Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back McDavid and the Oilers Offense to Light up the Scoreboard

With the New York Rangers defense carrying over their low level of play from last year into this season, Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers offense are in a favorable position to light up the scoreboard. At the same time as their puck drop, we also target the Washington Capitals team total over in their matchup against Tampa Bay as they face off against a Lightning back line who struggles in coverage.

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Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Edmonton Oilers Team Total Over 3 (-185) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After severely underwhelming last year, the New York Rangers defense have carried over their struggles into this season as their back line ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with his back line giving him zero support with their coverage, Igor Shesterkin has been able to play at a very high level as the former Vezina Trophy winner is averaging just 0.67 Goals Against per game.

Unfortunately for Shesterkin, negative regression looms large over the Rangers goalie as he faces off against the Edmonton Oilers who rank second overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 4.64 Expected Goals per game. Especially with the Oilers stretching out the Rangers coverage with their versatility as this will open up wider shooting lanes in front of Shesterkin’s net. Should the Rangers team total climb up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Connor McDavid Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Connor McDavid has excelled at pressuring the net as the three time Hart Memorial Trophy winner is averaging 0.73 Expected Goals and 4.01 Shots on Goal per game. With Leon Draisaitl pulling defensive attention away from him, McDavid has been able to exploit the high quality shooting lanes his linemate creates when back lines shade their coverage towards him. For some more exposure, escalator bet McDavid’s Shots on Goal prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Carolina Hurricanes vs. San Jose Sharks - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line -1.5 (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook

Like the Rangers, the San Jose Sharks have also underwhelmed on defense as their back line ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 31st in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of production on defense has hurt their goaltenders ability to play at a competitive level as Alex Nedeljkovic and Yaroslav Askarov both average over three Goals Against per game.

With Carolina’s front line leading the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations, the Sharks low level of play on defense will be on full display as they lack the coverage that is needed to slow down the Hurricanes high powered offense. Especially with the Hurricanes fielding seven skaters who average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game as their playmaking will have Nedeljkovic consistently shifting across the crease which will open up wider gaps in his net.

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Washington Capitals Team Total Over 3.5 (+125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even with Alexander Ovechkin struggling to find his footing, the Washington Capitals offense have been able to play at a high level as their front line averages nearly four Expected Goals per game. Expect their offense to continue to generate high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate against Tampa Bay as they face off against a Lightning back line who struggles with lessening the quality of opposing shot attempts and Andrei Vasilevskiy who is averaging a Save Percentage of .855.

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