NFL MVP Odds, Favorites to Win, Best Bets 2022/23

  • Check out our best NFL MVP odds 2023 to help you make the smartest wagers
  • This season, the Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen’s (+650) is the odds on favorites to win MVP
  • The NFL’s regular season starts Thursday, September 8, 2022, at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC

NFL MVP Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook

NFL MVP Odds Odds
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills +300
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Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs +700
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Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers +1600
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Aaron Rodgers (4), QB, Green Bay Packers +2500
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Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams +3000
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Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3000
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Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals +3500
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Russell Wilson, QB, Denver Broncos +4000
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NFL MVP Pick

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (+700)

How quickly fans forget one of the most exciting players in the league, a quarterback ready to have himself a career year.

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NFL MVP Odds

Favorites to Win NFL MVP

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills

Last season, the Buffalo Bills finished 11-6 and made it to the Divisional Playoffs before the KC Chiefs sent them home, and QB Josh Allen proved any remaining doubters wrong by becoming the unquestionable team leader on a roster full of playmaking veterans like WR Stefon Diggs.

Now the Bills are the odds makers’ favorites to win it all in 2022-23, and they are equally optimistic about how Allen will play this season, expecting this 26-year-old 6’ 5” 237-pound Pro Bowl QB to have his most productive season yet during his fifth year as an NFL pro.

Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Second on the list as a favorite to win MVP this season is the GOAT that has already won the award three times, but those were with the New England Patriots, and now his current team, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, have never produced an MVP in all the years it has been awarded.

When you look at the receiver corps that Brady has to throw footballs at – WRs Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Chris Godwin, TE Kyle Rudolph – it’s no wonder he is high up on this potential MVP list, the 44-year-old unicorn, and 7x Super Bowl Champion still with plenty left to give.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (Our Pick)

Expect Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes to have a giant chip on his shoulder this season, since last year it seemed like defenses had figured him out by taking away his deep threats and containing him in the pocket, the playmaker reluctant to ever take the easy toss.

But despite that, Mahomes’ Chiefs finished 12-5 last season and were an overtime field goal away from making it into the Super Bowl, so now the 26-year-old Texas Tech alum will have to find ways to win without his favorite target Tyreek ‘Cheetah’ Hill, but at least he has Ju Ju now.

Aaron Rodgers (4), QB, Green Bay Packers

For the last two seasons, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has taken home the AP’s MVP Award, which brings his total to four and puts him in line to compete with Peyton Manning’s five MVP trophies, a possibility given the amount of talent that surrounds Rogers.

The Packers have an impressive receiver room, including Sammy Watkins, Randall Cobb, and Allen Lazard, plus they have a dual-threat RB, Aaron Jones, whose soft hands make the perfect check-down target, and it looks like the Pack will most likely dominate the NFC North again.

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

A lot of NFL insiders are expecting big things this season from LA Chargers QB Justin Herbert, the 24-year-old with a rocket for an arm who was the league’s Rookie of the Year in 2020, a Pro Bowler last season whose Chargers only finished 9-9 and were eliminated from the postseason.

In his two pro seasons, Herbert has completed 66% of his passes and has thrown for 69 TDs in that time, and this season he will have Mike Williams, Joshua Palmer, and Keenan Allen to target while RB Austin Ekeler provides an extra set of dependable hands out of the backfield.

Who Won the MVP NFL in 2021/22?

Last season, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers won the MVP award for the fourth time in his career after leading the league in several categories all season including touchdown percentage (7) and interception percentage (0.8) as well as his overall rating (111.9).

To get an idea what kind of production it takes for a player to earn the league MVP, a look at Rodgers numbers in 2021 tells you – 366 completed passes off 531 targets for 4,115 passing yards and 37 TDs with 4 INTs as his Packers got eliminated in the Divisional Playoffs.

NFL MVP by Year

There has been an AP NFL MVP named every season since 1957 when Browns RB Jim Brown won his first of three MVP awards, and ever since it’s been a lineup of all stars as evidenced by this list of the past winners since 2007, mostly quarterbacks with on running back thrown in.

NFL MVP Year
Aaron Rodgers (4), QB, Green Bay Packers 2021
Aaron Rodgers (3), QB, Green Bay Packers 2020
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens 2019
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs 2018
Tom Brady (3), QB, New England Patriots 2017
Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons 2016
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers 2015
Aaron Rodgers (2), QB, Green Bay Packers 2014
Peyton Manning (5), QB, Denver Broncos 2013
Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings 2012
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers 2011
Tom Brady (2), QB, New England Patriots 2010
Peyton Manning (4), QB, Indianapolis Colts 2009
Peyton Manning (3), QB, Indianapolis Colts 2008
Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots 2007

Teams With the Most NFL MVP Awards

The Green Bay Packers (10) have had the most MVP players on their rosters since the award was first given in 1957, while the Indianapolis Colts (9) are next in line, two historic franchises that have dominated this award, with the San Fran 49ers (5) a distant third here.

NFL Teams with Most MVP Awards MVPs
Green Bay Packers 10
Indianapolis Colts 9
San Francisco 49ers 5
Cleveland Browns 4
Los Angeles Rams 4
Denver Broncos 3
New England Patriots 3
Las Vegas Raiders 3
Minnesota Vikings 3
Washington Commanders 3

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Popular NFL Futures Bets

A futures bet like this NFL MVP wager is any single bet on a future event that won’t be decided right away, a fun way to get the gambling action started before the players even take the field.

There are lots of NFL futures bets to choose from, and here are just a few:

  • Super Bowl LVII Winner – who will win it all during the 2022-23 season?
  • Conference Winner – which team will win the AFC and the NFC?
  • Divisional Winner – which teams will win their division in each conference?
  • Regular Season Wins – how many victories will a team earn in the season?
  • To Make the Playoffs – which teams will make it to the postseason?
  • Most Passing Yards – which NFL QB will complete for the most passing yards?
  • Most Rushing Yards – which NFL RB will post the most rushing yards?
  • Most Receiving Yards – which NFL WR will earn the most receiving yards?

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFL MVP?

When you are shopping around for a sportsbook with which to work, keep in mind there are multiple factors to consider so be sure to take the time to do your research before you place any bets since you could save lots of money and time with the right choice and waste a lot of both if you choose wrong.

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NFL Most Valuable Player FAQ

What Is the Official Name of the NFL MVP Award?

Typically when somebody mentions the National Football League’s Most Valuable Player Award, they are referring to the Associated Press’s version of the accolade.

However a similar award is also given out by the Pro Football Writers’ Association, and they typically (but not always) reward the same player as the AP.

In the past, other NFL MVP awards were handed out by the Sporting News, UPI, as well as a Jim Thorpe Trophy and a Joe. F. Carr Trophy.

How Is the NFL MVP Award Decided?

The NFL MVP Award is decided by a panel of 50 sportswriters at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs begin.

Since 2011, the league has held an annual NFL Honors ceremony, which recognizes the winner of the Associated Press MVP award and is held the night before each Super Bowl.

How Many Players Have Won Multiple NFL MVP Awards?

When it comes to the AP NFL MVP Award, six players have won it multiple times in their careers:

  • Peyton Manning (5)
  • Aaron Rodgers (4)
  • Tom Brady (3)
  • Brett Favre (3)
  • Johnny Unitas (3)
  • Jim Brown (3)

Has an NFL MVP Ever Had a Losing Record?

No, but Seattle Seahawks defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy earned an MVP vote when his Seahawks finished 2-14 during the 1992 season.

How Many Times Has Aaron Rodgers Have Won MVP?

Future Hall of Fame QB Aaron Rodgers has won the MVP Award four times so far, only one win behind the all-time leader Peyton Manning, but keep in mind that Rodgers is still playing.

Has a Rookie Ever Won NFL MVP?

Yes, when Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns running back Jim Brown was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award, his first of three.

Who Was the First NFL MVP Winner?

Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns RB Jim Brown was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award, his first of three.

Who Is the Youngest NFL MVP Ever?

That was Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns running back Jim Brown who was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award.

Here are the youngest MVP’s in NFL history:

  • Jim Brown (1957) 21 years, 308 days
  • Jim Brown (1958) 22-300
  • Lamar Jackson (2019) 22-356
  • Dan Marino (1984) 23-93
  • Patrick Mahomes (2018) 23-104

Note: Ages are based on final day of regular season

Who Is the Oldest Player to Win NFL MVP?

Easily the GOAT, QB Tom Brady, who was over 40 years old when he won the MVP in 2017 with the New England Patriots.

Next in line is Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers who won the award when he was 37 years old, as was Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning, Oakland Raiders QB Rich Gannon, and New York Giants QB Y.A. Tittle.

Are There Any NFL Franchises That Have Never Produced an MVP Winner?

Yes, there are seven NFL franchises that have failed to produce an MVP winner, a shortcoming that could be corrected this season in Tampa Bay if the GOAT can win his fourth award in 2022-23:

  • New York Jets (not counting Joe Namath’s two AFL MVPs)
  • Houston Texans
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Chicago/St. Louis/Phoenix/Arizona Cardinals
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • New Orleans Saints
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Mike Lukas

Expert on NFL

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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