UFC on ESPN: Top-10 Light Heavyweights Compete in the Main Event

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • Top-10 light heavyweights compete in the main event
  • TUF finalists compete for a UFC contract 
  • Vicente Luque hopes to get back into the win column

UFC on ESPN: Santos vs Hill

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to sportsbook to place a bet.

Fighter Odds
Thiago Santos +220
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Jamahal Hill -260
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Fighter Odds
Vicente Luque -175
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Geoff Neal +150
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Fighter Odds
Zac Pauga -230
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Mohammed Usman +195
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Fighter Odds
Brogan Walker +105
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Juliana Miller -125
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Fighter Odds
Augusto Sakai +200
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Sergey Spivak -240
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Fighter Odds
Ariane Lipski -175
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Priscila Cachoeira +150
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UFC on ESPN: Santos vs Hill Picks

Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill – Light Heavyweight Division

Jamahal Hill (-260)

Vicente Luque vs Geoff Neal – Welterweight Division

Vicente Luque (-175)

Zac Pauga vs Mohammed Usman – Heavyweight Division

Zac Pauga (-230)

Brogan Walker vs Juliana Miller – Women’s Flyweight Division

Brogan Walker (+105)

Augusto Sakai vs Sergey Spivak – Heavyweight Division

Sergey Spivak (-240)

Ariane Lipski vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Flyweight Division

Priscila Cachoeira (+150)

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Ufc On Espn Santos Vs Hill Picks

Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill – Light Heavyweight Division

Thiago Santos TALE OF THE TAPE Jamahal Hill
38 Age 31
6 ft. 2 in. Height 6 ft. 4 in.
76 in. Reach 79 in.
22-10 Record 10-1, 1 no-contest

Number-six ranked Thiago Santos takes on number-ten ranked Jamahal Hill in Saturday night’s main event.

Just 1-4 over his last five fights, Thiago Santos hasn’t looked the same since injuring both of his knees in his UFC 239 title fight against Jon Jones in 2019.

His most recent fight was against rising star Magomed Ankalaev, who defeated Santos via unanimous decision this past March.

Jamahal Hill has won his last two fights, most recently knocking out Jimmy Walker in the first round this past February.

Hill will stand two-inches taller and have a three-inch reach advantage over Santos. At -260, Hill is the biggest betting favorite on the main card.

To find out how to place your bets for this light heavyweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Vicente Luque vs Geoff Neal – Welterweight Division

Vicente Luque TALE OF THE TAPE Geoff Neal
30 Age 31
5 ft. 11 in. Height 5 ft. 11 in.
75.5 in. Reach 75 in.
21-8-1 Record 14-4

After winning four in a row, including a submission win over former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley, Vicente Luque had his winning streak snapped in his most recent bout this past April.

Luque, who had six post-fight bonuses in his last eight fights, lost his rematch against Belal Muhammad via unanimous decision.

Opposite of Luque, Geoff Neal recently snapped a two-fight losing streak with his split-decision win over Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 269 last December.

Both men stand at equal height, with Luque having the slightest half-inch reach advantage and boasting a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu compared to Neal’s blue belt.

Zac Pauga vs Mohammed Usman – Heavyweight Division

Zac Pauga TALE OF THE TAPE Mohammad Usman
34 Age 33
6 ft. Height 6 ft. 2 in.
N/A Reach 79 in.
5-0 Record 7-2

The first of two TUF finale fights on the main card, Zac Pauga and Mohammad Usman will fight for a UFC heavyweight contract.

Pauga has remained undefeated thus far in his short MMA career, winning five straight. His last bout before competing on the show took place last October where he defeated Markus Perez via unanimous decision at Cage Warriors 130.

Usman is the brother of welterweight champion and pound-for-pound great Kamaru Usman.

Mohammed was undefeated during the TUF tournament but lost his last fight before participating on the show. He was submitted by Brandon Sayles in the second round last May.

Brogan Walker vs Juliana Miller – Women’s Flyweight Division

Brogan Walker TALE OF THE TAPE Juliana Miller
34 Age 26
5 ft. 4 in. Height 5 ft. 7 in.
67 in. Reach 67 in.
7-2 Record 2-1

The second TUF final will see two female flyweights do battle.

The more experienced Brogan Walker had suffered two straight losses before defeating Emilee King by submission at Invicta FC 44 last August.

Julian Miller has only three pro fights under her belt. Her last MMA fight before joining the show took place last May – where she lost via unanimous decision under the Invicta banner.

Miller will stand two inches taller but both women will share an equal reach of 67-inches.

Augusto Sakai vs Sergey Spivak – Heavyweight Division

Augusto Sakai TALE OF THE TAPE Sergey Spivak
31 Age 27
6 ft. 4 in. Height 6 ft. 3 in.
77 in. Reach 78 in.
15-4-1 Record 14-3

Having won his first four UFC fights in a row, Augusto Sakai now finds himself amidst a three-fight losing streak – with all three losses coming via KO or TKO.

He last fought Tai Tuivasa at UFC 269 last December, losing the bout via second-round knockout.

Sergey Spivak is 1-1 over his last two fights. He most recently defeated Greg Hardy this past March at UFC 272 via first-round TKO.

Sakai will stand one inch taller but Spivak will have a one-inch reach advantage.

Ariane Lipski vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Flyweight Division

Ariane Lipski TALE OF THE TAPE Priscila Cachoeira
28 Age 33
5 ft. 6 in. Height 5 ft. 7 in.
67 in. Reach 65 in.
14-7 Record 11-4

Kicking off the main card will show Ariane Lipski taking on Priscila Cachoeira in the women’s flyweight division – both of whom hold purple belts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Lipski recently snapped a two-fight losing skid with her unanimous decision win over Mandy Bohm last September.

Cachoeira most recently fought Ji Yeon Kim this past February. In what was deemed the fight of the night, Cachoeira came out victorious – defeating Kim via unanimous decision.

Lipski, listed as the -175 favorite, will have a two-inch reach advantage.

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How to Watch UFC on ESPN: Santos vs Hill

Event UFC on ESPN: Santos vs Hill
Location UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada
Time Saturday, August 6, 8 PM EST
How to watch ESPN, ESPN+, TSN2
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Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Betting Picks
Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Print and Broadcast Journalism
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