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UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published October 6, 2023
11 min read
  • Grant Dawson aims to remain undefeated under the UFC banner
  • Bobby Green looks to crack the lightweight top-ten with a main event win
  • Joe Pyer returns in co-main event and looks for fifth win in a row

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings sportsbook. Click the link to place your bets.

FighterOdds
Grant Dawson-410
BET HERE
Bobby Green+320
BET HERE 
FighterOdds
Joe Pyfer-410
BET HERE 
Abdul Razak Alhassan+320
BET HERE 
FighterOdds
Alex Morono+142
BET HERE 
Joaquin Buckley-170
BET HERE 
FighterOdds
Drew Dober-455
BET HERE 
Ricky Glenn+350
BET HERE 
FighterOdds
Alexander Hernandez+110
BET HERE 
Bill Algeo-130
BET HERE 

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green - Picks & Predictions

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green - Lightweight division

Our pick: Grant Dawson (-410)

Joe Pyfer vs Abdul Razak Alhassan - Middleweight division

Our pick: Joe Pyfer (-410)

Alex Morono vs Joaquin Buckley - Welterweight division

Our pick: AlexMorono (+170)

Drew Dober vs Ricky Glenn - Lightweight division

Our pick: Drew Dober (-455)

Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo - Featherweight division

Our pick: Bill Algeo (-130)

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UFC Fight Night Dawson vs Green Predictions

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green - Lightweight division

Grant DawsonTALE OF THE TAPEBobby Green
29Age37
5 ft 10 inHeight5 ft 10 in
72 inReach71 in
20-1-1Record30-14-1, 1 no-contest

So far undefeated (with one draw) under the UFC banner, number-ten ranked lightweight Grant Dawson looks to win his ninth promotional bout this weekend when he takes on fan-favorite Bobby Green.

Green, who has struggled as of late, having suffered back to back losses to Islam Makhachev and Drew Dober and fighting to a no-contest with Jared Gordon, found himself back in the win column with his UFC 291 submission win over lightweight legend Tony Ferguson back in July.

Grant Dawson’s most recent bout also took place in July, when he defeated Damir Ismagulov via unanimous decision. Prior to that, Dawson became the first man to defeat Mark Madsen in the sport of mixed martial arts, having submitted him in the third-round of their bout last November.

Dawson, a huge -410 betting favorite over Green, is the younger fighter by eight years and he will have a slight one-inch reach advantage this Saturday.

To find out how to place your bets for this lightweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Joe Pyfer vs Abdul Razak Alhassan - Middleweight division

Joe PyferTALE OF THE TAPEAbdul Razak Alhassan
27Age38
6 ft 2 inHeight5 ft 10 in
75 inReach73 in
11-2Record12-5

In what will be just his third UFC appearance, Joe Pyfer has already made quite a name for himself within the organization’s middleweight division.

After finishing Ozzy Diaz with a left hook in the second round of their Contender Series bout, Pyfer went on to win his UFC debut with a first-round KO of Alen Amedovski. He followed that performance up with another first-round stoppage - a TKO win over Gerald Meerschaert back in April.

Pyfer faces Ghana's Abdul Razak Alhassan, whose record over his last six fights stands at just 2-4.

Alhassan, a +320 underdog against Pyfer, is coming off of a second-round knockout win over Claudio Ribeiro in January.

Pyfer will stand four-inches taller and will enjoy a two-inch reach advantage as well.

Alex Morono vs Joaquin Buckley - Welterweight division

Alex MoronoTALE OF THE TAPEJoaquin Buckley
33Age29
5 ft 11 inHeight5 ft 8 in
73 inReach76 in
23-8, 1 no-contestRecord16-6

Despite standing three-inches taller and boasting a record of 5-1 over his last six fights, Alex Morono still finds himself listed as the +142 underdog in his matchup against Joaquin Buckley.

Buckley, who recently snapped a two-fight skid with his TKO win over Andre Fialho back in May, will have a three-inch reach advantage over Morono this Saturday.

Both are former LFA fighters and it was with this organization in which Alex Morono was the welterweight champion.

Drew Dober vs Ricky Glenn - Lightweight division

Drew DoberTALE OF THE TAPERicky Glenn
34Age34
5 ft 8 inHeight6 ft
70 inReach70 in
26-12, 1 no-contestRecord22-7-2

Up until his most recent fight, Drew Dober was riding high with a three-fight winning streak that included three finishes and a win over main event fighter Bobby Green.

But at UFC 288, Dober was finished in the first round via TKO at the hands of Matt Frevola.

Ricky Glenn also has experience against one of the main event fighters, as he fought Grant Dawson to a majority draw in 2021. His most recent bout came this past April, where he was knocked out in the first round by Christo Giagos. He is just 2-3-1 in his last six fights.

Although shorter by four-inches, Dober is the heavy betting favorite at -455.

Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo - Featherweight division

Alexander HernandezTALE OF THE TAPEBill Algeo
31Age34
5 ft 9 inHeight6 ft
72 inReach73 in
14-6Record17-7

With both fighters coming off of much-needed wins, Alexander Hernandez and Bill Algeo kick off the main card this Saturday, both with hopes of winning their second in a row.

Usually competing at lightweight, Hernandez moved down to the featherweight division last December. His 145-pound debut didn’t go as planned, as he lost to Billy Quarantillo via TKO. However, he moved back to 155-pounds and bounced back with a big unanimous decision win over UFC legend Jim Miller.

He returns to the featherweight division for this bout against Bill Algeo, who is coming off of a fight of the night performance, having defeated TJ Brown via submission in the second round of their bout this past April.

Algeo will stand three-inches taller and have a one-inch reach advantage. He is a former ROC featherweight champion and is more acclimated to cutting to the 154-pound mark. He is listed as the -130 favorite over Hernandez.

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How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green

  • LOCATION: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada
  • WHEN: Saturday, October 7
  • TIME: 5PM EST
  • HOW: ESPN, ESPN+, TSN2
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AUTHOR

Ryan Bristlon

433 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.



Email: [email protected]

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