Best Jets vs. Patriots Prop Bets: Expect Maye to Strengthen His Claim for the MVP Award

• Drake Maye is listed as one of the betting favorites to win the MVP award

• The New England Patriots have a two-game lead for first in the AFC East

• The New York Jets' defense ranks near dead last in Pass Rush Win Rate

In his second year in the NFL, Drake Maye has quickly shot up in the odds for the NFL MVP award while leading the New England Patriots to an 8-2 start to the regular season. In Thursday night’s AFC East divisional matchup against the New York Jets, Maye will have a great opportunity to strengthen his claim for the award as he faces off against a defense who struggles to collapse the pocket.

For more info, check out the latest AFC East odds and predictions.

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Drake Maye Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Drake Maye has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league as the MVP contender currently ranks third overall in Quarterback EPA per Play. His ability to avoid high Havoc situations helps him sustain drives down the field as Maye also ranks above league average in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.

In Thursday night’s divisional matchup against the New York Jets, Maye will have the opportunity to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a front seven who ranks near dead last in Pass Rush Win Rate. With less pressure in the interior, Maye will be able to sit in the pocket and let his plays develop which will help increase the quality of his throws.

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Drake Maye Longest Completion Over 36.5 Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Jets' lack of pressure will also give the Patriots' receivers more time to break away from their coverage which will help create wider passing lanes for Maye to exploit. Factor in their heavy use of the blitz and the middle of their defense will be vulnerable to getting picked apart when their linebackers are unable to get to the quarterback.

With less bodies across the middle, the Patriots' chances of generating an explosive play increases as this hurts the Jets' ability to create a disruption at the point of contact. With Sauce Gardner traded at the deadline, the Jets secondary will also be relying on their backups to mask his loss of production which may lead to wider gaps in their coverage.

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Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in scoring position, Stefon Diggs has been Maye’s favorite pass catcher to throw to as he currently leads the team in total Red Zone Targets. With the Jets' back-end ranking near dead last in Def EPA, expect Diggs to pick apart their gaps on the back end to help create a high-quality passing lane for Maye to throw to.

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Breece Hall Under 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the offense has struggled as a whole, Breece Hall has been able to play at a high level as the Jets running back ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. His offensive line has played a major role in his success as the Jets' front five resides near the top of the board in Run Block Set Grade.

Unfortunately for Hall, negative regression looms large as he faces off against a Patriots front seven who excels at stuffing the run as their above league average mark in Run Defense Success Rate indicates. With the quality of his running lanes expected to decline, expect Hall to struggle to break through the trenches and be held under the total on his rushing yardage prop.

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