AFC East Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: What Does Aaron Rodgers Have Left in the Tank?

Written by: Michael Savio
Updated July 17, 2024
6 min read
  • The Bills traded Stefon Diggs during the offseason

  • Bradley Chubb and Zach Sieler posted double-digit sack totals in 2023

  • The Jets will have three new offensive linemen this season

The AFC East may be the most wide-open division in the AFC this season. The Bills lost their top playmaker, the Dolphins are once again healthy, and the Jets will have Aaron Rodgers and an improved offensive line. 

If you are looking for help navigating the AFC East, you have come to the right place. Below, we’ll give you the latest odds and insights into all four teams in the division. We’ll also share the team we’re betting on to win it in 2024, giving you what you need to bet confidently this offseason.

AFC East Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below and claim the bonus at BetMGM: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!.

TeamOdds
Buffalo Bills+165
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New York Jets+190
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Miami Dolphins+200
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New England Patriots+2500
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Afc East Division Winner

2024 AFC East Predictions and Favorites to Win

Buffalo Bills (+165 at BetMGM)

While BetMGM has the Bills as the favorite to win the AFC East, we aren’t buying it. The loss of Stefon Diggs is a big deal, as it takes away Josh Allen’s only playmaker on offense. While they have a pair of promising young pass catchers in Khalil Shakir and rookie Keon Coleman, both are unproven. As good as Allen is, he can’t overcome the dropped passes and bad routes common with young receivers.

That said, Chase Claypool could be an X-factor for the Buffalo offense. The veteran had a great start to his career in Pittsburgh, but poor quarterback play and locker-room issues resulted in him totaling 50 receiving yards over the last three seasons. He has impressed early in the offseason, but time will tell if he can repair his damaged reputation to make a comeback in 2024.

Bet on Buffalo Bills (+165) at BetMGM 

New York Jets (+190 at BetMGM) 

You don’t need to be an NFL expert to know that betting on the Jets is a bad idea. Aaron Rodgers is a full participant in OTAs, but it's hard to know what to expect from the 40-year-old. While New York’s offensive line is better, Rodgers's 2022 season was the worst of his career. While many blamed that on a young Packers team, a worse version of that same roster thrived after he left. We think the quarterback will disappoint in a big way, leading to yet another ugly season in New York.

The Jets did do a great job improving the roster during the offseason. They added John Simpson, Morgan Moses, and Pro Bowler Tyron Smith to their offensive line, addressing a significant weakness. The team also added Pro Bowler Haason Reddick, boosting their already great defense. However, we do not like that they addressed the need for the receiver position with the oft-injured Mike Williams. If he is injured once again, New York will be left with the same rag-tag group they have now.

Bet on New York Jets (+190) at BetMGM 

Miami Dolphins (+200 at BetMGM)

We love the Dolphins heading into the 2024 NFL season. This was a great team last season, but they could not keep their stars healthy on defense. Significant injuries to Jaelan Phillips, Bradley Chubb, and Jalen Ramsey resulted in the trio not taking many snaps together. They will be healthy heading into this year, giving Miami a chance to be one of the most complete teams in the league.

Jaelan Phillips is our player to watch this season for the Dolphins. The 24-year-old was in the midst of a breakout campaign last season after posting 6.5 sacks over eight games but suffered an Achilles injury that ended his season. Given that both Bradley Chubb and Zach Sieler posted double-digit sack totals, a healthy Phillips could make Miami one of the best pass-rushing teams in the league. 

Bet on Miami Dolphins (+200) at BetMGM 

New England Patriots (+2500 at BetMGM)

While the Jets are always capable of posting many losses, it seems the Pats are destined to finish last in the AFC East this season. Unlike the Jets, New England fans have a lot of reasons to be excited for the future. One of those reasons is rookie quarterback Drake Maye. The Pats took him with the third overall pick of the draft and grabbed one of the top receivers (Ja’Lynn Polk) along with two O-linemen (Cardan Wallace and Layden Robinson).

New England's question is how they will approach the quarterback position. As of now, it looks like they may choose to go with veteran Jacoby Brissett, but that could change at any moment. We know the team will lose, and they may want to let Maye take some snaps and form chemistry with Polk and the rest of the team’s young core.

Bet on New England Patriots (+2500) at BetMGM 

AFC East Winner - My Pick

Miami Dolphins +200 at BetMGM Sportsbook

We talked a lot about why we like the Dolphins above. Still, we didn’t even get a chance to mention the addition of Odell Beckham Jr. While the receiver is far past his prime, he gives the team a reliable veteran to slot in behind Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. That could lead to a lot of good looks for the former Giants’ star and make it nearly impossible for defenses to contain the Miami pass attack.

Combine that with their impressive defense, and you can see why we are eager to lock this bet in.

Bet on Miami Dolphins (+200) at BetMGM 

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Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
3 years
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