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UFC Fight Night: Yan Will Be at a Significant Disadvantage When It Comes to Grappling

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Top-6 strawweights main event Fight Night
  • Sodiq Yusuff sits as a massive -1200 favorite
  • Rozenstruik vs Daukaus moved pushed to UFC 282

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to FanDuel to place a bet.

Fighter Odds
Mackenzie Dern -250
Yan Xiaonan +190
Fighter Odds
Francisco Trinaldo +250
Randy Brown -340
Fighter Odds
Raoni Barcelos -245
Trevin Jones +186
Fighter Odds
Sodiq Yusuff -1200
Don Shainis +630
Fighter Odds
John Castaneda -210
Daniel Santos +162
Fighter Odds
Mike Davis -200
Vlacheslav Borshchev +154

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan – Picks & Predictions

Mackenzie Dern vs Yan Xiaonan – Women’s Strawweight Division

Mackenzie Dern (-250)

Francisco Trinaldo vs Randy Brown – Welterweight Division

Randy Brown (-340)

Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones – Bantamweight Division

Trevin Jones (+186)

Sodiq Yusuff vs Don Shainis – Featherweight Division

Don Shanis (+630)

John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos – Catchweight Bout (140lbs.)

John Cataneda (-210)

Mike Davis vs Vlacheslav Borshchev – Lightweight Division

Mike Davis (-200)

Ufc Fight Night Dern Vs Yan

Mackenzie Dern vs Yan Xionan – Women’s Strawweight Division

Mackenzie Dern TALE OF THE TAPE Yan Xionan
29 Age 33
5 ft. 4 in. Height 5 ft. 5 in.
63 in. Reach 63 in.
12-2 Record 15-3, 1 no-contest

Ranked at number five in the strawweight division and number 13 in the women’s pound-for-pound rankings, Mackenzie Dern is actually just 1-1 in her last two fights.

After winning four in a row, Dern dropped a decision to Marina Rodriguez. In her most recent fight against Tecia Torres and UFC 273, Dern found herself on the right side of a split decision.

The grappling ace is now 7-2 in the UFC.

Her opponent, Yan Xiaonan, is ranked sixth in the division despite having lost her last two fights.

After winning six in a row, Yan suffered a TKO loss at the hands of Carla Esparza. She followed that performance with a unanimous decision loss to Marina Rodriguez at UFC 272 this past March.

Despite standing one inch taller, Yan will be at a significant disadvantage when it comes to grappling as Mackenzie Dern is a highly decorated black belt in the world of Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Dern is currently listed as a -250 favorite.

To find out how to place your bets for this women’s strawweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Francisco Trinaldo vs Randy Brown – Welterweight Division

Francisco Trinaldo TALE OF THE TAPE Randy Brown
44 Age 32
5 ft. 8 in. Height 6 ft. 3 in.
70 in. Reach 78 in.
28-8 Record 15-4

At 44 years old, Francisco Trinaldo is the oldest fighter on the main card – but don’t let that fool you. Trinaldo has won his last two fights – most recently defeating Danny Roberts at UFC 274 in May.

Randy Brown is also enjoying a winning streak, having won his last three straight. He too last fought at UFC 274 – earning a split-decision win over Khaos Williams.

The size difference is the biggest factor here, as Brown will stand seven inches taller and will have an eight-inch reach advantage.

Both men hold brown belts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu but the size advantage leads to Brown being listed as the -340 favorite.

 Sign up to FanDuel and receive a $1,000 No Sweat Bet.

Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones – Bantamweight Division

Raoni Barcelos TALE OF THE TAPE Trevin Jones
35 Age 32
5 ft. 7 in. Height 5 ft. 7 in.
67 in. Reach 70 in.
16-3 Record 13-8, 1 no-contest

Both Raoni Barcelos and Trevin Jones have lost two fights in a row and both are looking to find their way back into the win column this Saturday.

Barcelos has lost back-to-back decisions, most recently to Victor Henry this past January.

After a submission loss in 2021, Jones most recently dropped a unanimous decision to Javid Basharat this past March.

Both of these fighters stand at an equal height of 6-feet but it is Jones that will have the three-inch reach advantage.

Sodiq Yusuff vs Don Shainis – Featherweight Division

Sodiq Yusuff TALE OF THE TAPE Don Shainis
29 Age 31
5 ft. 9 in. Height 5 ft. 6 in.
71 in. Reach 66.5 in.
12-2 Record 12-3

Cage Titans featherweight champion Don Shainis makes his UFC debut Saturday against Sodiq Yusuff – who is 5-1 with the promotion.

Shainis is currently riding a five-fight professional winning streak.

Yusuff suffered his first UFC loss last April but bounced back in his most recent bout – defeating Alex Caceres by unanimous decision this past March.

Yusuff will have a three-inch advantage in height as well as an impressive 4.5-inch advantage in reach. Listed at -1200, he is the largest betting favorite on the main card.

John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos – Catchweight Bout (140lbs.)

John Castaneda TALE OF THE TAPE Daniel Santos
30 Age 27
5 ft. 6 in. Height 5 ft. 7 in.
71 in. Reach 67 in.
19-5 Record 9-2

After losing his UFC debut in 2020, John Castaneda has now won back-to-back fights over Eddie Wineland and, most recently, Miles Johns – whom he submitted back in February.

Daniel Santos made his UFC debut in April but was on the losing end of a unanimous decision against Julio Arce. He is looking for his first win for the promotion.

Santos stands one-inch taller than his opponent but Castaneda will have a four-inch reach advantage.

Castaneda is a -210 favorite at the time of writing.

Mike Davis vs Vlacheslav Borshchev – Lightweight Division

Mike Davis TALE OF THE TAPE Vlacheslav Borshchev
29 Age 30
6 ft. Height 5 ft. 11 in.
72.5 in. Reach 69 in.
9-2 Record 6-2

Vlacheslav Borshchev has fought twice in the UFC after his knockout win on the Contender Series in 2021. He has gone 1-1 for the promotion – most recently losing a decision to Marc Diakiese in March.

Mike Davis has won his last two in a row. His most recent win was a fight-of-the-night decision over Mason Jones. However, that fight took place in January 2021 and he hasn’t fought since.

Despite the layoff, Davis is listed at -200 over his opponent – whom he has both a height and reach advantage over.

How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan

Event UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan
Location UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada
Time Saturday, October 1, 5 PM EST
How to watch ESPN, ESPN+, TSN2
21+ | Terms and conditions apply
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Ryan Bristlon

433 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.

Email: [email protected]

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