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NFL MVP Odds, Candidates, Best Bets: Can Josh Allen Secure the MVP Under Joe Brady?

Updated: July 10, 2026, 09:18 AM ET
7 min read

Every NFL season begins and ends with the ultimate goal of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy, and while fans and bettors eagerly track the latest Super Bowl odds to see which teams are primed for a deep playoff run, the race for individual hardware is equally compelling.

As training camps open across the league and the debate over the most prestigious award heats up, early frontrunners and intriguing dark horses are already shaping the betting landscape. Let’s dive into the latest NFL MVP odds to see which elite playmakers are positioned to lead the pack this upcoming season.

The best candidates and latest odds for this exciting race are listed below.

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NFL MVP Odds

The following odds have been taken from some of the best US online sportsbooks available today.

PlayerDraftKingsFanDuelCaesars
Josh Allen+550+600+600
Lamar Jackson+800+850+700
Joe Burrow+850+900+975
Patrick Mahomes+1000+1300+1000
Justin Herbert+1000+1100+1000
Drake Maye+1100+850+1200
Dak Prescott+1300+1400+1300
Caleb Williams+1300+1500+1500
Matthew Stafford+1400+900+1400
Jordan Love+1800+2200+1500
Odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Check out our selection of the best NFL betting sites and snag the latest NFL promo codes and bonuses along the way.

NFL MVP Winner - My Pick

Josh Allen (+600) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Josh Allen enters the season as the consensus +600 betting favorite with a narrative perfectly tailored for voter appeal. After narrowly missing out to Matthew Stafford in the 2025 race, Allen’s candidacy is bolstered by the "overdue" factor and a strategic coaching shift, as he enters his first full year under head coach Joe Brady, whose system saw Allen produce 39 total touchdowns last season despite playing through a lingering foot injury. Historically, quarterbacks who undergo corrective surgery to regain their mobility, as Allen is doing this offseason, often see a statistical "bounce-back" year that aligns with MVP-caliber output.

With the Buffalo Bills opening a state-of-the-art New Highmark Stadium this year, the stage is set for a high-visibility, statistical masterpiece where Allen’s dual-threat dominance (evidenced by his 14 rushing touchdowns in 2025) makes him the highest-ceiling asset in the AFC, providing immense value before the market adjusts to Buffalo’s favorable schedule.

Get Up to $1,000 in Bet Resets at FanDuel

Nfl Mvp Predictions

NFL MVP Winner History (Since 2000)

SeasonPlayerPositionTeam
2025Matthew StaffordQBLos Angeles Rams
2024Josh AllenQBBuffalo Bills
2023Lamar Jackson (2)QBBaltimore Ravens
2022Patrick Mahomes (2)QBKansas City Chiefs
2021Aaron Rodgers (4)QBGreen Bay Packers
2020Aaron Rodgers (3)QBGreen Bay Packers
2019Lamar JacksonQBBaltimore Ravens
2018Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs
2017Tom Brady (3)QBNew England Patriots
2016Matt RyanQBAtlanta Falcons
2015Cam NewtonQBCarolina Panthers
2014Aaron Rodgers (2)QBGreen Bay Packers
2013Peyton Manning (5)QBDenver Broncos
2012Adrian PetersonRBMinnesota Vikings
2011Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2010Tom Brady (2)QBNew England Patriots
2009Peyton Manning (4)QBIndianapolis Colts
2008Peyton Manning (3)QBIndianapolis Colts
2007Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2006LaDainian TomlinsonRBSan Diego Chargers
2005Shaun AlexanderRBSeattle Seahawks
2004Peyton Manning (2)QBIndianapolis Colts
2003Peyton Manning/Steve McNairQB/QBIndianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans
2002Rich GannonQBOakland Raiders
2001Kurt Warner (2)QBSt. Louis Rams
2000Marshall FaulkRBSt. Louis Rams

How to Bet on the NFL MVP

The NFL is the most popular sports league in America for bettors, and the MVP is one of the most popular futures bets available.

Customers can turn to MVP and futures markets as a way to make long-term wagers instead of betting one game at a time. Bets on the NFL MVP winner can be placed at any time as long as the market is open and can be a way to manipulate value, for example, if the player of choice is coming off a poor week, or one of their top competitors just had a standout game.

NFL MVP odds are not available in every state, so check your sportsbook and state regulations to find out if your state is eligible. Online sportsbooks may have different odds for every MVP candidate, so it’s also important to cross-reference odds across multiple sportsbooks to find the best price. 

How to Read NFL MVP Odds

Reading NFL MVP odds is the same as reading any other betting odds. Any value that is preceded by a + means that a bettor must wager $100 to win the listed amount—for example, a $100 bet on +1100 odds will result in a $1,100 profit if that bet hits. Positive odds are almost always assigned to the underdog, with the only exception being if there are no negative odds values on the board.

Conversely, odds values led by a - translate to the bettor needing to risk the listed amount to profit $100. That means that -250 odds will require a $250 bet to win $100.

All outcomes (players) in futures markets usually have positive odds until late in the season, when one or a few players separate themselves from the field.

Where to Bet on NFL MVP Winner

Every sportsbook is going to have NFL odds, and as long as you’re in a state with eligible MVP odds, they should be in the futures section of the NFL menu.

Our favorite for betting on NFL MVP is FanDuel Sportsbook. New users who create an account using our link can claim: Bet $5, Get up to $1,000 in Bet Resets. If you are looking for more info on this offer, check out our detailed overview of the FanDuel promo code.

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NFL MVP FAQ

Who won the 2025 NFL MVP?

How many NFL MVPs won the Super Bowl in the same season?

Which positions have won the most NFL MVP awards?

What is the difference between NFL MVP and Offensive/Defensive Player of the Year?

Which player won the most NFL MVP trophies?

Who won the first NFL MVP?

Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
NBA
NCAAB
NCAAF
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Email: grant.mitchell@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
Experience: 4 years
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