Tua could return as soon as Week 8
The NFL has suspended Von Miller for four games
Pats center David Andrews will likely miss the season
The AFC East has begun to take shape over the first two weeks, setting up a two-horse race between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets. While the Bills have looked better, mounting injuries are testing their depth. The Jets have been disappointed on offense but feel close to breaking out.
Below, we will share our thoughts on each team and our pick to win. The odds will be from BetMGM Sportsbook, which offers new players who sign up using promo code WSNSPORTS up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.
Discover our Ride the Line podcast, where Grant and Tanner discuss each team’s chances of winning the AFC East.
Odds taken from BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below and claim the bonus at BetMGM: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!*
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The Bills have had a very rough week. They were demolished 35-10 by the Ravens over the weekend, handing them their first loss of the season. Injuries have hammered this team on defense, and now they will be without Von Miller. The NFL has suspended the linebacker for four games after a 2023 domestic violence incident. Even if they can get healthier this week, Miller’s absence will be felt with games against the Texans and Jets coming up.
The news isn’t much better for the Bills on offense. Left tackle Dion Dawkins has made a surprise appearance on the injury report after missing practice with a hamstring injury. He is joined on the report by Khalil Shakir, who is questionable with “ankle soreness.”
Buffalo is a great team when it has its playmakers, but clearly, the injuries have taken a significant toll. The Ravens are great, but the game and growing injury reports make us wary of trusting the Bills to win the division.
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The Jets were a dud in Week 4, losing 10-9 to the Broncos at home. The offense’s lack of production is a significant concern, with New York ranking twenty-second in yards and twentieth in points allowed. Given the unit’s talent, those are stunning numbers, but we expect a breakout to be coming soon.
Our confidence in the offense is a result of Aaron Rodgers settling back in. We are seeing him protect the ball and make some impressive throws, most of which have been to Allen Lazard. The veteran hasn’t gelled with the electric Garret Wilson yet, but that will come soon as defenses are forced to move some coverage over to Lazard.
We also love what we have seen from Braelon Edwards, who is averaging 4.8 YPC in a backup role this season. He will get more touches and breathe life back into the disappointing run game.
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The Dolphins entered the season with their sites set on Super Bowl LIX, but that came crashing down in Week 2. Tua Tagovailoa is expected to remain out of the lineup for at least four more weeks as he recovers from a scary concussion. The team has been unable to find a quarterback to replace him, leading to Miami being outscored 55-15 over the last two weeks.
Tyler Huntley was added to the roster last week and started for the Dolphins last week, but it was clear the veteran backup was still learning the playbook. Once he settles in, it could give the offense enough life to help support the team’s solid defense and make a run at a playoff spot.
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The Pats are coming off two blowout road losses, wiping out an impressive start to the season. Their offense has been a mess, averaging the second-fewest points (13.0) in the league after four weeks. The primary reason for the poor play is the offensive line, which has given little protection to Jacob Brissett and is making it clear why the team isn’t starting Drake Maye.
The offensive line won’t be improving anytime soon. The Patriots announced that center David Andrews will require surgery for a shoulder injury, which will likely end his season. That is a significant talent and leader to lose up front, especially given the unit’s poor play. Expect the offense to continue to be one of the worst in the league.
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As mentioned above, we fully expect the Jets to break out soon. Allen will help improve the run game as Rodgers settles in with the offense. The defense has remained sold, and there is still the possibility they could add Haason Reddick at some point this season.
The Bills’ current price is far too high, considering their growing injury report and Miller's suspension. At +250, the Jets are by far the best bet available.
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The New England Patriots have dominated this division, but their downfall has left it up for grabs.
Below are the last ten teams to win the AFC East:
Year | Winner | Playoff Results |
---|---|---|
2023 | Buffalo Bills | Lost in Divisional Round |
2022 | Buffalo Bills | Lost in Divisional Round |
2021 | Buffalo Bills | Lost in Divisional Round |
2020 | Buffalo Bills | Lost AFC Championship |
2019 | New England Patriots | Lost in WC Round |
2018 | New England Patriots | Won Super Bowl |
2017 | New England Patriots | Lost Super Bowl |
2016 | New England Patriots | Won Super Bowl |
2015 | New England Patriots | Lost AFC Championship |
2014 | New England Patriots | Won Super Bowl |
NFL futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number following the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign.
A plus sign before the number usually indicates an underdog, which is common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.
A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.
For example, you bet $100 on the Broncos +350 to win the AFC West. If they win the division, you will win $350.
If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.
Are you ready to start betting on the AFC East but unsure where to start? If so, we have you covered with our sportsbook reviews. Below is a comparison between some of the industry’s best NFL sportsbooks.
FanDuel | bet365 | BetMGM | |
---|---|---|---|
Odds for AFC East Favorite | Bills -250 | Bills -250 | Bills -250 |
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Withdrawal Time | Instant | Instant | Instant |
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