
1959Johnny UnitasQBBaltimore Colt
1960Norm Van BrocklinQBPhiladelphia Eagles
1961Paul HornungHBGreen Bay Packers
1962Jim TaylorFBGreen Bay Packers
1963Y.A. TittleQBNew York Giants
1964Johnny UnitasQBBaltimore Colts
1965Jim BrownFBCleveland Browns
1966Bart StarrQBGreen Bay Packers
1967Johnny UnitasQBBaltimore Colts
1968Earl MorrallQBBaltimore Colts
1969Roman GabrielQBLos Angeles Rams
1970John BrodieQBSan Francisco 49ers
1971Alan PageDTMinnesota Vikings
1972Larry BrownRBWashington Redskins
1973O.J. SimpsonRBBuffalo Bills
1974Ken StablerQBOakland Raiders
1975Fran TarkentonQBMinnesota Vikings
1976Bert JonesQBBaltimore Colts
1977Walter PaytonRBChicago Bears
1978Terry BradshawQBPittsburgh Steelers
1979Earl CampbellRBHouston Oilers
1980Brian SipeQBCleveland Browns
1981Ken AndersonQBCincinnati Bengals
1982Mark MoseleyKWashington Redskins
1983Joe TheismannQBWashington Redskins
1984Dan MarinoQBMiami Dolphins
1985Marcus AllenRBLos Angeles Raiders
1986Lawrence TaylorROLBNew York Giants
1987John ElwayQBDenver Broncos
1988Boomer EsiasonQBCincinnati Bengals
1989Joe MontanaQBSan Francisco 49ers
1990Joe MontanaQBSan Francisco 49ers
1991Thurman ThomasRBBuffalo Bills
1992Steve YoungQBSan Francisco 49ers
1993Emmit SmithRBDallas Cowboys
1994Steve YoungQBSan Francisco 49ers
1995Brett FavreQBGreen Bay Packers
1996Brett FavreQBGreen Bay Packers
1997Brett Favre/Barry SandersQB/RBGreen Bay Packers/Detroit Lions
1998Terrell DavisRBDenver Broncos
1999Kurt WarnerQBSt. Louis Rams
2000Marshall FaulkRBSt. Louis Rams
2001Kurt WarnerQBSt. Louis Rams
2002Rich GannonQBOakland Raiders
2003Steve McNair/Peyton ManningQB/QBTennessee Titans/Indianapolis Colts
2004Peyton ManningQBIndianapolis Colts
2005Shaun AlexanderRBSeattle Seahawks
2006LaDanian TomlinsonRBSan Diego Chargers
2007Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2008Peyton ManningQBIndianapolis Colts
2009Peyton ManningQBIndianapolis Colts
2010Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2011Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2012Adrian PetersonRBMinnesota Vikings
2013Peyton ManningQBIndianapolis Colts
2014Aaron RogersQBGreen Bay Packers
2015Cam NewtonQBCarolina Panthers
2016Matt RyanQBAtlanta Falcons
2017Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2018Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs
2019Lamar JacksonQBBaltimore Ravens
2020Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2021Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2022Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs

Popular NFL Futures Bets

Betting on the NFL MVP is one of the most popular futures bets in the sport of football. Bettors simply just pick who they think will win the MVP any time before it is announced and place their bet. More information about how to bet on the NFL and what types of bets are available can be found here.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFL MVP?

Sportsbooks can offer different odds for MVPs, and the best way to get the most value out of your NFL MVP futures bet is to consult different sportsbooks and find the one that offers the best bang for your buck. That is called line shopping and is key to obtaining the greatest value in sports betting.

NFL Most Valuable Player FAQ

What Is the Official Name of the NFL MVP Award?

The NFL MVP award is called the Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player Award because it is voted on by media members and presented by the AP. 

How Is the NFL MVP Award Decided?

50 voters are allowed to write five players on their ballot and order them how they please. Each place corresponds to a different number of votes weighted appropriately based on their position on the ballot.

Prior to 2022, voters only wrote one name. The change was made to bring a more comprehensive approach to MVP voting.

How Many Players Have Won Multiple NFL MVP Awards?

10 players have won multiple MVPs, including each of the last two, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers. Peyton Manning (five) and Rodgers (four) have the most MVPs ever.

Has an NFL MVP Ever Had a Losing Record?

No NFL player has ever won the MVP when they had a losing record, but Seattle Seahawks defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy received a first-place vote in 1992 despite finishing with a 2-14 record. He won the Defensive Player of the Year award as a consolation. 

How Many Times Has Aaron Rodgers Won MVP?

Aaron Rodgers has won the MVP four times, the second-most in league history, including back-to-back years in 2020-21 and 2021-22.

Has a Rookie Ever Won NFL MVP?

Jim Brown is the only rookie that has ever won MVP and a rookie in the NFL in 1957.

Who Was the First NFL MVP Winner?

The first NFL MVP was Cleveland Browns fullback Jim Brown, who was a rookie at the time.

Who Is the Youngest NFL MVP Ever?

Cleveland Browns FB Jim Brown was the youngest NFL MVP ever. He won the award at 21 years old in 1957 and then again the next year at 22, which Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson did in 2019.

Who Is the Oldest Player to Win NFL MVP?

New England Patriots QB Tom Brady won the NFL MVP in 2017 at age 40, making him the oldest player to ever claim the league’s highest individual honor.

Are There Any NFL Franchises That Have Never Produced an MVP Winner?

There are six NFL teams that have never produced MVP-winning players: the New York Jets, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Arizona Cardinals, New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Grant Mitchell

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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