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The Indianapolis Colts are 1-1 since Jeff Saturday took over as interim head coach. In his third game, he’s up against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Mike Tomlin.
Can the Steelers improve to 4-7? Can the Colts get on a run to make the playoffs?
Here, we’ll build a three-leg Same Game Parlay using odds from DraftKings. This SGP has odds of +425.
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Less than a three-point home favorite, this is as close to a pick ‘em as we’ll get.
The Steelers are coming off a 30-point performance against the Cincinnati Bengals last week but scored just 10 points in the second half and now face a Colts defense that’s been excellent since Saturday took over.
The Colts have 24 total pressures and seven sacks in their last two games. They also have a top-tier cornerback in Stephon Gilmore, that hasn’t allowed a touchdown all year.
As for the Colts, they face a Steelers cornerback unit that consists of Cameron Sutton and Levi Wallace on the outside. They allow an average of 12.3 and 16 yards per reception, respectively. This season, they’ve allowed five touchdowns.
The Steeler defensive front should pose some problems for Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, as they’ve allowed less than 68 rushing yards per game over their last three outings. However, Colts quarterback Matt Ryan has completed 44 of 60 passes over the last two weeks and has taken care of the ball.
The Colts improve to 2-1 under Saturday.
We feel good about these two teams combining for at least 40 points inside Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Colts have some solid receivers, including Alec Pierce, Parris Campbell, Michael Pittman, and Taylor, whose talent could outweigh the Steelers' stymying run defense.
The Steelers did drop 30 in their last game. No, we don’t think they will do that again here. Still, if running back Najee Harris can get something going, the Colts have a weak cornerback opposite Gilmore in Kenny Moore II. This could give either Diontae Johnson or George Pickens a good matchup.
The Colts pull this one out, 24-17.
Based on our prediction above, we think the Steelers get the under here, but we left some room in case of field goals, missed extra points, or two-point conversions.
The Steelers have some solid offensive playmakers, but we can’t discount the Colts' defense as of late.
The Steelers don’t have the greatest offensive line, so the pressure from the Colts could lead to turnovers from Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett.
Also, if the Colts can shut down a receiver and hold Harris in check, this doesn’t leave many other avenues for them to score.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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