Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook
NFL MVP Odds
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills
Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (-500)
Approaching 5,000 passing yards and 40 touchdowns, Mahomes is playing on another level, far beyond any other quarterback right now.
While Mahomes may be the favorite to win MVP, let’s not forget that the Bengals, once again, beat the Chiefs at home 27-24 in early December.
Burrow is the suitable No. 2 option here as he’s completing 69% of his passes for 4,259 yards, 34 touchdowns, and has 12 interceptions.
The early season struggles hurt Burrow’s MVP campaign, including a four-interception game in Week 1 and a 199-yard, one-touchdown game against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2.
Since then, Burrow has amassed six games with three or more passing touchdowns, despite injuries to his receiving group throughout the season.
The owner of the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the Buffalo Bills, have a phenomenal quarterback in Josh Allen. However, Allen is showing a slight dip in accuracy as he’s down to a 63.4% completion rate. He does have 536 attempts, which have allowed him to reach over 4,000 yards, though. He has 32 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions but added 746 rushing yards and seven scores.
Heading into Week 17 of the NFL season, the Bills play the Bengals on the road. Depending on who wins this game, this could shift the MVP odds, and rightfully so.
Allen is still north of 4,000 yards, his team is the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and he could post about 850 rushing yards and maybe even double-digit rushing scores.
A dark horse a few weeks back, Hurts’ odds are falling quickly as he misses time due to injury. He sat out in Week 16 and appears to be out again in Week 17.
Before the injury, Hurts looked fantastic, completing 67.3% of his passes for 3,473 yards, 22 touchdowns, and just five interceptions. His 8.2 yards per attempt are higher than Allen and Burrow.
However, where Hurts shines is his rushing ability. He has 745 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns.
If Hurts stayed healthy this full season, threw for over 4,000 passing yards, crossed 1,000 rushing yards, and added more rushing scores, it’s hard not to give him the MVP nod with the now two-loss Eagles.
It’s hard for a non-quarterback to win the MVP in this day and age, but Jefferson is the best case for the award.
Currently sitting at 1,756 receiving yards with two games, Jefferson needs just 209 receiving yards to break Calvin Johnson’s record of 1,964 yards. Sure, Jefferson gets one more game, but it’s still a record-breaking performance.
Jefferson has also caught 123 balls and has a catch rate of 73.7% while averaging 14.3 yards per catch.
Jefferson is more than worthy of this award if quarterbacks weren’t playing at such a high level.
The Chargers will officially be in the postseason, but getting here has a rocky road.
Sitting at 9-6, the Chargers have won three straight games heading into Week 17. Herbert has attempted a monstrous 634 passes, which is second in the league. He’s completing 68% of his passes for 4,250 yards, but where he falls flat are the 21 touchdown passes.
This season is somewhat reminiscent of Derek Carr in the past—lots of yards, low touchdowns.
He won’t win it, but Herbert and the Chargers should be proud of making a comeback and securing their first playoff appearance in the Herbert era.
Last season, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers won the MVP award for the fourth time in his career after leading the league in several categories all season including touchdown percentage (7) and interception percentage (0.8) as well as his overall rating (111.9).
To get an idea what kind of production it takes for a player to earn the league MVP, a look at Rodgers numbers in 2021 tells you – 366 completed passes off 531 targets for 4,115 passing yards and 37 TDs with 4 INTs as his Packers got eliminated in the Divisional Playoffs.
There has been an AP NFL MVP named every season since 1957 when Browns RB Jim Brown won his first of three MVP awards, and ever since it’s been a lineup of all stars as evidenced by this list of the past winners since 2007, mostly quarterbacks with on running back thrown in.
|Aaron Rodgers (4), QB, Green Bay Packers||2021|
|Aaron Rodgers (3), QB, Green Bay Packers||2020|
|Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens||2019|
|Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs||2018|
|Tom Brady (3), QB, New England Patriots||2017|
|Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons||2016|
|Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers||2015|
|Aaron Rodgers (2), QB, Green Bay Packers||2014|
|Peyton Manning (5), QB, Denver Broncos||2013|
|Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings||2012|
|Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers||2011|
|Tom Brady (2), QB, New England Patriots||2010|
|Peyton Manning (4), QB, Indianapolis Colts||2009|
|Peyton Manning (3), QB, Indianapolis Colts||2008|
|Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots||2007|
The Green Bay Packers (10) have had the most MVP players on their rosters since the award was first given in 1957, while the Indianapolis Colts (9) are next in line, two historic franchises that have dominated this award, with the San Fran 49ers (5) a distant third here.
|NFL Teams with Most MVP Awards||MVPs|
|Green Bay Packers||10|
|San Francisco 49ers||5|
|Los Angeles Rams||4|
|New England Patriots||3|
|Las Vegas Raiders||3|
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Typically when somebody mentions the National Football League’s Most Valuable Player Award, they are referring to the Associated Press’s version of the accolade.However a similar award is also given out by the Pro Football Writers’ Association, and they typically (but not always) reward the same player as the AP.In the past, other NFL MVP awards were handed out by the Sporting News, UPI, as well as a Jim Thorpe Trophy and a Joe. F. Carr Trophy.
The NFL MVP Award is decided by a panel of 50 sportswriters at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs begin.Since 2011, the league has held an annual NFL Honors ceremony, which recognizes the winner of the Associated Press MVP award and is held the night before each Super Bowl.
When it comes to the AP NFL MVP Award, six players have won it multiple times in their careers:Peyton Manning (5)Aaron Rodgers (4)Tom Brady (3)Brett Favre (3)Johnny Unitas (3)Jim Brown (3)
No, but Seattle Seahawks defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy earned an MVP vote when his Seahawks finished 2-14 during the 1992 season.
Future Hall of Fame QB Aaron Rodgers has won the MVP Award four times so far, only one win behind the all-time leader Peyton Manning, but keep in mind that Rodgers is still playing.
Yes, when Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns running back Jim Brown was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award, his first of three.
Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns RB Jim Brown was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award, his first of three.
That was Hall of Fame Cleveland Browns running back Jim Brown who was a 21-year-old during the 1957 season he took home the first-ever AP MVP Award.Here are the youngest MVP’s in NFL history:Jim Brown (1957) 21 years, 308 daysJim Brown (1958) 22-300Lamar Jackson (2019) 22-356Dan Marino (1984) 23-93Patrick Mahomes (2018) 23-104Note: Ages are based on final day of regular season
Easily the GOAT, QB Tom Brady, who was over 40 years old when he won the MVP in 2017 with the New England Patriots.Next in line is Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers who won the award when he was 37 years old, as was Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning, Oakland Raiders QB Rich Gannon, and New York Giants QB Y.A. Tittle.
Yes, there are seven NFL franchises that have failed to produce an MVP winner, a shortcoming that could be corrected this season in Tampa Bay if the GOAT can win his fourth award in 2022-23:New York Jets (not counting Joe Namath’s two AFL MVPs)Houston TexansJacksonville JaguarsChicago/St. Louis/Phoenix/Arizona CardinalsPhiladelphia EaglesNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay Buccaneers
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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