UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales - Odds, Predictions & Picks

• Former title challenger Burns takes on undefeated Morales

• Paul Craigh returns to LHW division after three straight MW losses

• Mairon Santos looks for his third UFC win in a row

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets with a winning wager.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales - Picks & Predictions

Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales - Welterweight division

• Our pick: Michael Morales (-950) at FanDuel

Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato - Light Heavyweight division

• Our pick: Rodolfo Bellato (-650) at FanDuel

Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos - Lightweight division

• Our pick: Mairon Santos (-146) at FanDuel

Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursulton Ruziboev - Middleweight division

• Our pick: Nursulton Ruziboev (-340) at FanDuel

Julian Erosa vs. Meiquizael Costa - Featherweight division

• Our pick: Meiquizael Costa (-180) at FanDuel

Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales - Welterweight Division

Having lost his last three fights in a row, former welterweight title challenger Gilbert Burns aims to get back in the win column this Saturday night in the main event.

It won’t be easy, however, as he will be taking on the undefeated, -950 favorite at FanDuel Michael Morales.

Burns most recently lost a unanimous decision to Sean Brady last September. He has not won a fight since 2023.

For Morales, this will be his fifth UFC fight and his first main event appearance. He is coming off of a first-round TKO win over veteran Neil Magny that took place last August - earning him a performance of the night bonus. 

The largest betting favorite on the main card, Morales will stand two-inches taller than Burns and will have an impressive eight-inch reach advantage as well.

To find out how to place your bets for this welterweight top-15 main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato - Light Heavyweight Division

After dropping his last three fights in a row in the middleweight division, Paul Craig will return to the light heavyweight division for the first time since 2023 in Saturday’s co-main event.

He takes on Rodolfo Bellato, who won his appearance on the Contender Series in 2023 and followed that performance up by winning his UFC debut against Ihor Potieria by TKO.

Bellato has already fought once in 2025. He took on Jimmy Crute in February but the two fought to a majority draw at UFC 312. 

Craig was last active in November 2024, where he dropped a unanimous decision to Bo Nickal at UFC 309.

It comes as no surprise that the younger Bellato, who also has a reach advantage in this matchup, clocks in as a -650 via FanDuel favorite over Paul Craig.

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Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos - Lightweight Division

Holding a 2-0 UFC record since signing with the UFC after his appearance on the Ultimate Fighter, Mairon Santos looks for his seventh professional win in a row when he takes on UFC veteran Sodiq Yusuff.

Yusuff is 2-2 over his last four fights but has dropped his last two back-to-back against Edson Barboza and recent title challenger Diego Lopes last April at UFC 300.

Santos has already fought once in 2025, defeating Francis Marshall by split-decision at UFC 313 back in March.

These two fighters will stand at an equal height but Santos - a -146 favorite via FanDuel - will have a slight one-inch reach advantage over his opponent.

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Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursulton Ruziboev - Middleweight Division

At 6-feet-5-inches, Nursulton Ruziboev is one of the tallest middleweights in UFC history. He is also one of the most experienced, having 48 professional fights to his name.

He is 3-1 in the UFC. After suffering a loss at the hands of Joaquin Buckley last May, Ruziboev bounced back with a TKO win over Eric McConico back in February.

He takes on Dustin Stoltzfus, who is 3-3 in his last six fights. Stoltzfus most recently fought Marc-Andre Barriault - whom he knocked out in the first round of their Fight Night bout last November. The win earned him a performance bonus.

Ruziboev, a -340 favorite via FanDuel over Stoltzfus, will stand six-inches taller and have a one-inch reach advantage.

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Julian Erosa vs. Meiquizael Costa - Featherweight Division

Kicking off the main card this weekend will be Julian Erosa and Meiquizael Costa - two fighters who are themselves on three-fight winning streaks.

Erosa fought just one-month ago - defeating Darren Elkins by first-round TKO at UFC 314. 

Meiquizael Costa fought just two-months ago, when he defeated Christian Rodriguez via unanimous decision in March.

Erosa will be the taller, longer and more experienced fighter but it is the younger Costa who will enter the octagon as a -180 favorite to win at FanDuel.

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How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

• Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada

• When: Saturday, May 17

• Time: 7PM EST

• How: ESPN, ESPN+, Sportsnet