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World Cup 2026: Netherlands vs. Morocco Predictions

Published: June 27, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
6 min read

The Netherlands secured top spot in Group F at World Cup 2026, while Morocco was the runner-up in Group C. The two teams will now go head-to-head for a place in the round of 16 in North America.

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Netherlands vs. Morocco Overview and Latest Odds

According to the latest World Cup odds, the Netherlands is the favorite to win this last-32 tie, but Morocco showed at this tournament four years ago that it should not be written off.

  • Location: Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico.

  • Date & Time: Monday 29th June, 7:00 PM ET

  • US Broadcast: FOX Sports

Netherlands vs. MoroccoFanDuelDraftKingsBetMGMCaesars
Home+110+115+110+108
Tie+230+230+225+225
Away+270+260+250+255
Disclaimer: The odds listed in this table are accurate at the time of writing and will fluctuate as game day approaches.

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Netherlands vs. Morocco 2026 06 29

Expert Betting Predictions and Best Bets for Netherlands vs. Morocco

Below are our three top tips for Netherlands vs Morocco, including two straight bets and one same game parlay.

  • Tie

It is not hard to see why the Netherlands is the favorite to win this last-32 tie. As a three-time runner-up, it has a greater World Cup pedigree. Given its population numbers just 18.5 million, the Netherlands has punched above its weight throughout soccer history. But in the here and now, Morocco is capable of equaling it across 90 minutes. The Atlas Lions have not lost any of their last 31 matches, and the team’s last defeat came at the African Nations Championship, a tournament for Africa-based players only. This is a tricky test for the Netherlands.

  • Both Teams to Score

The Netherlands entered the World Cup with one or two concerns over its offense, but the defense was widely thought to be in good shape. Yet Ronald Koeman’s side failed to keep a clean sheet in the group stage, conceding two goals to Japan and one each to Sweden and Tunisia, while it put the ball in its opponent’s net on 10 occasions. Morocco will struggle to keep the Netherlands’ frontline quiet, but it has enough attacking quality of its own to get on the scoresheet. We expect goals at both ends in this round of 32 encounter.

  • Ismael Saibari to Score Anytime

Ismael Saibari is not the top goalscorer at this World Cup, but he was part of an exclusive club of players who found the back of the net in all three group games. The striker is set to join Bayern Munich at the end of the tournament, and it was easy to see why following his displays against Brazil, Scotland and Haiti. Saibari has now scored six goals in 11 appearances for the national team in 2026 - and he is not done yet. The Netherlands will have to keep a close eye on him.

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Netherlands Betting Preview

The Netherlands has had its fair share of World Cup heartache down the years. It played the best soccer at the 1974 edition in West Germany, only to lose to the host nation in the final despite going 1-0 up in the second minute. It was the runner-up again in 1978, before finishing second for a third time in 2010. No other team has reached as many finals without lifting the trophy.

The Netherlands has made a bright start to its current campaign. It shaded its opening game against Japan, drawing 2-2 with the Samurai Blue. The Dutch then turned on the style to thump Sweden 5-1, before easing to a 3-1 victory over Tunisia last time out. That result sent it through to the round of 32 as the winner of Group F.

In classic Dutch fashion, the current team has been lining up in a 4-3-3 formation. Frenkie de Jong is the tempo-setter in midfield, with Tijjani Reijnders and Ryan Gravenberch invited to make forward runs alongside him. Denzel Dumfries is a key attacking outlet at right-back, while Brian Brobbey provides strength and physicality up front.

Morocco Betting Preview

Morocco memorably finished fourth at World Cup 2022, becoming the first African nation in the history of the tournament to reach the semi-finals. It claimed some big scalps en route to the last four, eliminating Spain and Portugal in successive knockout matches. It is now eyeing another famous victory over a major European team, this time in the round of 32.

Plenty has changed in the last four years, however. Morocco has become a more proactive, possession-based side under Mohamed Ouahbi, who replaced Walid Regragui as head coach earlier this year following the Africa Cup of Nations. We saw evidence of that shift in emphasis in the 1-1 draw with Brazil, when Morocco played the better brand of soccer in the first half.

The Atlas Lions amassed seven points from Group C, taking a point off Brazil before beating Scotland and Haiti. Those last two games were vastly different in nature: the first was cagey and ended up 1-0 to Morocco, while the second was a 4-2 triumph in an open match. Neutrals will hope for something similar to the Haiti clash when Morocco meets the Netherlands. 

How Netherlands and Morocco Match Up Against Each Other

The Netherlands and Morocco have met three times before. The Netherlands won at World Cup 1994, which also took place in the USA. Morocco triumphed in a friendly in 1999, while a subsequent non-competitive game in 2017 ended in a victory for the Netherlands. Curiously, all three meetings up to now have ended 2-1 either way.

Against strong European opposition in 2022, Morocco defended deep, packed bodies behind the ball, and played on the counter-attack. It will not be so passive this time, even though there will be moments to defend. It must find a way to stop Dumfries’ buccaneering runs from right-back, while the center-backs will have to find a way to handle Brobbey’s back-to-goal play.

The Netherlands will aim to dominate possession, but it does have the option of hitting Morocco in transition via quick balls up to Brobbey. Set-pieces could be key; the Netherlands has a tall team with plenty of aerial targets, which it will look to use to its advantage. This is set up to be one of the standout ties of the round of 32.

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Greg Lea WSN Contributors

Greg Lea

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
Email: greg.lea@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts in Politics
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