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The NFL MVP is given to the most outstanding player in a league of genetic anomalies and athletic freaks. It is one of the toughest awards to win and almost always correlates to team success.
Quarterbacks have dominated the MVP in recent years because of the importance of the position. That is not to say that a non-quarterback can’t also win, but it will take a record-breaking season and countless highlight moments to mount a true challenge.
Here is a comprehensive overview of the odds to win 2023 NFL MVP heading into the year, and who the top candidates are. Take a look at our top-rated NFL betting sites to make sure you're wagering with the best in the business.
|Jalen Hurts||QB||Philadelphia Eagles||+115|
|Patrick Mahomes||QB||Kansas City Chiefs||+350|
|Lamar Jackson||QB||Baltimore Ravens||+400|
|Tua Tagovailoa||QB||Miami Dolphins||+900|
|Dak Prescott||QB||Dallas Cowboys||+1000|
|Christian McCaffrey||RB||San Francisco 49ers||+1500|
|Brock Purdy||QB||San Francisco 49ers||+1700|
|C.J. Stroud||QB||Houston Texans||+1800|
|Trevor Lawrence||QB||Jacksonville Jaguars||+3000|
|Josh Allen||QB||Buffalo Bills||+4500|
|Tyreek Hill||WR||Miami Dolphins||+4500|
|Jared Goff||QB||Detroit Lions||+5000|
|Russell Wilson||QB||Denver Broncos||+10000|
|Joshua Dobbs||QB||Minnesota Vikings||+15000|
|Myles Garrett||LE||Cleveland Browns||+15000|
|Micah Parsons||EDGE||Dallas Cowboys||+15000|
|Justin Herbert||QB||Los Angeles Chargers||+20000|
|T.J. Watt||LOLB||Pittsburgh Steelers||+20000|
|A.J. Brown||WR||Philadelphia Eagles||+30000|
|Amon-Ra St. Brown||WR||Detroit Lions||+30000|
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Unless the Eagles find themselves in a similar position to the one they did a few years ago when Carson Wentz was a shoo-in for the MVP before he suffered a season-ending knee injury, Hurts should win the award. He’s the heart and soul of the best team in the league and has led impressive wins over the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills in three straight weeks.
The past couple of weeks have brought his passing average down to 245.2 per game, but he has 29 total touchdowns to 10 interceptions and is playing at an elite level despite being hampered by a knee injury. He and the Eagles still have a couple of tough games to go, but they should lock up the one seed in the NFC.
Mahomes moved from third to second in odds following last week’s 31-17 win over the Raiders. The reigning MVP went 27-34 for 298 yards and two touchdowns, improving his team record to 8-3, the joint-second-best in the AFC.
Mahomes’ season numbers are impressive (265.2 passing yards per game, 21 touchdowns, nine interceptions), but they're well below his personal standard and nowhere near what he managed during his two MVP years. His low quality of receivers also limits him from racking up gaudier numbers like the NFL public is used to seeing from him.
Lamar averages 290.2 total yards per game, more than Hurts and Mahomes, and has 18 total touchdowns to five interceptions on the year. His Ravens hold the best record in the AFC at 9-3, and his ability to run the offense seemingly without fault or flaw has helped them rank sixth in points per game.
Like Mahomes, Lamar isn’t playing at the level he did when he was the unanimous MVP in 2019. That said, he looks comfortable and is operating the offense at an extremely high level, which is why the Ravens are one of the most feared teams in the league.
Hurts has been our MVP for a few weeks, and the quality of wins along with his late-game heroics have kept him right atop our board of favorites. He’s prone to lulls like he had in the first half of the Bills game, but he’s proving himself to be clutch at the end of games and is as devastating a dual threat as there is in the league.
Stroud and the Texans missed out on a golden opportunity to take the AFC South lead from the Jaguars last Sunday when a 58-yard game-tying field goal doinked off the crossbar at the end of regulation. It now seems as if the Texans, currently the eighth seed, will have to make the playoffs as a Wild Card if they want to get in, but Stroud’s numbers (296.9 yards per game, 22 total touchdowns, five interceptions) are truly elite.
|1957||Jim Brown||FB||Cleveland Browns|
|1958||Jim Brown||FB||Cleveland Browns|
|1959||Johnny Unitas||QB||Baltimore Colt|
|1960||Norm Van Brocklin||QB||Philadelphia Eagles|
|1961||Paul Hornung||HB||Green Bay Packers|
|1962||Jim Taylor||FB||Green Bay Packers|
|1963||Y.A. Tittle||QB||New York Giants|
|1964||Johnny Unitas||QB||Baltimore Colts|
|1965||Jim Brown||FB||Cleveland Browns|
|1966||Bart Starr||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|1967||Johnny Unitas||QB||Baltimore Colts|
|1968||Earl Morrall||QB||Baltimore Colts|
|1969||Roman Gabriel||QB||Los Angeles Rams|
|1970||John Brodie||QB||San Francisco 49ers|
|1971||Alan Page||DT||Minnesota Vikings|
|1972||Larry Brown||RB||Washington Redskins|
|1973||O.J. Simpson||RB||Buffalo Bills|
|1974||Ken Stabler||QB||Oakland Raiders|
|1975||Fran Tarkenton||QB||Minnesota Vikings|
|1976||Bert Jones||QB||Baltimore Colts|
|1977||Walter Payton||RB||Chicago Bears|
|1978||Terry Bradshaw||QB||Pittsburgh Steelers|
|1979||Earl Campbell||RB||Houston Oilers|
|1980||Brian Sipe||QB||Cleveland Browns|
|1981||Ken Anderson||QB||Cincinnati Bengals|
|1982||Mark Moseley||K||Washington Redskins|
|1983||Joe Theismann||QB||Washington Redskins|
|1984||Dan Marino||QB||Miami Dolphins|
|1985||Marcus Allen||RB||Los Angeles Raiders|
|1986||Lawrence Taylor||ROLB||New York Giants|
|1987||John Elway||QB||Denver Broncos|
|1988||Boomer Esiason||QB||Cincinnati Bengals|
|1989||Joe Montana||QB||San Francisco 49ers|
|1990||Joe Montana||QB||San Francisco 49ers|
|1991||Thurman Thomas||RB||Buffalo Bills|
|1992||Steve Young||QB||San Francisco 49ers|
|1993||Emmit Smith||RB||Dallas Cowboys|
|1994||Steve Young||QB||San Francisco 49ers|
|1995||Brett Favre||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|1996||Brett Favre||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|1997||Brett Favre/Barry Sanders||QB/RB||Green Bay Packers/Detroit Lions|
|1998||Terrell Davis||RB||Denver Broncos|
|1999||Kurt Warner||QB||St. Louis Rams|
|2000||Marshall Faulk||RB||St. Louis Rams|
|2001||Kurt Warner||QB||St. Louis Rams|
|2002||Rich Gannon||QB||Oakland Raiders|
|2003||Steve McNair/Peyton Manning||QB/QB||Tennessee Titans/Indianapolis Colts|
|2004||Peyton Manning||QB||Indianapolis Colts|
|2005||Shaun Alexander||RB||Seattle Seahawks|
|2006||LaDanian Tomlinson||RB||San Diego Chargers|
|2007||Tom Brady||QB||New England Patriots|
|2008||Peyton Manning||QB||Indianapolis Colts|
|2009||Peyton Manning||QB||Indianapolis Colts|
|2010||Tom Brady||QB||New England Patriots|
|2011||Aaron Rodgers||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|2012||Adrian Peterson||RB||Minnesota Vikings|
|2013||Peyton Manning||QB||Indianapolis Colts|
|2014||Aaron Rogers||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|2015||Cam Newton||QB||Carolina Panthers|
|2016||Matt Ryan||QB||Atlanta Falcons|
|2017||Tom Brady||QB||New England Patriots|
|2018||Patrick Mahomes||QB||Kansas City Chiefs|
|2019||Lamar Jackson||QB||Baltimore Ravens|
|2020||Aaron Rodgers||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|2021||Aaron Rodgers||QB||Green Bay Packers|
|2022||Patrick Mahomes||QB||Kansas City Chiefs|
Betting on the NFL MVP is one of the most popular futures bets in the sport of football. Bettors simply just pick who they think will win the MVP any time before it is announced and place their bet. More information about how to bet on the NFL and what types of bets are available can be found here.
Sportsbooks can offer different odds for MVPs, and the best way to get the most value out of your NFL MVP futures bet is to consult different sportsbooks and find the one that offers the best bang for your buck. That is called line shopping and is key to obtaining the greatest value in sports betting.
The NFL MVP award is called the Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player Award because it is voted on by media members and presented by the AP.
50 voters are allowed to write five players on their ballot and order them how they please. Each place corresponds to a different number of votes weighted appropriately based on their position on the ballot.
Prior to 2022, voters only wrote one name. The change was made to bring a more comprehensive approach to MVP voting.
10 players have won multiple MVPs, including each of the last two, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers. Peyton Manning (five) and Rodgers (four) have the most MVPs ever.
No NFL player has ever won the MVP when they had a losing record, but Seattle Seahawks defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy received a first-place vote in 1992 despite finishing with a 2-14 record. He won the Defensive Player of the Year award as a consolation.
Aaron Rodgers has won the MVP four times, the second-most in league history, including back-to-back years in 2020-21 and 2021-22.
Jim Brown is the only rookie that has ever won MVP and a rookie in the NFL in 1957.
The first NFL MVP was Cleveland Browns fullback Jim Brown, who was a rookie at the time.
Cleveland Browns FB Jim Brown was the youngest NFL MVP ever. He won the award at 21 years old in 1957 and then again the next year at 22, which Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson did in 2019.
New England Patriots QB Tom Brady won the NFL MVP in 2017 at age 40, making him the oldest player to ever claim the league’s highest individual honor.
There are six NFL teams that have never produced MVP-winning players: the New York Jets, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Arizona Cardinals, New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.
In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.More info on Grant Mitchell
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