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The New York Jets host the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 16 as we head into the weekend, with games taking place on Christmas Day and Christmas Eve.
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The Jaguars are road underdogs here, and understandably so. The Jets defense has been excellent this season, holding opponents to 194 passing and 111.5 rushing yards per game.
However, we must consider who their quarterback is this week—Zach Wilson.
Wilson hasn’t played well this season, completing less than 55% of his passes in his eight starts. Last week, he threw for over 300 yards and two scores, but he completed around 50% of his passes in a losing affair against the Detroit Lions.
On the other side, Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has played like one of the best quarterbacks in the league over the past few weeks. He’s gone for over 300 yards and three touchdowns in three of his last four games.
If Mike White were starting this game, we’d be more hesitant, but with Wilson at quarterback, it’s hard to trust the Jets as a favored squad.
As mentioned, Lawrence has been playing well, and Kirk should benefit this week. He hadn’t scored since Week 10 when he had two touchdowns, but this week, he draws a matchup with Jets cornerback Michael Carter II.
Carter II has allowed only one touchdown this year, but opposing receivers catch about 70% of their targets.
Fellow wide receiver Zay Jones had three touchdowns last week. Still, he’ll contend with Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner throughout, and he’s played exceedingly well this season as a rookie.
Look for Lawrence to lean on his big-money receiver here.
A passing yardage line of 194.5 should be more than doable for Lawrence here, even against this Jets defense that allows just 194 passing yards per game.
Lawrence has three games with 318 passing yards or more over the last four weeks, and he’s completed more than 70% of his passes in four of his previous six games.
The Jets' defense is excellent, but Lawrence is playing at an extremely high level right now.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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