Vikings vs. Packers Same Game Parlay Picks: Continue to Fade JJ McCarthy

• The Minnesota Vikings' odds to win the NFC North continues to decline

• JJ McCarthy threw for just 150 yards in last week’s contest against Chicago

• The Green Bay Packers' defense ranks top-10 in Pass Rush Win Rate

Since acquiring Micah Parsons in a trade with the Dallas Cowboys, the Green Bay Packers have been formidable on defense as they rank near the top of the board in most key defensive metrics. In Sunday’s NFC North divisional matchup against the Minnesota Vikings, expect the Packers to continue to thrive on defense as they face off against JJ McCarthy who has struggled with avoiding pressure.

For more divisional insights, check our NFC North odds and predictions.

Vikings vs. Packers Same Game Parlay Picks

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JJ McCarthy Under 192.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been an abysmal start to his career for JJ McCarthy as the Minnesota Vikings quarterback heads into week 12 ranked dead last in Quarterback EPA per play. His inability to avoid pressure has played a major role in his struggles as McCarthy also resides near the bottom of the board in Sack Rate and in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.

In Sunday’s divisional matchup against the Green Bay Packers, expect McCarthy to continue to struggle to operate in the pocket as he faces off against a front seven who ranks top-10 in Pass Rush Win Rate. With McCarthy expected to throw on the run while scrambling away from pressure at a higher rate, the quality of his throws will drastically decline which lowers his chances of moving the ball down the field.

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JJ McCarthy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-275) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in the shortened field, the width of McCarthy’s passing lanes will shrink as the Packers' second level of their defense can stretch out their coverage without having to sacrifice too much ground. This will make it easier for the Packers to keep a defender on the Vikings' pass catchers hips for the full duration of their routes which increases their chances of creating disruptions at the point of contact.

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Jordan Love Over 234.5 Passing Yards (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After getting off to a hot start to the year, the Vikings have started to harshly regress on defense as they continue to fall down the board in Def DVOA. Their lack of pressure in the interior has played a major role in their recent struggles as the Vikings' front seven currently ranks in the bottom ten in Pass Rush PFF Grade while blitzing at the highest rate in the league.

Unfortunately for the Vikings, their struggles on defense are poised to persist as they face off against Jordan Love who is steadily climbing back up the odds for the NFL MVP award while leading the league in Quarterback EPA per play. For some more exposure, escalator bet Love’s passing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Romeo Doubs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since Tucker Kraft suffered a season-ending injury, Romeo Doubs has been able to capitalize on his higher usage rate as the Packers' wide receiver currently leads the team in total Red Zone Targets with a 46.7% Target Percentage. When Love looks his way, Doubs has been reliable as he has converted four of his five Receptions into touchdowns.

When backed up inside the 20, the Vikings have struggled to hold opposing offenses out of the end zone as they rank just league average in Def EPA. With Love able to sit in the pocket and let his plays develop, Doubs will have more time in the open field to break away from the Vikings' coverage and create a high-quality passing lane for him to throw to.

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